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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000)

FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000)

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1FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Mon Apr 04, 2016 2:21 pm

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
First Capital Holdings PLC is a holding company. The principal activity of the Company is the investment and management of subsidiaries. It is an investment bank, which provides a range of advisory services and financial products. Its integrated business platform consists of approximately four specialized areas, including Capital Markets Advisory, Wealth Management, Fixed Income and Equities. In the Capital Markets Advisory area, it offers services, such as debt and equity capital raising, and advisory services, including mergers and acquisitions, and treasury advisory. In the Wealth Management area, it offers services, such as unit trusts, discretionary portfolio management, private wealth management and lifestyle investment solutions. In the Fixed Income area, it provides services, such as primary dealing, fixed income investment products and secondary market trading in corporate debt securities. In the Equities area, it offers services, such as stock broking and margin trading.

cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@karuna wrote:cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view
Cfvf better than aluf gran tafl bfl jkh ubc comb samp 
Just for another 3/5 month I know tafl is a good returning share but comparing if u brought 92 level tafl 1000 shares u have to pay 92 000 and if you waiting to sell 120 u can get may be 28000 profit
If you like to buy Cfvf for same amount may be u can buy 4800 shares . If you waiting to sell 32 u can get 48000 Cfvf only need to up 10 rupee tafl have to up 135/140 may be get more than profit its mean 50 rupee need to up. Its very hard because many people in profit as well they like to sell more. 
But Cfvf  was a loose two quatres Eps and again last quarter they show very good Eps just for the quarter
So we can expect with in another 3/5 month Cfvf price to 45/50 because its came 60/18 and again recovering so I think Cfvf better than tafl

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@karuna wrote:
@karuna wrote:cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view
Cfvf better than aluf gran tafl bfl jkh ubc comb samp 
Just for another 3/5 month I know tafl is a good returning share but comparing if u brought 92 level tafl 1000 shares u have to pay 92 000 and if you waiting to sell 120 u can get may be 28000 profit
If you like to buy Cfvf for same amount may be u can buy 4800 shares . If you waiting to sell 32 u can get 48000 Cfvf only need to up 10 rupee tafl have to up 135/140 may be get more than profit its mean 50 rupee need to up. Its very hard because many people in profit as well they like to sell more. 
But Cfvf  was a loose two quatres Eps and again last quarter they show very good Eps just for the quarter
So we can expect with in another 3/5 month Cfvf price to 45/50 because its came 60/18 and again recovering so I think Cfvf better than tafl

Looking they are divided

2015 Aug  2.00
2015 Feb   2.00
2014 Jul    2.00
2013 Aug  2.00
2011 Jul    2.00
2010 Feb 15.00 
2015 they paid twice since 5 years 25 rupee paid for a 1 share now trading 21 very low price from my analysis cfvf should be trad 45/50 before this year July /June .

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Hi karuna,after long time you posted a value one.


_________________




Teller said is said..

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Management is good but follow/study the bond market rate when buying this share. Upward pressure on interest rate is making there bottom line hurt. There major source of income is gains achieved through bond n bill trading. Last few days interest rate upward pressure eased so therefore there was some interest in these shares.

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

@Teller wrote:Hi karuna,after long time you posted a value one.

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@karuna wrote:
@karuna wrote:cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view
Cfvf better than aluf gran tafl bfl jkh ubc comb samp 
Just for another 3/5 month I know tafl is a good returning share but comparing if u brought 92 level tafl 1000 shares u have to pay 92 000 and if you waiting to sell 120 u can get may be 28000 profit
If you like to buy Cfvf for same amount may be u can buy 4800 shares . If you waiting to sell 32 u can get 48000 Cfvf only need to up 10 rupee tafl have to up 135/140 may be get more than profit its mean 50 rupee need to up. Its very hard because many people in profit as well they like to sell more. 
But Cfvf  was a loose two quatres Eps and again last quarter they show very good Eps just for the quarter
So we can expect with in another 3/5 month Cfvf price to 45/50 because its came 60/18 and again recovering so I think Cfvf better than tafl
Yes cfvf better than tafl cfvf up 7% tafl up 5.2
This is my view thanks

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@karuna wrote:
@karuna wrote:
@karuna wrote:cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view
Cfvf better than aluf gran tafl bfl jkh ubc comb samp 
Just for another 3/5 month I know tafl is a good returning share but comparing if u brought 92 level tafl 1000 shares u have to pay 92 000 and if you waiting to sell 120 u can get may be 28000 profit
If you like to buy Cfvf for same amount may be u can buy 4800 shares . If you waiting to sell 32 u can get 48000 Cfvf only need to up 10 rupee tafl have to up 135/140 may be get more than profit its mean 50 rupee need to up. Its very hard because many people in profit as well they like to sell more. 
But Cfvf  was a loose two quatres Eps and again last quarter they show very good Eps just for the quarter
So we can expect with in another 3/5 month Cfvf price to 45/50 because its came 60/18 and again recovering so I think Cfvf better than tafl
Yes cfvf better than tafl cfvf up 7% tafl up 5.2
This is my view thanks
Now 25. 5 as I said 21 level no one loose mfl also same . I am normally posting good returning based
Otherwise I had to promote vpel  vone like lot of illusions shares. U should have understand what are the illusion stocks as well what are the illuminating stocks.

