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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Bull or bear? What are you wishing for?

Bull or bear? What are you wishing for?

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1Bull or bear? What are you wishing for? Empty Bull or bear? What are you wishing for? Thu Jul 14, 2011 9:16 am

Kaush


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
I have observed that some of us here are waiting for a bull run to make a considerable return while some are hope and wish market to go further down to collect good shares at a cheaper price and earn a better return later on. People wishing for bull-run continuously talk about positives while people wishing for bear, continuously spreading negatives.
This is part of gambling where some are determined to hold their trump cards and get the maximum from them while some are working hard to make others to drop their trump cards.
New comers should be very watchful and understand the situation if they want to gamble but if you are an investor I don’t think it will be a problem for you.
Anyway please do remember we also have a responsibility to protect our market and should not always spread negatives. Our market is less exposed to the foreign markets and rise or fall will mainly depend on our own country characteristics and activities.

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
That is how capital markets operate, things would have been more interesting if we had instruments like short selling, options, position trading etc...

I have been bearish on the market since March this year, still I am bearish given the fact that most of the shares are either over valued or fairly valued on lagging indicators. Therefor I believe even if you invest in a fairly valued counter the return you generate may not be above average.

If the investor's return expectation is normal market return there is plenty of opportunities to enter. However if you expect above average returns I cannot tell the same.

In this environment I have moved my focus on identifying shares that could give above average return in 2-5 year time horizon. I have moved 60% of my funds to long term category and 40% in cash to take advantage of a possible market correction.

I may be miserably wrong and only time will tell.

stumpy

stumpy
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
How can u be wrong!

I'm also doing the same thing with a percentage difference 20 % Long term n others for "Bora diye Malu baama" in this highly volatile market Wink

Leo_pold

Leo_pold
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I think bears and bulls are relative matters. There are no such hard and fast bears or bulls, there may be, but certainly they are not very successful in the long run. When the market is bearish as it's now, a good trader become a bear, and when the market turns green, he becomes a bull. That is what needs to happen. If one thinks he's a bull so he should play bullish in this bearish market, mark my words, he'll lose big time...!!

Investor99


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
We cannot wish for what we want the market will behave based on the market regulations, the world economic situation, market sentiments, local economic data etc. Some of the shares in the market today are overvalued, clearance of credit, Euro zone debit crisis etc is driving the market down.

In today market there are some fundamentally strong shares at a discounted price. In my opinion these are good long term buys

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