Hydropower sector is thriving at the moment due to known reasons and we expect the wet climate will continue for next few quarters.
Latest results are impressive as expected.
To determine where we should go from this point I did some study and I do like to publish the summery here .
I think this will save your time , anyone who is interested do not have to go through all the data again and again to process the given information.
We have 2 monsoons and 2 inter monsoon periods
Total Annual rainfall
If you want to look at the rainfall distribution in 4 seasons, you can go to
http://www.meteo.gov.lk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=106&Itemid=81&lang=en
Then we see where they have installed the hydropower stations.
I prepared the location maps for 4 listed companies, VPEL, VLL, HPFL and PAP.
Marker Red - in operation, Blue - under construction.
VPEL power stations
Vidul lanka Staions
HPFL statons
Pan Asia Powerstations.
Note: Padiyapelella II (3.0Mw) and ratganga II ( 1MW) are at preliminary stages, not shown in the map.
By looking at the locations , rainfall patterns and future developments I roughly valued the companies in the following manner.
Location wise:VPEL > VLL > PAP> HPFL
Future capacity developments ( construction currently ongoing)
HPFL> VLL > PAP > VPEL
Increase of EPS for next few seasons ( latest taken as the base)
HPFL > VLL > PAP > VPEL
please note :
above ideas are not derived after extensive calculations .
I invested in PAP and HPFL .
After this latest study I feel loving VLL also. need further study based on reports (AVPS, Debts, EPS , management etc .)
Thank you.