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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » EXPERT CHRONICLE™ » ASI calendar year returns

ASI calendar year returns

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Quibit

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Below illustration depicts the #stockmarket #return, based on ASI (Bloomberg: #CSEALL ) for the past 35 years from 1985 to 2019, on calendar year basis. #ASI total return #index (which considers dividends) was not used as it is only available from 2004 onwards.

Accordingly,
- The stock market has experienced more positive years than negative years
- For the past 35 years, the index posted positive calendar year returns 60% of the time and negative calendar returns 40% of the time
- The worst calendar year return was -41% posted in 2008, during the global financial crisis and at the height of the war. The best return was 125% posted in 2009 at the end of the war
- Regardless of the bad press on the stock market, #listed #equities have delivered #wealth for its participants over time. ASI has posted an average calendar year return of 42% over the positive years and -15% over the negative years

As data indicates, the pattern of #returns differs over the years. Thus anyone who chooses to #invest in listed equities, should learn to accept the negative years. You need courage and patience to stay invested through #bearmarket since no one can consistently time the market to get in and out and skip down years.

ASI calendar year returns 410

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KavinduTM

Post Mon Mar 02, 2020 7:41 pm by KavinduTM

2020 will be added to 30% to 40% group  Smile

avatar

Post Mon Mar 02, 2020 7:54 pm by Kipling

Kavindu 
Not the 40%+ group????

KavinduTM

Post Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:23 pm by KavinduTM

Kipling wrote:Kavindu 
Not the 40%+ group????

Kipling

Bro year started index was 6108.
So 30% to 40%+ will be between 7940 - 8551 ASI.
Currently we are in 0% to 10%(-) group.
So if we r counting towards current situation, 2020 will be added to >40%+

avatar

Post Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:41 pm by Kipling

Thank you Dear Kavindu. I think the run from current index level will give better idea on potential once  GR secures 151.

KavinduTM

Post Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:45 pm by KavinduTM

Kipling wrote:Thank you Dear Kavindu. I think the run from current index level will give better idea on potential once  GR secures 151.
Welcome buddy. Yeah that's right.

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