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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Is this true?

Is this true?

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21Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Sun Jan 12, 2020 7:02 pm

ColomboCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:CAL & Softligic expect 7000 & 6500++ in the ST. Post GE there will be a sea change in sentiment. As Kavindu says run may even start end Jan or early Feb. However I will wait for Maharaja 4000 especially given that Teller believes 2020 bad for CSE. Very Happy

SOFTLOGIC expect  Laughing LOL Laughing ... SOFTLOGIC have lost continuously two quarter (with big debt)... even ODEL also...
I don't know is Mr Pathirage have time to spend sri lankan airlines...

22Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Sun Jan 12, 2020 7:15 pm

Teller


Moderator
Moderator
Ashok Pathirage is killing sri Lankan airlines. He has increased most of tariffs some gone double compare to emirates. Dubai, riyadh air tickets are 70 to 100% cheaper in Emirates airlines compare to Sri Lankan. So who will travel and who can travel?

23Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Sun Jan 12, 2020 7:45 pm

KavinduTM


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:CAL & Softligic expect 7000 & 6500++ in the ST. Post GE there will be a sea change in sentiment. As Kavindu says run may even start end Jan or early Feb. However I will wait for Maharaja 4000 especially given that Teller believes 2020 bad for CSE. Very Happy

Haha Maharaja is no more btw. Teller only says it will be bad for CSE but there are chosen companies which we can earn a huge profit short time.

However i don't believe market will fall..but it should go back to that 5700-5800 range as teller described. After that it will be a clear bull. After that it will pass 6700 level easily.
at least it will be so much better than 2018 CSE

Timing matters men.

24Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Sun Jan 12, 2020 8:12 pm

KavinduTM


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:CAL & Softligic expect 7000 & 6500++ in the ST. Post GE there will be a sea change in sentiment. As Kavindu says run may even start end Jan or early Feb. However I will wait for Maharaja 4000 especially given that Teller believes 2020 bad for CSE. Very Happy

haha it's not gonna fall that much. at least it won't even look at 5600 levels.
i believe market gonna touch 6300-6400 before end of April.(After that it will fall.Its another story)

Better to focus on few chosen shares.

25Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Mon Jan 13, 2020 5:19 am

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Kavindu. Appreciate last 2 posts but note contradiction in ASPI forecast.

26Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Mon Jan 13, 2020 11:30 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Kavindu. Appreciate last 2 posts but note contradiction in ASPI forecast.

Actually ASPI is a mess.

There are 2 possible ways.

            1.market fall [market will be in a downtrend and if it fall more than 5700 level                                     (approximately 5676) , there won't be any bull market in next 6                                        months,which means it will keep falling]
                possibility :- 10%
          
            2. bull after April- May (market will be in a uptrend till April and it will fall by like                                                150-200 points and will be a bull market and will pass                                                    6700 levels easily.) However there is a chance for a free                                                  run without a fall too.
                possibility :- 90%

Actually our country need a good plan.Hope this gov will make this better.

And with some special incidents,this could be changed (like special government decisions) 

However we will get the answer soon.

27Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Mon Jan 13, 2020 1:05 pm

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Thanks Kavindu. 
I do believe that GR based on his track record on the war & city development has a plan. I expect courageous economic decisions after GE. If he secures 2/3 then CAL estimate is the one to watch. So GE is key.
Question- Fron an earlier postBut this isn't the time the bull market gonna start.
It will be started in next month or end of January.Then there is no turn back.
Do you still hold this view?

28Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:11 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Thanks Kavindu. 
I do believe that GR based on his track record on the war & city development has a plan. I expect courageous economic decisions after GE. If he secures 2/3 then CAL estimate is the one to watch. So GE is key.
Question- Fron an earlier postBut this isn't the time the bull market gonna start.
It will be started in next month or end of January.Then there is no turn back.
Do you still hold this view?

Yeah i do. there i mentioned the run till April - may period ( index around 5900 to 6400 run)
market will be in a downtrend before the 2 ways i mentioned. and we will meet the turning point around 5850-5750 index.
However that should happen within a month

come on Mr.CSE u deserve to be in 7000 levels  pirat

29Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Mon Jan 13, 2020 8:17 pm

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Thank you Kavindu. Much appreciated.
According to CAL if economic reforms introduced 11000 (corresponding to PE of 19 on CURRENT earnings) likely. Far cry from 29 in 2011 & still below Frontier markets like India @ 27+. So 2/3 & reforms a must. Hope CBSL cuts rates end January.

30Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 12:01 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Welcome @Kipling it's my pleasure.  Smile


After GE government will be stable and will start the journey to the victory.and rupee will come back again to 150 levels slowly.

31Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 12:01 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Welcome @Kipling it's my pleasure.  Smile


After GE government will be stable and will start the journey to the victory.and rupee will come back again to 150 levels slowly.

32Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 5:09 am

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Kavindu any view on my last post.

33Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 7:51 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Thank you Kavindu. Much appreciated.
According to CAL if economic reforms introduced 11000 (corresponding to PE of 19 on CURRENT earnings) likely. Far cry from 29 in 2011 & still below Frontier markets like India @ 27+. So 2/3 & reforms a must. Hope CBSL cuts rates end January.

Idk about 11000. however it's not impossible. it depends on the government's decisions.
Yeah will see.

34Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:14 am

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Thank you so much for the response. You are right all depends on GR introducing economic reforms & taking unpopular decisions. 2 questions.
1) Do you foresee grant of casino licenses post GE.
2) Will CBSL cut policy rates end January

35Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:24 am

Promoney


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Is this true? - Page 2 Screen65

36Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:38 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Thank you so much for the response. You are right all depends on GR introducing economic reforms & taking unpopular decisions. 2 questions.
1) Do you foresee grant of casino licenses post GE.
2) Will CBSL cut policy rates end January

You are Welcome.

tbh i don't have any idea about both of them.however casino's will be a good income
what's ur idea about them?

37Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:43 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Promoney wrote:Is this true? - Page 2 Screen65

cheers

38Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:53 am

Kipling


Expert
Expert
We have 4 casinos now in operation. They are not part of big international gaming groups. To attract tourists you have to get these international companies. Singapore got Genting & Las Vegas Sands while Macau has all represented. Losing Packer was bad under YP. Getting these companies will boost tourism as in Singapore & JKH. Worth to know.please see if you can get some information on my 2 questions.

39Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:59 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:We have 4 casinos now in operation. They are not part of big international gaming groups. To attract tourists you have to get these international companies. Singapore got Genting & Las Vegas Sands while Macau has all represented. Losing Packer was bad under YP. Getting these companies will boost tourism as in Singapore & JKH. Worth to know.please see if you can get some information on my 2 questions.

Yeah that's right.
Sure. i ll let u know if i got anything related  study



Last edited by KavinduTM on Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:11 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : spelling mistake)

40Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:13 pm

Promoney


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Is this true? - Page 2 Screen66

41Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:07 pm

NANDANA2012


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@KavinduTM wrote:
@Kipling wrote:Thank you so much for the response. You are right all depends on GR introducing economic reforms & taking unpopular decisions. 2 questions.
1) Do you foresee grant of casino licenses post GE.
2) Will CBSL cut policy rates end January

You are Welcome.

tbh i don't have any idea about both of them.however casino's will be a good income
what's ur idea about them?

Yes Casinos bring good income, also in brings in bad culture. Further its regarded as a bad Business. Sri Lanka abundant with other things tourists are interested. Why should we pick pocket them through casinos... I love if we make Sri Lanka an ethical destination, where tourists are cared and looked after like our own people and even development with a sustainable model. THEN WE MAKE A SRILANKAN IDENTITY AND RESPECT. How much ever money is gained, there is no worth in them when earned with cheap avenues..

42Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:29 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@NANDANA2012 wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:
@Kipling wrote:Thank you so much for the response. You are right all depends on GR introducing economic reforms & taking unpopular decisions. 2 questions.
1) Do you foresee grant of casino licenses post GE.
2) Will CBSL cut policy rates end January

You are Welcome.

tbh i don't have any idea about both of them.however casino's will be a good income
what's ur idea about them?

Yes Casinos bring good income, also in brings in bad culture. Further its regarded as a bad Business. Sri Lanka abundant with other things tourists are interested. Why should we pick pocket them through casinos... I love if we make Sri Lanka an ethical destination, where tourists are cared and looked after like our own people and even development with a sustainable model. THEN WE MAKE A SRILANKAN IDENTITY AND RESPECT. How much ever money is gained, there is no worth in them when earned with cheap avenues..

Yeah that's true. And i hope we will be there before 2025.

43Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Wed Jan 15, 2020 5:24 am

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Hi Nandana. Glad to see you back. I am from a personal standpoint 100%opposed to casinos. Never been inside one here or abroad. Singapore tourism was stagnant @ 8mn & once 2 casinos introduced I think now 17 mn+. Singapore has a tight gaming control act. I wish SL can proceed without this option. Since we already have 4 I think better to have 2 international operators subject to tight Singapore style controls. We could even ban local entry. Jkh CLife will boom if Genting given ok.

44Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Wed Jan 15, 2020 8:53 am

NANDANA2012


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Hi Nandana. Glad to see you back. I am from a personal standpoint 100%opposed to casinos. Never been inside one here or abroad. Singapore tourism was stagnant @ 8mn & once 2 casinos introduced I think now 17 mn+. Singapore has a tight gaming control act. I wish SL can proceed without this option. Since we already have 4 I think better to have 2 international operators subject to tight Singapore style controls. We could even ban local entry. Jkh CLife will boom if Genting given ok.

Actually Singapore has to do something or another to get them some income while their port, airport are being hit with competition and as a country without any proper ground income source and even water being imported from Malaysia. So i dont blame their model. They have a high security net and corruption free systems where they dont bother even the worst criminals enters there and offers free visa. (They will become powerless cats inside as anyone enters with fingerprint) 

But we have lot of other areas for tourism, even our nature is enough to attract 5 Million more tourists easily, but need the system to be safe, secure and tourism friendly. Thailand gets 30 Million and Malaysia almost same.. 

With the God given attractions we have, we can build up the industry easily if correct and bold decisions are taken, without harming our culture and future generations - Tourism industry need not be like tobacco industry - Lot of taxes but more indirect cost to health..

Agree Few Casinos ok to have with strict controls...But ultimately we are involve in a unfair trade... also locals will find ways to break those control - we still dont have Singapore like politicians or officers...

45Is this true? - Page 2 Empty Re: Is this true? Wed Jan 15, 2020 8:56 am

NANDANA2012


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Infact i like if we can make Sri Lanka the best ethical tourist destination in the World with 15-20 Million Visitors annually, and no prostitution, drugs  or casinos....Those people will love to travel here repeatedly and we will not require advertisements...(Spending Millions)

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