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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Lets try to understand what is happening in the market right now

Lets try to understand what is happening in the market right now

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Bargain


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Try to Understand next big runners before they pass big names.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
At the moment, more reasons to be a bear market than to be bull. 2/3 majority is the only short term answer for bull run but it'snot going to happen.
best thing to do is picking future winners as BARGAIN SAID .

Kipling dislikes this post

Rare


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@celtic tiger wrote:
@Rare wrote:
Something wrong. Why is this market rising?
 
Pakistan’s Stock Market becomes The 2nd Best Performer Globally
https://propakistani.pk/2020/08/03/pakistans-stock-market-becomes-the-2nd-best-performer-globally/
Pakistan’s benchmark index, KSE-100, was the second-best performer globally in the past month according to Bloomberg’s data and has gained 47% since reaching the lowest this year on March 25. The stocks have recovered all the losses caused by the coronavirus.
Serious investors  sees more opportunity in a county that had- WORST past- BAD present- but BRIGHT future sunny
Hit 21-week high. KSE-100 crosses 40000-point barrier.
https://www.samaa.tv/money/2020/08/pakistan-stocks/
Where is the corona?

Kipling likes this post

Rare


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Try to understand why the stock market does not follow reality. More surprises. The PSX started to move up and gained over 5,000 points in the month of July alone — a 17-year high for a single month.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/pakistan-roll-back-lockdown-measures-death-coronavirus
Pakistan to roll back lockdown measures as COVID-19 death numbers decline
Pakistan's situation has improved significantly compared to other countries in the region," Umar said, according to Barron’s. Government data indicates that Pakistan’s daily virus deaths peaked in June with 150 people per day.OVID-19 death numbers decline. The numbers have continued to dwindle, and on Thursday only 21 new fatalities were reported.
Schools and universities planned to reopen Sept. 15, subject to a final review, Umar said. Non-contact sports will resume Monday, but no audiences will be present.
 “The threat has not gone away. The situation has improved because the government formulated a clear strategy which was implemented by the administrative machinery,” Umar said, the Hindustan Times reported.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Foreign debt of the country is the dark cloud over us if new government can show some sort of ability to move this cloud will help CSE big time.

Love Boy


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I can not understand market. but, huge funds seem to be invest the market without inform us. Sometimes,it may be EPF. But,I can not understand.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Love Boy wrote:I can not understand market. but, huge funds seem to be invest the market without inform us. Sometimes,it may be EPF. But,I can not understand.
Present low interest rates makes cse attractive to HNWI and to  locals funds at the same time depreciation of rupee force foreigners to sell.

dayandacool likes this post

Kipling


Expert
Expert
Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!


_________________




The biggest risk in life is not taking any risk at all.

topgun86 likes this post

dayandacool

dayandacool
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:
@Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!


Agree with you on this. Issue is with high liquidity makes high inflation which leads foreign governments rethinking their lending policy or offer higher interest rates when lending money. Hope they will have a solution for that in future. If done right, SL is in a better path.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
we are in the right place (indian ocean) right time (covid19) if we do the right thing  Sri lanka will be the next tiger economy in asia.

Intrinsic


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:
@Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!

Hi! 

80% agreed. The issue is the time frame you have given: Before year end. 

As I think, most probably that will further delay. Country's main income is exports & tourism. We will not get substantial export orders till US & EU become fully recovered from Covid. Also our inbound tourism will not regain its past glory till the travel bans are fully lifted from that end. 

Since US & EU are still struggling, I think this status will drag until mid of 2021 at least. 

Thanks.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED

shihan 93


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@celtic tiger wrote:Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED
Foreigners was in selling mood for 3,4 months now

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@shihan 93 wrote:
@celtic tiger wrote:Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED
Foreigners was in selling mood for 3,4 months now

Yes . but banks were not bad 3,4 months ago. was it?

ResearchMan


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Really have to understand the market. How it works.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ResearchMan wrote:Really have to understand the market. How it works.
 Higher trading %,New investors and  PANIC

ResearchMan


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@celtic tiger wrote:
@ResearchMan wrote:Really have to understand the market. How it works.
 Higher trading %,New investors and  PANIC
Understand the market and stocks cycles. The reality is that investment is not risk free but when approached in a disciplined manner, it is one of the most efficient ways to build up one's net worth.

KavinduTM likes this post

madukp


Expert
Expert
In brief panic sellers, gamblers and fools are selling and we are collecting. It's worthwhile to put FD in CSE for a couple of years then having a 5% interest rate. It will give us 50%+ profit fr sure.

KavinduTM and Kipling like this post

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
1.Tug of war going on to be the richest man in SL
2.Foriegners keep selling because of falling rupee
3.Local money keep coming because of nor where to put them.
I am just try to understand current scenario ?? any thoughts ??

agentnrox and Nandun like this post

ResearchMan


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Try to understand Mr Market's personality. Rewards comes with hard working.

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Foreign  funds ,HNWIs and battle_hardened retailers  Embarassed . Not a bad combination.

judecroos likes this post

Wickyz


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@celtic tiger wrote:
@shihan 93 wrote:
@celtic tiger wrote:Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED
Foreigners was in selling mood for 3,4 months now

Yes . but banks were not bad 3,4 months ago. was it?
Lol

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