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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Inflation in Sri Lanka

Inflation in Sri Lanka

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21Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Jun 21, 2013 12:55 pm

Backstage


Moderator
Moderator
@traderathome wrote:hamadama fish curry cha lokka...
chicken uth oney
Very Happy


And wash it down with a Pepsi  Very Happy

22Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Jun 21, 2013 12:57 pm

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Today being Friday..I will have chicken buriyani.

23Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Jun 21, 2013 3:01 pm

VISA


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
what about halal fiasco

24Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Jun 21, 2013 3:51 pm

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
hayyo ayeth patan gattada mey sellama....

okkoma eye wash Very Happy

chicken = haram, matpan b driving = halal

TAH

25Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Jun 21, 2013 3:58 pm

Jiggysaurus


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:

matpan b driving = halal

TAH

Better than a 50 year old marrying (or should we use another word) a 9 year old child.

Don't make fun of other cults TAH, because your cult is the funniest of all.

Chill out and try some Pork buriyani, beats chicken and camels everytime.

26Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Mon Jun 24, 2013 1:27 pm

sharekhan

sharekhan
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
its biriyani and not buriyani..........

27Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Tue Jun 25, 2013 2:53 pm

Prince

Prince
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I am 100% sure we'll see the opposite news in the same paper in next JAN 2014 ..........................    once the so called market players  collected the most of the float of chicken shares for the least value they can.

Then you will see a lot of newspaper articles on increased chicken consumption, increased per capita income , high living conditions and unexpected demand in the market.

Beware its .....

"CHICKEN RUN - 2014"


(probably we might get it in 3D.)

RPPA


Expert
Expert
Food price data released by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) for the first two weeks of October showed mixed movements, with upticks seen in most categories of vegetables, while categories of fruits and fresh fish saw declines. During September, food prices dipped 0.4% MOM.

Prices of most varieties of vegetables showed increases during October owing to rainy conditions curbing supply. Another factor for the reduced output is due to the end of the Yala harvesting. However, rice prices saw declines towards the latter half of the month as increased imports of rice in September had improved supply . Despite a fall in prices of fresh fish during the first half of October, rainy conditions across the country during the remainder of the month could see more upward pressure on these prices. Overall, we feel that F&B inflation could see a slight uptick from previous months of declines.

With the full implementation of the reduction in electricity tariffs by 25% by the GOSL, we expect to see a significant fall in inflation in the Utilities sub-category in October. Adding to this, the Transport category could also see some pass-through effects of the reduction in fuel prices implemented in the second half of last month.

Based on the above factors, we expect overall headline inflation to decline for a third consecutive month on a MOM basis, falling by 0.90% in October. On a YOY basis, it is expected to fall to 2.4% from 3.5% growth in the previous month.



Last edited by RPPA on Wed Oct 29, 2014 7:54 pm; edited 1 time in total

29Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 7:53 pm

indi009

indi009
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@RPPA wrote:Food price data released by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) for the first two weeks of October showed mixed movements, with upticks seen in most categories of vegetables, while categories of fruits and fresh fish saw declines. During September, food prices dipped 0.4% MOM.

Prices of most varieties of vegetables showed increases during October owing to rainy conditions curbing supply. Another factor for the reduced output is due to the end of the Yala harvesting. However, rice prices saw declines towards the latter half of the month as increased imports of rice in September had improved supply . Despite a fall in prices of fresh fish during the first half of October, rainy conditions across the country during the remainder of the month could see more upward pressure on these prices. Overall, we feel that F&B inflation could see a slight uptick from previous months of declines.

With the full implementation of the reduction in electricity tariffs by 25% by the GOSL, we expect to see a significant fall in inflation in the Utilities sub-category in October. Adding to this, the Transport category could also see some pass-through effects of the reduction in fuel prices implemented in the second half of last month.

Based on the above factors, we expect overall headline inflation to decline for a third consecutive month on a MOM basis, falling by 0.90% in October. On a YOY basis, it is expected to fall to 2.4% from 3.5% growth in the previous month.


hEY RPPA

Do u have any news on SFIN?????

30Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 7:59 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
SFIN - On the fundamental view point

1st QTR EPS Rs.0.45/share

So by annualising it by multiplying by 4 will not give a big boost for the price appreciation. As per now 21/- will be the maximum expectation.



31Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 8:06 pm

indi009

indi009
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks,

I hold 100,000 shares of SFIN. I would rather sell it and go for another investment.

What are the shares that you would consider for a short term gain???

32Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 8:19 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@indi009 wrote:Thanks,

I hold 100,000 shares of SFIN. I would rather sell it and go for another investment.

What are the shares that you would consider for a short term gain???

