Technical Journal Book of NC

Thanks for all technical and non technical things...

Analysis: DPL.N
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In longterm view, bear trend is reversed with the break of LH (24), since after that there's no any new LL. So, all the other movements are just noises.

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Closer look of Dpl.n:
There's a HPP. so, the target is 20.
According to Schiff pitchfork, it shows a nice channel. The 50% line (ML) has achived @15. Currrently, there's a resistant. (the 50% line). Hence, it can have a pull back. 100% line (UPL)  @ 18.

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Intraday view of Dpl.n:
As said by above chart, ML is a resistant, as you can see the double top @ 14.7. On the other hand, there's an ascending traingal. So, anything could be possible, in next couple of days. on  short term elliotwave counting I think it will do a correction, around 13.5.

Res: 15, 18, 20
Sup: 14, 13.5 , 12. (Be aware if it break 12, a good support)

Dedicated to all Technical Analysts in the forum....  

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NC wrote:The objective of this thread is for application,record keeping, review, evaluate and study of my own technical readings. So, in long term it benefited in making sharp our analysis throughout time to time evaluation and mistakes. This thread is for educational purpose only.
Any one can free to comment,post their own readings, and discuss, so we can learn altogether. And I do not wish to give any buy or sell recommendation through out this thread.

Wow a promotion

Well done. My congratulations

please let us know the time and venue of the party. We can get to know each other there.

We can decide what we do after the party too

Good luck

Thanx sara... !!!

Happy week end...

Sstar & Mod Team need to fix the STARS his stars stripped off

NC wrote:Analysis: DPL.N
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In longterm view, bear trend is reversed with the break of LH (24), since after that there's no any new LL. So, all the other movements are just noises.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Closer look of Dpl.n:
There's a HPP. so, the target is 20.
According to Schiff pitchfork, it shows a nice channel. The 50% line (ML) has achived @15. Currrently, there's a resistant. (the 50% line). Hence, it can have a pull back. 100% line (UPL)  @ 18.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Intraday view of Dpl.n:
As said by above chart, ML is a resistant, as you can see the double top @ 14.7. On the other hand, there's an ascending traingal. So, anything could be possible, in next couple of days. on  short term elliotwave counting I think it will do a correction, around 13.5.

Res: 15, 18, 20
Sup: 14, 13.5 , 12. (Be aware if it break 12, a good support)

Thank you for your effort. NC Would you like to do some chart on UDPL//ELPL/MADU/BALA/MASK

Thanks.

VALUEPICK wrote:

NC wrote:Analysis: DPL.N
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In longterm view, bear trend is reversed with the break of LH (24), since after that there's no any new LL. So, all the other movements are just noises.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Closer look of Dpl.n:
There's a HPP. so, the target is 20.
According to Schiff pitchfork, it shows a nice channel. The 50% line (ML) has achived @15. Currrently, there's a resistant. (the 50% line). Hence, it can have a pull back. 100% line (UPL)  @ 18.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Intraday view of Dpl.n:
As said by above chart, ML is a resistant, as you can see the double top @ 14.7. On the other hand, there's an ascending traingal. So, anything could be possible, in next couple of days. on  short term elliotwave counting I think it will do a correction, around 13.5.

Res: 15, 18, 20
Sup: 14, 13.5 , 12. (Be aware if it break 12, a good support)

Thank you for your effort. NC  Would you like to do some chart on UDPL//ELPL/MADU/BALA/MASK

Thanks.

Thanx bro...
I'll try to do with the time I have...

Thanks. I know we have limited time. If you have time would you like to do Chart for UDPL/BALA only.

@ VP
Here the Chart of Bala.n
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Cuurently there's sym. traingle. Those short to mid two targets (black/red) will depend on the break of the traingle. So, in crucial condition, cannot surely say where it take move..
Supports; 30, 28
Res; 32, 35

Chart of UDPL.N:
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Looks UDPL has more steady bullish sentiment than Bala, however its looks illiquid, this is a five year chart. 1 year chart there's an ascending traingle. breaking of it probably move toward 44.  
Targets; 44,
and 60 (may be long term, hard to say due to its illquidity)

Supports: 30, 28, 25 (black line)

Hope these two charts will help you...

Thank you so much for your effort. I think we need to discuss stocks before market recognize them. Otherwise we will have to pay premium for stocks in the current major uptrend.

VALUEPICK wrote:Thank you so much for your effort. I think we need to discuss stocks before market recognize them. Otherwise we will have to pay premium for stocks in the current major uptrend.

Yep, that true.
By the way, I've noted that you're more interested in Plantation. On current, economical condition, I think we should also look in
- construction And Engineering
- Power and energy
- Hotels and travels. (As Govt. Strategic Dev)
- land and property
- and Export oriented businesses (like Manufacturing, Plantation etc)
as well.
I'm only curious about the budget....

I have all sort of such as diversify, food and beverages, hospitals, manufacturing etc. For example I had TYRE. Because it is a small quantity I disposed it recently. I go behind only business that I know very well. We are seeing down trend for prices of gold, oil, grain and other raw materials. Therefore companies in food processing and production are going to benefit lot. Consumer purchasing power also will increase. There will be demand for new assets including stocks and emerging commodities. Particularly second phase of a major uptrend is the longest one. It is better to adjust our stocks to benefit from coming uptrend/industry/business cycles. Mainly I like value stocks. Still Plantations in number one value sector in the CSE.  There will be good demand for food and hot beverage stocks (consumer staples) in the coming years and decade. In addition there will be lot acquisitions opportunities and private equity opportunities   in this area especially in the Asian pacific region. Share market investors also will have great opportunities in this area. Human cannot postpone eating and drinking.I think export oriented food companies might get some support from this budget.  
Good luck!

