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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » What may be the bottom ?

What may be the bottom ?

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1What may be the bottom ? Empty What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:40 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Very soon the market MAY fall past 6360 . 6360 MAY be more resistant but I am not sure that it MAY not fall below it. If it happens it MAY break 6257 . Then the fall MAY be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market MAY not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)



Last edited by mark on Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:27 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : edited accordingly)

2What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:54 pm

early


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
How do you predict that ASI will come down to 4862?

3What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:05 pm

raa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
*did you mean 5862... otherwise this looks more like the end of the world than a bear market :S

4What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:07 pm

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
what is this based on??

5What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:11 pm

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
what is this based on??

6What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:33 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
They are all technical break points. I sensed this fall three months ago and sold out everything (Good and bad). I with 100 % cash in hand now ( 100% unused margin too).
If the fall continue in this rate for 8 weeks 4862 is possible. Whatever happens I am safe.
But the good news is we are getting close to the bottom of the market cycle. When we are sure that the market has hit the bottom we should not jump to buy. We should wait for the consolidation. Unclear signs of bottom consolidation are faintly seen. But we must stay in the safe side.
If all these go wrong the market will hit 4862.

Learn the "Market cycle" before investing in the stock market. To be safe and to get the maximum we should have a Investment cycle that goes with the market cycle. Every individual stock follow the market cycle. So how can we invest forgetting market cycle?. No one is responsible for your losses other then yourself. From the posts here what is clear is 98% of people have no knowledge about market cycle. Before being thorough about the market cycle I also fell in to troubles years ago.

7What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:49 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
If you want to learn some thing about market go to there sites.
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/Stock-market-cycles.html

8What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:56 pm

godswen

godswen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote: Then the fall will be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market will not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)

4862? Are you just writing up numbers that pops up in your mind? Rolling Eyes

9What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:08 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Godswen
Do not get angry .That is one of the worst bottom levels. The fall may not dip that far. Also we can not stop that if it happens. We can not change the market. We can only respond to it wisely of foolishly. If you failed to see the market correction early can not be helped

If this turns out to be a crash we can not predict where it will stop.In such a situation market will end up at the levels of first quarter of 2009. ( Study the recent crash in Bangladesh.)
Bangladesh market lost 660 points ( 9.25 %) in just one hour. As a result the trading suffered a loss of about 6.7 percent



Last edited by Stockmate on Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:30 pm; edited 1 time in total

10What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:25 pm

wallstreetguy


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
You made things more scarier. Hahaha. Numbers cant be a nightmare.

11What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:36 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

12What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:45 pm

2011_NewComer

2011_NewComer
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote:If you want to learn some thing about market go to there sites.
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/Stock-market-cycles.html

Thanks for that link Smile

13What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:50 pm

Marketinvest

Marketinvest
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Its might come down to 6300

14What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:17 pm

Market Sucker

Market Sucker
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
dnt worry guys,there will be no sellers to push down index too much down,bet you Wink

15What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:20 pm

Market Sucker

Market Sucker
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote:If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

can you give the link where you told about such a thing Question
im sorry,im new Very Happy

16What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:28 pm

Academic


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote:Very soon the market will fall past 6360 . 6360 will be more resistant but I am not sure that it will not fall below it. If it happens it will break 6257 . Then the fall will be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market will not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)

Please don't use the word "will" for foretasted figures. This is a kind of market manipulations.

17What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:33 pm

sanjeewa88

sanjeewa88
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I think you calculated this figures by what we have rather than what we will have.

I'm also following statistics. But stat can't do all in CSE. Trend and cyclical factors are only two thing which we can predict.

If SEC or CSE takes a strategic drift you will change your figures definitely.

18What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:40 pm

godswen

godswen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote:Godswen
Do not get angry .That is one of the worst bottom levels. The fall may not dip that far. Also we can not stop that if it happens. We can not change the market. We can only respond to it wisely of foolishly. If you failed to see the market correction early can not be helped

If this turns out to be a crash we can not predict where it will stop.In such a situation market will end up at the levels of first quarter of 2009. ( Study the recent crash in Bangladesh.)
Bangladesh market lost 660 points ( 9.25 %) in just one hour. As a result the trading suffered a loss of about 6.7 percent


Dude! Hell no, I'm not angry! I just asked for a better explanation? You may be right but 4862 seems to be rather inappropriate in reality? Well let's see! Smile

19What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:51 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@Stockmate wrote:If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

Dude why didnt u come to this forum early.. we'd have not bleed like this if you said these know? we needed you more than ever now..

Gosh.. lets cut the crap.. Market may bleed to 6000 even under prevailing conditions since we dont see any inter-vision from the regulators to stop the idiotic menace they've introduced..
But anything below 5000 is out of the question..

Well I gotta go fly a kite cuz I heard enuf BS now Wink

20What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
meh! hard to tell what the bottom is.

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