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Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!!

+9
UKboy
dimithridesilva
wallstreetguy
Niggard
SL.Market
Tiger
pathum
tubal
a_randy
13 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:31 pm

a_randy

a_randy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

There are 'n' number of predictions in this forum about rallys in this week. Most of them keep eye with BIL, ATL, EAST, BLUE, FLCH, HVA, ECL, COLO, SEMB, MULL, etc.. But those didn't perform as expected and many of them were dropped. Yesterdays market behaviour and todays behaviour is completely different. Is this due to Manipulators? Or anything else? Can we expect a positive movement? Question
Guys please share !!



Last edited by a_randy on Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:46 pm; edited 1 time in total

2Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:40 pm

tubal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

September started with all the pundits in this forum buying all the unimaginably crappy shares (yes thats all the shares in the list with the possible exception of COLO (which was ok at 300))cause they now have credit.

We are now entering the stage where their credit limits are being reached. No more buying. Real investors and traders know that these pundits will sell in desparation soon and they are biding their time.

Please refer my earlier post titled you have been shafted.

3Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:44 pm

a_randy

a_randy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:September started with all the pundits in this forum buying all the unimaginably crappy shares (yes thats all the shares in the list with the possible exception of COLO (which was ok at 300))cause they now have credit.

We are now entering the stage where their credit limits are being reached. No more buying. Real investors and traders know that these pundits will sell in desparation soon and they are biding their time.

Please refer my earlier post titled you have been shafted.

REP ++

4Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:46 pm

pathum

pathum
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Eventhough I am a novice to CSE, what I can see is people are following penny stocks imagining the same result will occur to those counters as same as HVA.N0000.
Well that could happen, if a big player would have decided to play with it for a while.
If you are an investor, please stick with your fundamentals. If you are a trader, please learn how to analyze charts. Therefore you could identify trends and put your hard earned money.

I hope there are many experts in here than me, so I am really ok to be corrected for the above quote. Smile

5Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:59 pm

a_randy

a_randy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Most people said rocket goes upto this much. It's there right to say, but new comer or novice definitly lose their money. Therefore think twice before you say unless if it's a reliable source.

6Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:03 pm

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I believe this is good exit opportunity with handy profit. I was having SFIN as a long term counter but disposed at the peak, most counters in my PF are slowly disposing. I am glad of this rally because I can dispose some of the loss making counters at smaller loss.

Only share that I will not dispose is CTEA, except that I am planing to dispose all. I don't think that its good time to keep even fundermentally good shares. By the looking at the behavior of CSE, feel we will reach the edge of the cliff very soon. The crap will drag down even the fundermentals.


I may be wrong in my judgment and may be missing a big upswing. I have decided to stay in the cash.
This is my personal opinion please obtain professional advice before making your investment decision.

7Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:07 pm

SL.Market

SL.Market
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

I feel never ending of leaning lesson from running behind rumors...
No one can say this week this this much, this will up.. bla bla
but only manipulators can say coz they do the up and down... But never expect any information from them....
any good pattern reader can say this is up trend but cant say the dates.......

Good Luck

8Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:34 pm

Niggard

Niggard
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:We are now entering the stage where their credit limits are being reached. No more buying. Real investors and traders know that these pundits will sell in desparation soon and they are biding their time.

Please refer my earlier post titled you have been shafted.

Thx for reminder. Smile

9Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:51 pm

wallstreetguy


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

We are not fortune tellers, we dont know what will happen tommorow, because its not possible. But we are capable of analysing a situation and can predict a similar out come.

10Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 5:40 pm

dimithridesilva


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

BLUE.N and X u messed CSE today.... Twisted Evil

11Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 6:37 pm

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

1st of all + rep for Tubal. Im one of the few people who badly missing your posts on here.

Last few days we saw a mini break for the long running bearish market. This market is still far from attracting new funds either locally or internationally.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t9422-this-questions-must-be-highlighted-to-the-experts

However for survive, you may have to adapt to this new environment. I made more money from MFL & SFS than holding SAMP for long time. I never thought that I would ever buy junks likes WAPO, BLUE, MFL, SFS etc. But if there are many other people willing buy these at a high cost why should I worry.

These small retailers are mislead big time and it is utterly pointless telling the potentials with fundamentally sound shares to them. That time has NOT arrived yet. ( may be next year)
In a trader's world, all the deals are not ended up with win-win situation.

My ever decreasing portfolio now have only two long term investments (one is SAMP)


12Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 8:58 pm

FXX

FXX
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

This is profit taking time for the people who collected BLU.N for 7.90-8.20 ATL for 2.20 etc, for the entire month i didn't buy anything but sold BLUE and ATL 2 day before the mega rally, ive learn my lesson, buy at low and hold for sometime Smile

BTW will ASI drop back to 6800 ?

13Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 10:09 pm

gamaya


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

You know what they say to do when the old dogs come out of their grave, its time to be cautious

14Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Tue Sep 06, 2011 10:31 pm

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:September started with all the pundits in this forum buying all the unimaginably crappy shares (yes thats all the shares in the list with the possible exception of COLO (which was ok at 300))cause they now have credit.

I would say FLCH was probably a good buy if you can hold for 6 months or so.

15Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Read and see whether I'm correct... Tue Sep 06, 2011 10:58 pm

dimithridesilva


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t9629-read-and-see-whether-i-m-correct-pls-read-pls-read-and-put-a-comment-too#64664

16Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Empty Re: Most Predictions are Wrong !!!!!!! Wed Sep 07, 2011 9:09 am

ha_na


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:

We are now entering the stage where their credit limits are being reached. No more buying. Real investors and traders know that these pundits will sell in desparation soon and they are biding their time.


yes waiting to see another pig slaughtering session.

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