NC wrote:

VALUEPICK wrote:Thank you so much for your effort. I think we need to discuss stocks before market recognize them. Otherwise we will have to pay premium for stocks in the current major uptrend.

Yep, that true.
By the way, I've noted that you're more interested in Plantation. On current, economical condition, I think we should also look in
- construction And Engineering
- Power and energy
- Hotels and travels. (As Govt. Strategic Dev)
- land and property
- and Export oriented businesses (like Manufacturing, Plantation etc)
as well.
I'm only curious about the budget....

NC

We need to study the least appreciated stocks, stagnated and pullback stocks in each sector. As long as value, trend and intermediate trend is up then it is a place to look for. My gut feeling is we might have great returns from these stocks next. Good luck!

VALUEPICK wrote:

NC wrote:

VALUEPICK wrote:Thank you so much for your effort. I think we need to discuss stocks before market recognize them. Otherwise we will have to pay premium for stocks in the current major uptrend.

Yep, that true.
By the way, I've noted that you're more interested in Plantation. On current, economical condition, I think we should also look in
- construction And Engineering
- Power and energy
- Hotels and travels. (As Govt. Strategic Dev)
- land and property
- and Export oriented businesses (like Manufacturing, Plantation etc)
as well.
I'm only curious about the budget....

NC

We need to study the least appreciated stocks, stagnated and pullback stocks in each sector. As long as value, trend and intermediate trend is up then it is a place to look for. My gut feeling is we might have great returns from these stocks next. Good luck!

when is the budget. do you know?

I don't know exact date.. But I'm curious what is in it...
http://www.colombopage.com/archive_14B/Sep18_1411051670CH.php
http://www.ft.lk/2014/08/09/cabinet-approval-for-budget-2015-proposals/

Analysis: BFL

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There're 4 targets based on harmonic patterns.
T1 (145), T2 (160) (blue pattern), are most achiveble in short to mid term.
T3 (170), T4 (200) ( yellow pattern), is mostly achiveble in longterm.

In black line, it shows a sym. traingle. Every harmonic pattern comes with traingles. But, there's a difference in BFL traingle and Gran traingle. Bfl, trend reversal is confirmed. But, in gran its not. (I'll explain it in gran chart.) If you think to average more Bfl, Its better to wait close above 135. Beacuse, the buying pressure is still low.
Note that 125 is a strong support, if it break next is 120.

(http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36765-nc-shark-robotocfix-pls-share-your-valuable-idea)

Analysis: EW count on GREG.N

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looks like its in its final leg.
So, the
5th leg could be either end at 16.5
or Either end at 18
or either at 19-20
(Untill 14.5 level is not broken..)
Note: 15 is a good support, if 15 is broken, next is 14.5.
(http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36765-nc-shark-robotocfix-pls-share-your-valuable-idea)

Analysis: GRAN.N

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This is a 3 year view of Gran. And I did a elliotwave (EW) count also, for more confirmation. since there's a failed pattern too as I showed. ( Their EPS is low) So, the current trend is still negative.
However, There're positive signs, of trend reversal:
The MACD shows continuously positive divergence.
New implulse moves of EW.
and Harmonic pattern (HPP).
Targets: 50, (target1), 58-60 (target 2)

Closer look of Gran
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In closer looks, those harmonic patterns working.
Blue harmonic pattern is totally completed, if it hit at 50, where target1, was 4 , and target 2 is 50.
Yellow harmonic pattern will complete its 1st target at 50. and 2nd target at 60.
Yellow HPP goes with the major EW count. and seems it runs it 3rd leg, mostly could end at 50, if so 5 leg at 60.
Blue Hpp goes with the sub EW count. Seems it had end it 3rd leg @ 44, then 5 leg mostly could end at 50.

(http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36765-nc-shark-robotocfix-pls-share-your-valuable-idea)

All time Bests of Arijith Singh; Unplugged
Enjoy....  

Happy Weekend...

Good work NC

Pls don't over do this music thing - both NC and Shark

Mona chart draw karala hari GREG wage wedakma nethi shares gena kiyannda hadane de genanam ape eheti pehedimak ne..
shark aiya wage hoda fundamental value ekak thiyana shares walata technical analyzes karannakooo....

Feel better than Somi Boys Movie>>>

NC wrote:

NC wrote:

NC wrote:GLAS.N ; Analysis
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36330-glasn
GLAS.N ; Analysis Cont'd
count on EW
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I think "c" leg possibly end 4 or 4.2 or 4.4

Closer look of Glas.n
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sometimes, it could be a-b-c-d-e correction based on ascending traingle, untill price level 4 is not break.

The a-b-c-d-e correction was null as the break of price level 4 on today...

Glas.N Analysis: Cont'd - 29/09/2014
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I hoped to do a glas chart on Monday morning.. !!
Based on previous technical readings Glas has completed its two targets, 4.4 and 5 (Apx). And RSI showing a slight over bought situation. (circled). However, the trend is bullish based on weekly and daily pivots. So, the targets of coming days are 5, 5.4 and last 6 as shown in the chart.
If it breaks 4.7 it may test 4.4 or 4.2 - 4.1 levels.
Over all trend is bull above 3.6

-GL

Annex: Pivot points
R4 5.3
midpoint 5.2
R3 5.1
midpoint 5.0
R2 4.9
midpoint 4.9
R1 4.8
midpoint 4.8
PP 4.7
midpoint 4.7
S1 4.6
midpoint 4.6
S2 4.5
midpoint 4.4
S3 4.3
midpoint 4.2
S4 4.1

Analysis: Vfin.N

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Low risk entry point @ 46, with the Sym. triangle with STP (stoploss) @ 46.
Targets 50, 55, 60

Enjoy some moment !!!