Pac-man

Pac-man
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
thankyou karuna supiri shares oka kiyannae

10FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty Re: FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Sat Apr 16, 2016 10:01 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view

තව මාස 3 කින් CFVF 45-50 ට යන්න නම් මීට වසරකට දෙකකට කලින් තිබුන ඉන්ටරෙස්ට් රේට් මේ වන විට කීයකින් අඩු වෙන්නෙ ඕනද ? නමුත් එසේ වී නැත​.
CFVF යනු ඊළඟ කාර්තු වේ දෙකේ ලෙබෙන EPS කලින් දල වශයෙන් හිතා ගත හැකි සමාගමකි.
TB රේට් හැසිරීම මත මේ වසරේ අලාභ ලැබෙන බව කලින් දුටු අය පසුගිය වසරේ CFVF 55 ට විකුණුවා.
යලි 45-50 ට යන්න තරම් ලාභ ලැබීමට නම් මේ වන විටත් TB රේට් 2-3% කින් වත් අඩු වී තිබිය යුතුයි. ​

Ok One


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view

තව මාස 3 කින් CFVF 45-50 ට යන්න නම්  මීට වසරකට දෙකකට කලින් තිබුන ඉන්ටරෙස්ට් රේට් මේ වන විට කීයකින් අඩු වෙන්නෙ ඕනද ?  නමුත් එසේ වී නැත​.
CFVF යනු ඊළඟ කාර්තු වේ දෙකේ ලෙබෙන EPS කලින්  දල වශයෙන් හිතා ගත හැකි සමාගමකි.
TB රේට් හැසිරීම මත  මේ වසරේ   අලාභ ලැබෙන බව කලින්  දුටු අය පසුගිය වසරේ CFVF 55 ට විකුණුවා.
යලි 45-50 ට යන්න තරම් ලාභ ලැබීමට නම් මේ වන විටත් TB රේට් 2-3% කින් වත් අඩු වී තිබිය යුතුයි.  ​
Mr,Chinwi CFVF TB Rate mathama yepena samagamakda ? I love you I love you I love you

Shammi Dharshana

Shammi Dharshana
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Karuna oyage hexp mokada

13FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty Re: FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Mon Apr 18, 2016 10:12 am

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@Ok One wrote:
@Chinwi wrote:
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view

තව මාස 3 කින් CFVF 45-50 ට යන්න නම්  මීට වසරකට දෙකකට කලින් තිබුන ඉන්ටරෙස්ට් රේට් මේ වන විට කීයකින් අඩු වෙන්නෙ ඕනද ?  නමුත් එසේ වී නැත​.
CFVF යනු ඊළඟ කාර්තු වේ දෙකේ ලෙබෙන EPS කලින්  දල වශයෙන් හිතා ගත හැකි සමාගමකි.
TB රේට් හැසිරීම මත  මේ වසරේ   අලාභ ලැබෙන බව කලින්  දුටු අය පසුගිය වසරේ CFVF 55 ට විකුණුවා.
යලි 45-50 ට යන්න තරම් ලාභ ලැබීමට නම් මේ වන විටත් TB රේට් 2-3% කින් වත් අඩු වී තිබිය යුතුයි.  ​
Mr,Chinwi CFVF TB Rate mathama yepena samagamakda ?

Natha. Dan e aya diversify karamin yanawa.

Namuth pasugiya vaara 2 - 3 ma (2009/10, 2014) adhika laaba labune rate venasa nisa. (eg. form 20% coming down to 10 % )

Ada venakota long term TB rate 14% pannala yanavalu.

Rates are climbing again without any ha ho.

5 year rate 13 % - 01-04-2016
9-15 year rate increased towards 13.8 -14.23 % Now the rates are even going over the controversial 30 year bond issue rates - the mishap they did at the beginning.

365 day rates were increasing with slight drop last time , 8th April.

This will badly affect on CFVF. (and CSEC too) . BUT, in short run they may show/get some profit by matching long term bonds and short term loans.

http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/htm/english/_cei/ir/i_3.asp

I feel this can go towards 16-18% due to unrealistic expenditure of this government ( promised and set at presidential election ) Still they have not found any answer to this problem.



14FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty Re: FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Mon Apr 18, 2016 10:41 am

Ok One


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thank dear GL I love you I love you I love you

15FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty Re: FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Mon Apr 18, 2016 12:35 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@Ok One wrote:Thank dear GL I love you I love you I love you


As far as I know , IF 1-2-3 year rates kept around current levels and 10-15 year rates go to higher levels as we see now, they can make some profits and we are OK.
But if short term rates go up in future and reach or go over current long term rates then they have to bear heavy losses. Somehow, as experienced bond managers they may sell before going deeper into troubles and lower the losses. So you have to keep this in mind and watch the rates continuously and take decisions before others.

16FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty Re: FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Mon Apr 18, 2016 12:59 pm

Ok One


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks..... I love you I love you I love you

wisdom78


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@karuna wrote:
@karuna wrote:cfvf 2014 may me august traded 50/60 but unfortunately continuously they're profit was lost (+ to -) look at  
2015 march basic earning per share -0.9 
2015 octomber  eps                    -1.60 but traded at 30/25 level because they're assent is very good level comparing some shares . unfortunately market crash after cfvf came to 18 level and again slowly  move up to 21.5 today .

2015 December earning per share + 1.20 
                            they convert  again to profit making share . so last year they make loose share 2014 they make profit share .
2014 July eps over 6.5 traded 60 .i expecting 2016 2 quarter eps will be 2.5 minimum
maximum 3.20and my protection is a 2015  they traded 25 with lose earning per one share so 2015/dec last quarter eps 1.20 and market also move up 400 points with last resister but cfvf only move 18/21.5  i think cfvf can move 30/32 very soon my target price this July/June 45/50 levels because eps and assent  also recovering well 

sometime like 2014  they post 2 q report over 6.20 eps and price pump continuously up.
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view
Cfvf better than aluf gran tafl bfl jkh ubc comb samp 
Just for another 3/5 month I know tafl is a good returning share but comparing if u brought 92 level tafl 1000 shares u have to pay 92 000 and if you waiting to sell 120 u can get may be 28000 profit
If you like to buy Cfvf for same amount may be u can buy 4800 shares . If you waiting to sell 32 u can get 48000 Cfvf only need to up 10 rupee tafl have to up 135/140 may be get more than profit its mean 50 rupee need to up. Its very hard because many people in profit as well they like to sell more. 
But Cfvf  was a loose two quatres Eps and again last quarter they show very good Eps just for the quarter
So we can expect with in another 3/5 month Cfvf price to 45/50 because its came 60/18 and again recovering so I think Cfvf better than tafl

ok this is god mans another protection with in 5 months april  to September .target 20 to 45 with in five months and have another two month.

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:
@Ok One wrote:
@Chinwi wrote:
anyhow i am positive with cfvf.n my target is a 45/50 with this June/July thanks this is my view

තව මාස 3 කින් CFVF 45-50 ට යන්න නම්  මීට වසරකට දෙකකට කලින් තිබුන ඉන්ටරෙස්ට් රේට් මේ වන විට කීයකින් අඩු වෙන්නෙ ඕනද ?  නමුත් එසේ වී නැත​.
CFVF යනු ඊළඟ කාර්තු වේ දෙකේ ලෙබෙන EPS කලින්  දල වශයෙන් හිතා ගත හැකි සමාගමකි.
TB රේට් හැසිරීම මත  මේ වසරේ   අලාභ ලැබෙන බව කලින්  දුටු අය පසුගිය වසරේ CFVF 55 ට විකුණුවා.
යලි 45-50 ට යන්න තරම් ලාභ ලැබීමට නම් මේ වන විටත් TB රේට් 2-3% කින් වත් අඩු වී තිබිය යුතුයි.  ​
Mr,Chinwi CFVF TB Rate mathama yepena samagamakda ?  

Natha.   Dan e aya diversify karamin yanawa.  

Namuth pasugiya vaara 2 - 3 ma (2009/10, 2014) adhika laaba labune rate venasa nisa. (eg. form 20% coming down to 10 % )

Ada venakota long term TB rate 14% pannala yanavalu.

Rates are climbing again without any ha ho.

5 year rate 13 % - 01-04-2016
9-15 year rate increased towards 13.8 -14.23 %   Now the rates are even going over the controversial 30 year bond issue rates - the mishap they did  at the beginning.  

365 day rates were increasing with slight drop last time , 8th April.

This will badly affect on CFVF. (and CSEC too) . BUT, in short run they may show/get some profit by matching long term bonds and short term loans.

http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/htm/english/_cei/ir/i_3.asp

I feel  this can go towards 16-18% due to unrealistic expenditure of this government ( promised and set at presidential election ) Still they have not found any answer to this problem.





Noted. I will wait for another two month see 45 level

19FIRST CAPITAL HOLDINGS PLC (CFVF.N0000) Empty CFVF run Will start soon Thu Oct 12, 2017 1:27 pm

Priyanga


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
According to my broker CFVF run very soon it seems that they have huge profit for this quarter, for the first QTR they had a EPS of 3.56 that means annualized EPS is 14.24 if they earn the same level of profits. Last Year Annual EPS was 2.09 but declared a dividend of 2 rupees per share. Do your own analysis before you purchase shares.

kjojo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
yes mchn now collect more than  2laks shares waiting to buy more. think why share not move. every one want to buy this share.... expect  to cross share 42++ . ... try to buy below 36... lol!

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