LIOC,CFVF,VPEL,LGL

33Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 8:21 pm

indi009

indi009
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@RPPA wrote:
@indi009 wrote:Thanks,

I hold 100,000 shares of SFIN. I would rather sell it and go for another investment.

What are the shares that you would consider for a short term gain???

LIOC,CFVF,VPEL,LGL

Can you pls mention the expected price of these shares.............

34Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 8:25 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@indi009 wrote:
@RPPA wrote:
@indi009 wrote:Thanks,

I hold 100,000 shares of SFIN. I would rather sell it and go for another investment.

What are the shares that you would consider for a short term gain???

LIOC,CFVF,VPEL,LGL

Can you pls mention the expected price of these shares.............

LIOC 60/-
CFVF 65/- TO 70/- or more
VPEL 8 TO 9
LGL 46/-

35Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Oct 29, 2014 9:04 pm

indi009

indi009
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks........

36Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Any Idea about October 2014 Inflation Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:38 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Any Idea about October 2014 Inflation

Vegetable price bit high...
Rice and some other stuff bit high price during October

37Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:40 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@stockback wrote:Any Idea about October 2014 Inflation

Vegetable price bit high...
Rice and some other stuff bit high price during October

BELOW 3% FOR SURE.

38Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Oct 31, 2014 1:48 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@RPPA wrote:
@stockback wrote:Any Idea about October 2014 Inflation

Vegetable price bit high...
Rice and some other stuff bit high price during October

BELOW 3% FOR SURE.

If its below 3.0%

very nice......

39Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Oct 31, 2014 4:50 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Inflation 1.6% Y-Y

diffidently interest down. very good for all sectors.

Specially CFVF,ESL.............

40Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Fri Oct 31, 2014 6:31 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@stockback wrote:Inflation 1.6% Y-Y

diffidently interest down. very good for all sectors.

Specially CFVF,ESL.............


Headline inflation fell to its lowest level on a YOY basis since October 2009, growing by 1.6% in October 2014. On a MOM basis it recorded a decline of 1.6%, the largest drop seen since the beginning of the 2006 base. This was below our forecast of 2.4% YOY inflation, which expected a more modest decline of 0.9% on a MOM basis.

F&B inflation saw a slight uptick of 0.1% MOM due to rainy conditions prevailing across the country. Inflation in this category, however, was contained due to improved supply of rice during the month from increased imports entering the market.

Effects of the 25% reduction in electricity tariffs during the prior month was evident in October as the Energy category recorded a 7.8% decline over the month. This resulted in the largest ever YOY decline of 7.9% seen in this category. The Transport category also saw a further fall from fuel price reductions, effective last month, contracting by 0.8% over the month. Thus, Non-Food inflation declined by 3.1% and 0.9% on a MOM and YOY basis respectively.

Core inflation remained muted during the month, recording flat growth on a MOM basis from negative growth of 0.2% recorded last month. On a YOY basis it moderated to 3.6% in October.

NZ BOY

NZ BOY
Moderator
Moderator
Sri Lanka can cut rates once inflation expectations stable-c.bank chief
Tue Jan 27, 2015 4:59am EST

COLOMBO, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Sri Lanka can reduce its policy interest rates below their current record low levels once inflationary expectations subside and become stable, new Central Bank Governor Arjuna Mahendran said on Tuesday.

"Inflation expectations are still embedded in people's minds," Mahendran told Reuters in an interview after the central bank announced its January policy decision. "We have to keep rates stable for a while until those inflationary expectations come down to a stable level and then we can cut interest rates further."

The central bank left policy rates steady on Tuesday for a 12th straight month, as expected. Speaking after his first monetary policy meeting, Mahendran said inflation was expected to ease further with the economy expected "to record a robust performance", predicting growth of 7.5 percent this year. (Reporting by Shihar Aneez; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)

Source
http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSL4N0V62DT20150127?irpc=932

42Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Jan 28, 2015 10:30 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Can we maintain the inflation at current level.

43Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Wed Jan 28, 2015 10:39 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Both Demand pull inflation and cost push inflation can be witnessed in coming months. Hope that the the new CB Governor can recompose the product basket of the CPI to more realistic one within 100 days in order ascertain the real purchasing power of a Sri Lanka.

44Inflation in Sri Lanka - Page 2 Empty Re: Inflation in Sri Lanka Thu Jan 29, 2015 12:13 am

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
ESL and CFVF both are bright future.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
·Take advantage of falling grain, copper, oil, rubber and other raw material prices through listed companies in the CSE.

 ·Take advantage of lower interest rate through listed companies in the CSE


· Take advantage of lower inflation through  listed companies in the CSE

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