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EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000)

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941EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty EXPO LANKA Sat Oct 31, 2020 7:11 am

judecroos


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I saw this post in another forum posted by dayandacool and bullbear , so I thought this will be useful even for our members in this forum.


Hope this won't take an ugly turn for the worse.





EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Fetch?id=41134&d=1604045561
These things were normal in many workplaces world wide. Just because few employees got infected they didn't closed down their entire workplaces especially in essential workplaces such as hospitals, PPE manufactures and food. Only thing they did was they carried out their essential services while isolating infected patients. Transportation is also another vital sector in the pandemic era. Imagine if everybody closed their workplaces, borders and waited without doing anything how are they are going to do import and export and get things that they need including things need to control pandemic.

Cma, dayandacool, RJ1010, Mithooshan and Bish2020 like this post

942EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:36 pm

කොටස් වෙළඳපොළ2020


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig pig


ඉතිරි සේවකයන් සියලු දෙනා ආරක්ෂිතයි – එක්ස්පෝ ලංකා හෝල්ඩිංග්ස් පීඑල්සී පවසයි



cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat cat
කොළඹ කොටස් හුවමාරුවේ ලැයිස්ගුගත  ප්‍රධාන පෙළේ සමාගමක් වන එක්ස්පෝ ලංකා හෝල්ඩිංග්ස් පීඑල්සී හි කාර්ය මණ්ඩලයේ සාමාජිකයන් නව දෙනෙකු නව කොරෝනා වෛරසය ආසාදනය වී ඇති බවට හඳුනාගැනීමෙන් අනතුරුව, එහි අනෙකුත් සේවකයන්ගේ ආරක්ෂාව වෙනුවෙන් ගත හැකි ක්ෂණික ක්‍රියාමාර්ග ගත් බව එම සමාගම පවසයි.
පසුගියදා සිය සමූහයට අයත් එකිනෙකට වෙනස් ස්ථානවල පිහිටි සමාගම් කිහිපයක් ආශ්‍රිතව සිදු කළ අහඹු PCR පරීක්ෂණවලදී මෙලෙස ආසාදිතයන් 9 දෙනෙකු හමු වූ බව සමාගම සඳහන් කරයි. ඒ අනුව දැනටමත් ඔවුන් සියලු දෙනාම රජය මගින් පවත්වාගෙන යන නිරෝධායන මධ්‍යස්ථාන වෙත යැවීමක්ද සිදු කර තිබේ. මෙහිදී සිය කාර්ය මණ්ඩල සාමාජිකයන්ට වෛරසය ආසාදනය වන්නට ඇත්තේ බාහිර සම්ප්‍රේෂණයක් හරහා බවට සමාගම විශ්වාසය පළ කරයි.
“මෙම ආසාදිතයන් 09 දෙනාගේ ආශ්‍රිතයන් හඳුනාගැනීම සඳහා සමාගම දායකත්වය ලබා දුන්නා. ඒ වගේම වැඩි අවදානමක් පවතින බවට සැක කෙරෙන අනෙකුත් සියලුම කාර්ය මණ්ඩල සාමාජිකයන් සඳහාද PCR පරීක්ෂණ සිදු කළා. මීට අමතරව බලධාරීන් විසින් දැනට ලබා දී ඇති නිවේදනයට අනුව මෙම ආසාදිතයන් සමගින් ඍජු සබඳතා පවත්වා ඇති සේවකයන් සියලු දෙනාම ස්වයං – නිරෝධායනයට ලක් කර තිබෙනවා.” සමාගම පවසයි.
මේ අතර ඔක්තෝබර් මාසය ආරම්භයේ සිටම සමාගම අත්‍යවශ්‍ය මෙහෙයුම් සඳහා සම්බන්ධ පිරිස් හැර අනෙකුත් සේවකයන් සඳහා නිවසේ සිට රාජකාරි කිරීමේ කටයුතු ආරම්භ කළ බවත් පවසයි. එසේම සිය සේවකයන් සමීපව නිරීක්ෂණය සඳහා සැම විටම මහජන සෞඛ්‍ය පරීක්ෂවරුන් සහ වසංගත රෝග විද්‍යා ඒකකය සමගින් කටයුතු කළ බවත් ඔවුන් සඳහන් කරයි.
“මේ අවිනිශ්චිත කාලසීමාවේදී අපේ මූලික අභිප්‍රාය වෙන්නේ අපගේ සියලුම කොටස්කරුවන්ගේ යහ පැවැත්මයි. ඒ සඳහා බලධාරීන් නිකුත් කර ඇති සියලුම උපදෙස් අප පිළිපදිනවා.” එක්ස්පෝ ලංකා හෝල්ඩිංග්ස් සමාගම වැඩිදුරටත් පවසා සිටියි.  
No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No No


RJ1010 likes this post

943EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:58 am

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Waiting patiently for the second quarter results. 🙂

944EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:08 am

Mr. X


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Mithooshan wrote:Waiting patiently for the second quarter results. 🙂

Few more days...

945EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:11 am

Detective


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Smell of a dividend too, atleast 0.5 on cards in this fav situation  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

946EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:13 am

Mr. X

Mr. X
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Detective wrote:Smell of a dividend too, atleast 0.5 on cards in this fav situation  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

I feel the same way... lets wait and see.

947EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:58 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

May be the last day trading @ below the Rs.19 (Only my personnel view).
I guess, quarterly EPS will be Rs.0.90 between 0.99 (very close to Rs.1) - should be at least 0.01 cents more than the Q1. otherwise cannot survive at Rs.19/- range like today.

Mithooshan likes this post

948EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:04 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:May be the last day trading @ below the Rs.19 (Only my personnel view).
I guess, quarterly EPS will be Rs.0.90 between 0.99 (very close to Rs.1) - should be at least 0.01 cents more than the Q1. otherwise cannot survive at Rs.19/- range like today.

The buyers are very smart. They are collecting the shares without any rush. Not rushing to buy knowing it will result in a price hike.

949EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:08 pm

Citizen Silva


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Still some sellers off loading at 18.70 - 18.80 levels, they are nervous of this falling due to COVID news so taking profit but this share worth 22 minimum. The story is clear from the turnover pattern, shows aggressive buying but with restraint to keep  price down. Perhaps the report is due.

Mithooshan likes this post

950EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:18 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

951EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:20 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

Honestly PER should be minimum 10 in my opinion.

952EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:36 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Mithooshan wrote:
EPS wrote:Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

Honestly PER should be minimum 10 in my opinion.
Yah. Its Light Asset model business.
How about, if they generates 1.5 EPS for Q2 ?
1.5 X 4 ?

953EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:43 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:
Mithooshan wrote:
EPS wrote:Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

Honestly PER should be minimum 10 in my opinion.
Yah. Its Light Asset model business.
How about, if they generates 1.5 EPS for Q2 ?
1.5 X 4 ?

I will be really happy if the EPS for Q2 is Rs.1.50 but I don’t think it will be that much. Should be more than 0.80 and possible to touch even RS.1.00.

As you correctly said, someone is offloading at Rs.18.70. Hence the price stagnated there. By next week, share price should start appreciating with the interim F/S.

954EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:52 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Mithooshan wrote:
EPS wrote:
Mithooshan wrote:
EPS wrote:Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

Honestly PER should be minimum 10 in my opinion.
Yah. Its Light Asset model business.
How about, if they generates 1.5 EPS for Q2 ?
1.5 X 4 ?

I will be really happy if the EPS for Q2 is Rs.1.50 but I don’t think it will be that much. Should be more than 0.80 and possible to touch even RS.1.00.

As you correctly said, someone is offloading at Rs.18.70. Hence the price stagnated there. By next week, share price should start appreciating with the interim F/S.
 Yah. I also expecting only 0.90 for Q2, because thinking they continue the same business model, same as q1. But, we should keep understand that EXPO is massive growing company by now and there are lot of country by country expansions are going on.
So, really thinking, if any case, if they deliver above the Rs.1 EPS, then all can dance  Basketball Basketball Basketball

Mithooshan likes this post

955EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:57 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Well, Agreed ! 😊

956EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 2:07 pm

lakymahesh


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

EPS wrote:Yah. Minimum estimation...
Q1 - 0.89
Q2 -  0.90
Q3 - 0.70
Q4 - 0.50
Total - 3.0
EPS 3 x 7 or 8 PER ? will see

Dividend payout ratio is around 30% as per the annual report , so according to this calculation can expect abt Rs 0.85/-,  so you decide how much you gonna pay for this share.

957EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 2:35 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:May be the last day trading @ below the Rs.19 (Only my personnel view).
I guess, quarterly EPS will be Rs.0.90 between 0.99 (very close to Rs.1) - should be at least 0.01 cents more than the Q1. otherwise cannot survive at Rs.19/- range like today.

What a prediction! 👏🏾👏🏾

vikey, heroxhere and judecroos like this post

958EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:54 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Seems now supporting level of 17.50 can maintain for EXPO. 
Also We saw the uptrend confirmation during last Friday and Todays trading. 
So, most probably we can expect EXPO trading above the Rs.20 in coming days with adding hopes for expecting Q2 financials.

959EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 am

Ahilan007


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Will EXPO give dividend for this year?? last year 2019 they didn't give dividend

960EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:18 am

arun.cse


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

definitely will give, whatever it will touch 22 within this week

961EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:10 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

arun.cse wrote:definitely will give, whatever it will touch 22 within this week

It already reached Rs.21.40 ! I was expecting it to reach Rs.22 by end of the week only. I think i am wrong here.

962EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:13 pm

arun.cse


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Mithooshan wrote:
arun.cse wrote:definitely will give, whatever it will touch 22 within this week

It already reached Rs.21.40 ! I was expecting it to reach Rs.22 by end of the week only. I think i am wrong here.

me too,  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

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963EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:46 pm

arun.cse


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

arun.cse wrote:definitely will give, whatever it will touch 22 within this week

Achieved cheers cheers cheers cheers cheers

RJ1010 likes this post

964EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:50 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

arun.cse wrote:
arun.cse wrote:definitely will give, whatever it will touch 22 within this week

Achieved cheers cheers cheers cheers cheers

Yes, Indeed 🙂
My best wishes to shareholders !

vikey and DKbogols like this post

965EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:18 pm

KingMaker2020


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

What a run! Absolutely breathtaking!  Very Happy

966EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:27 pm

Mr. X

Mr. X
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

more to see in next week... 35/- expected price after Q2 results.

967EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:30 pm

Mr. X

Mr. X
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ONTHEMONEY wrote:Hi all,

I have shared in my earlier post about the estimated market value of EXPO as follows

Scenario 1 - CONSERVATIVELY POSSIBLE

1Q2020 = Rs 0.89
2Q20 - 4Q20 = 1.33 [Assuming EXPO discounted significantly by 50% of 1Q2020 EPS on a conservative model on all remaining quarters]

Total Est. EPS = Rs 2.22

1Q20 Earnings adjusted for any one-off items during the period by substantially discounting on blanket basis. 


Est. Market value after the adjustments = Rs 22.20 [PE = 10x multiples]

Notes

1. Overall Market PE 9.82 as of 09.10.20
2. Sector PE 23.9 as of 09.10.20

However, by what I feel is the fact that above is far to conservative and shall be risk free investment

Now, I shall wanted to outline new perceptive about possible two NEW scenarios which can BEST POSSIBLE and HIGHLY OPTIMISTIC. However these prices shall be dependent on how best EXPO can deliver 2Q20 earnings

Scenario 2 - BEST POSSIBLE

1Q2020 = Rs 0.89
2Q20 - 4Q20 = 2.0 [Assuming EXPO discounted by 25% of 1Q2020 EPS on a relatively conservative model on all remaining quarters]

Total Est. EPS = Rs 2.89

Est. Market value after the adjustments = Rs 28.90 [PE = 10x multiples]

Scenario 3 - HIGHLY OPTIMISTIC

1Q2020 = Rs 0.89
2Q20 - 4Q20 = 2.67 [Assuming EXPO to deliver same as 1Q2020 EPS on all remaining quarters]

Total Est. EPS = Rs 3.56

Est. Market value after the adjustments = Rs 35.60 [PE = 10x multiples]

Therefore, I strongly feel EXPO has the capability to DELIVER super normal earnings as 1Q20 and discounting 25% of 1Q20 would be IDEAL compute the MARKET VALUE as per Scenario 2 above. Hence, Rs 28.90 would be much more REALISTIC

However, if EXPO records above super normal EPS delivered in 1Q20[more than Rs 0.89], the market value could be as per scenario 3 above.

Good Luck

DISCLAIMER - This is not a BUY or SELL Recommendation. Investment in CSE has its own risks and returns.

Keep this in mind boys... Next week you will need this.

heroxhere and Mithooshan like this post

968EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:43 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

Main factor to see...
Is EXPO Billions earning company for its each quarter
like other larger Blue Chip companies in CSE.
I think future price will depend on that.

969EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:48 pm

Mithooshan


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Tokyo was trading like this before results came out (exactly one day before) and even after results came there was a share price appreciation. I wonder whether someone is already aware of the results. And based on how it got traded today i am pretty sure it is good. I don’t think whoever collected did so in a speculated performance.

Otherwise no reason to buy as high as RS.22.90/RS.23 today.

@Captain - Special thanks to you as well. If not for your recommendation, i would not have analysed this share. Initially i was under the impression that this share price is over valued. But after doing my research i knew it is the other way around.

Thanks again ! 🙏🏾

970EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 39 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:49 pm

abey


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

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