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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000)

CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000)

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Soilconomy


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
LLUB will get the tax reduction and also when the BASE Oil price goes down their Raw material costs gets down...After two quarters this will be higher that we can expect....

There was a time when LLUB was trading around 350 level after going from 120 level..and that period also Base Oil Price was very low....Investing is easy when you know what to look for and which is better....Those who collected below 70 will be happy and still train not yet gone from station....

Anyway This is not a recommendation,You average IQ person can understand.....cheers and invest in great companies like LLUB,JKH,HEXP,HAYC,TJL,SAMP,COMB and you will be winners...

Always reinvest dividends to buy new shares of the same companies you have...

Look at below if you had invested in below company its easier to get monthly dividend income...its not rocket science...just need to invest wisely.check the reports these companies are best to invest....GL all..

JAN JKH\HAYC\HEXP\BPPL
FEB LLUB #TJL         
MAR HAYC /#HEXP   
APR LLUB              
MAY JKH             
JUL #BPPL   #TJL     
AUG LLUB              
SEP HAYC / #HEXP      
OCT LLUB          
NOV JKH             
DEC #HEXP           

nuwanmja


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Guys, do you know why LLUB price down ?

Beta1


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@nuwanmja wrote:Guys, do you know why LLUB price down ?
 today is ex date for dividend

nuwanmja


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
ah forgot it.

KavinduTM


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
But it is a good buy around 68/=

nuwanmja

nuwanmja
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
waiting to buy arround 65 or below

EquityPlus


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

48CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000)  - Page 3 Empty Thoughts on LLUB Fri Jul 10, 2020 12:04 am

Enoka Fernandez


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Price had not fluctuated very much and traded volume is reasonably heavy, 
Any thoughts on this share pls.

ErangaDS

ErangaDS
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
2019-
EPS 8.75
DPS 7.75
1) crude oil were traded above $60/per barrel troughout 2019
2) The company has managed to increase their market share by 6-8% during the year ( currently having 44% share of lubricant market in Sri Lanka )
“After two consecutive years of de-growth, the Retail channel demonstrated a growth of 4% over prior year by introducing low end cheaper products to the market (Annual report)
3)Increased Export volumes (Bangladesh) by 18%

2020- Covid 19 & going ahead-
1) Top line could be reduced due to Covid 19 impact on the economic activities but it will off set by the reduction Crude prices(almost 50% reduction).There for very little or no impact on the bottom line.

“Sri Lanka generated 12,46,863 MWh of electricity in January, 1,228,279 MWh in February, 1,206,069 MWh in March and 964,043 MWh in April 2020.Coal has contributed 41 per cent for the total electricity generation in Jan – Apr 2020 while Major hydro has contributed 21 per cent, and thermal oil has contributed 38 per cent.
- since being a major contributor to the thermal oil energy generators , this will help the companies revenue generation during the hard hit first quarter due to lockdown.

2) Going forward the company will get strong competition mainly from CEPETCO & LIOC, but being the market leader they are in a good position by adopting good strategies to increase the local market as well as the foreign markets.

*Dividend policy would be the most attractive factor when it comes to LLUB*
The company known for paying 💯 earnings as dividends
I’m expecting them to do the same earnings as last year,RS 8.75 & to declare a Dividend of 8.5RS ( mainly due to cash flow issues facing by its parent company in the US , due to lockdown & lower oil prices)

Currently LLUB trading @ 68 (12.5% dividend yield) where as FD rates around 7-8% .
I’m expecting LLUB to come back to its glory days with 10+ earnings when the economic activities started to picked up(post Covid)
*This is an another share similar to RCL , has the ability to trade above 100 in the medium term.
********I’d buy this as an investment for the long term*******

agentnrox likes this post

MAWI


Stock Trader
What about their exports to Bangladesh?

ErangaDS

ErangaDS
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@ErangaDS wrote:2019-
EPS 8.75
DPS 7.75
1) crude oil were traded above $60/per barrel troughout 2019
2) The company has managed to increase their market share by 6-8% during the year ( currently having 44% share of lubricant market in Sri Lanka )
“After two consecutive years of de-growth, the Retail channel demonstrated a growth of 4% over prior year by introducing low end cheaper products to the market (Annual report)
3)Increased Export volumes (Bangladesh) by 18%

2020- Covid 19 & going ahead-
1) Top line could be reduced due to Covid 19 impact on the economic activities but it will off set by the reduction Crude prices(almost 50% reduction).There for very little or no impact on the bottom line.

  “Sri Lanka generated 12,46,863 MWh of electricity in January, 1,228,279 MWh in February, 1,206,069 MWh in March and 964,043 MWh in April 2020.Coal has contributed 41 per cent for the total electricity generation in Jan – Apr 2020 while Major hydro has contributed 21 per cent, and thermal oil has contributed 38 per cent.
- since being a major contributor to the thermal oil energy generators , this will help the companies revenue generation during the hard hit first quarter due to lockdown.

2) Going forward the company will get strong competition mainly from CEPETCO & LIOC, but being the market leader they are in a good position by adopting good strategies to increase the local market as well as the foreign markets.

