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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » POL Down RAL Up

POL Down RAL Up

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1POL Down RAL Up Empty POL Down RAL Up Wed Sep 07, 2011 1:52 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

The people who study reports knew RAL income went down when coconut prices gone up to very high levels .

Now Coconut, their main raw materiel is available at 100% (or more) lower than few months ago.

Some say they might report healthy returns. Is that the reason for this buying interest ?

2POL Down RAL Up Empty Re: POL Down RAL Up Wed Sep 07, 2011 2:04 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:
The people who study reports knew RAL income went down when coconut prices gone up to very high levels .

Now Coconut, their main raw materiel is available at 100% (or more) lower than few months ago.

Some say they might report healthy returns. Is that the reason for this buying interest ?

Hi Chinwi,

RAL is a good penny stock with growth potential. It was once a 0.5+ eps company but profit went down last year. With coconut prices down the profits should improve as we saw in this quarter report.

Unfortunately I had to sell major part of my RAL as I invested in it parent company RHL. If I can dispose part RHL when it goes up and RAL is attractive at that time, I will buy RAL again.
Over good observation.

3POL Down RAL Up Empty Re: POL Down RAL Up Wed Sep 07, 2011 7:43 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Actually I did not see the following LBO article published yesterday when I wrote above.
I think it is based on their Annual report.

http://lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1786611360

Slstock,

I also sold part of it. Re purchased few quantities last several weeks 5.70 - 6.

Still couldn't figure out why there is a RHL - COCO - RAL chain for same type of products and what to buy to get more return.

4POL Down RAL Up Empty Re: POL Down RAL Up Wed Sep 07, 2011 8:45 pm

ha_na


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Chinwi

I saw you mention this couple of week ago too. As coconut planter i know something different

1 dessicated coconut price still high - I got 40 per nut (without husk) last month
2 One husk is Rs 3
3 shell also high but don't know the price. (that is the problem with HAYC)

do you think coconut price low?

5POL Down RAL Up Empty Re: POL Down RAL Up Thu Sep 08, 2011 1:49 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@ ha_na,

I have no such knowledge in grassroot level.
In Colombo we bought a nut @ 75/- last year and in now @ 30/- - 35/-
That is why I thought the price has come down.

I do not know what is the difference in the wholesale price experienced by RAL

RAL use raw nuts to extract milk and then spray dry to make the powder.
I think COCO is dealing with dessicated products.

--
Answering to your question in different prospective,
("do you think coconut price low?")

I think to sustain in the agri business and produce good nuts from well maintained plantation , a coconut should be priced at least 50 Rupees at retail level. ( 40 at the tree)

Many consumers will go against me here. But, a fair income should be given to the producer to have quality plantation.

The comparison :

A nut was 2.50 in early 1990 and mid level officer's salary was 1100.00
1100/2.5 = 440 nuts buying power. ( 2.50 sometimes went up to 3.25)

Today their salary is at least 25,000 p.m.

25,000 / 440 = A nut should be 56.00 Rupees.
.

Now the price of a nut is 30-35 Rupees I think the price is low compared to other food and it is harmful for the industry. I mean for the plantations .

For the people who process them to make oil , copra, milk powder and do other value additions this is a good raw material price.

Note: I have no experience in this plantation .

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