*Dividend policy would be the most attractive factor when it comes to LLUB*
The company known for paying 💯 earnings as dividends
I’m expecting them to do the same earnings as last year,RS 8.75 & to declare a Dividend of 8.5RS ( mainly due to cash flow issues facing by its parent company in the US , due to lockdown & lower oil prices)

Currently LLUB trading @ 68 (12.5% dividend yield) where as FD rates around 7-8% .
I’m expecting LLUB to come back to its glory days with 10+ earnings  when the economic activities started to picked up(post Covid)
*This is an another share similar to RCL , has the ability to trade above 100 in the medium term.
********I’d buy this as an investment for the long term*******
Voting share (N):

Date of initial announcement:
27 Jul 2020

Dividend per share (Rs.) :
Voting :2.500

Type of dividend :
Second interim

Financial year:
31st December 2020

Shareholder approval:
Not required

XD date :
06 Aug 2020

Payment date :
17 Aug 2020

Share transfer book:
Open

Enoka Fernandez


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Thank you Eranga. your thoughts were very helpful

ErangaDS likes this post

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
when we look at the Dividend policy of LLUB with comparison to the Other Equities ,its obvious that ,LLUB worth than prevailing price even with the market drop. prices of some equities, those not paying divided are going up. this should be over Rs. 100 . since these days interest rate on Fixed Deposit is around 6 to 8 p.a ,but LLUB gives more than 10 % returned even with market drop.

csk86 and agentnrox like this post

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
most probably there should be a dividend this month  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy  lets see

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@suku502 wrote:most probably there should be a dividend this month  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy  lets see

If LLUB declares 3rd Interim Dividend of Rs 2.50 per share this month, that would justify price in excess of Rs 100.

suku502 dislikes this post

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:
@suku502 wrote:most probably there should be a dividend this month  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy  lets see

If LLUB declares 3rd Interim Dividend of Rs 2.50 per share this month, that would justify price in excess of Rs 100.
most likely that will pay , some times it would more than 2.50 .  Laughing Laughing . 3 to 4. let's see. but 2.5 is sure.

kadik


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
They will declare a dividend in next week

abey


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
100 lagawennawa

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Technical Analysis - ( Weekly Chart)


Pivot Point
 S3S2S1Pivot PointR1R2R3
Fibonacci            74.10        77.16        79.04         82.10        85.16        87.04        90.10
Classic           71.20        74.10        79.20         82.10        87.20        90.10        95.20


Moving Avarages
PeriodExponentialIndication
MA5           85.66Buy
MA10           82.02Buy
MA20           77.78Buy
MA50           72.20Buy
MA100           77.84Buy
MA200        112.20Sell


Technical Indicators
NameValueAction
RSI (14)67.196Buy
Stoch (9,6)78.29Buy
MACD (12,26)5.11Buy
ADX (14)47.52Buy
ROC37.19Buy


CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000)  - Page 3 Llub_c10

the Weekly Chart shows upward movement . all the moving averages are indicate the Buy Signal except MA 200. other technical indicates also give the " Buy" option . RSI (14) indicates that possibility of further up however it's depend on 2 morrow.surlly it will touch 95 +, if it's possible to break  resistant level of 90.10 in Pivot Points Fibonacci R3 & Classic R2 in 2morrow.the volume should be support to break the level. all depend on 2morrow. bounce bounce bounce bounce bounce

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
will it break the 90.10 this week ?? volume  cyclops cyclops cyclops Arrow

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Ended with 90.40 in last week End , volume was high than previous day. but still in the margin , let's see whether they declare the dividend this week , 3rd one.

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@suku502 wrote:Ended with 90.40 in last week End , volume was high than previous day. but still in the margin , let's see whether they declare the dividend this week , 3rd one.

LLUB will probably declare Dividend this week. IF the company is able to sustain quarterly Dividends of Rs 2.50 per share (like they did in July-2020), that would make it Rs. 10 per annum.

Any company that can consistently declare annual Dividend of Rs 10 would justify share price well in excess of Rs 100.

The big question therefore is: How much will they declare as 3rd Interim Dividend?

suku502


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:
@suku502 wrote:Ended with 90.40 in last week End , volume was high than previous day. but still in the margin , let's see whether they declare the dividend this week , 3rd one.

LLUB will probably declare Dividend this week. IF the company is able to sustain quarterly Dividends of Rs 2.50 per share (like they did in July-2020), that would make it Rs. 10 per annum.

Any company that can consistently declare annual Dividend of Rs 10 would justify share price well in excess of Rs 100.

The big question therefore is: How much will they declare as 3rd Interim Dividend?

yes. actually i hope 2.5 or more, sure they will pay. such good share to hold. even banks pay interest rate less than 8 .

64CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000)  - Page 3 Empty CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC ((LLUB.N0000) Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:33 am

geeshanpradeep


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Chevron Lubricants Lanka PLC is a Sri Lanka-based company engaged in the business of importing, blending, distributing and marketing of lubricant oils and greases. The Company offers passenger vehicle engine oils, over four stroke motor cycle engine oils, two stroke and outboard engine oil, general purpose automotive gear oils, automatic transmission oils and other under Havoline brand. The Company offers diesel vehicle engine oils, marine engine oils, industrial lubricants, coolants, brake fluids and specialties under Delo brand. It offers various services, such as in-service oil monitoring, drain interval optimization, lube specialist course, vehicle clinics, workshops for channel partners, systematic failure analysis expertise, technical data on fuels/fuel analysis, plant and lab visits, remote thermo meters (IR), endoscope inspections and lubrication surveys. It provides winged oil monitoring services, such as LubeWatch Oil Analysis and Fast-Fluid Analysis Service and Trending.

Chevron Lubricants quarterly financials for 30.09.2020 released today. Net profit up by 29% (Quarterly EPS - Rs.3.35/-). Also there is a pending dividend announcement. Can we expect the share price to run unnder the current situation? Any expert ideas n target price in the short term???

RJ1010


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Cash dividend rs3.50 announced today

agentnrox, Win Win and judecroos like this post

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