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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » Best strategy now

Best strategy now

4 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1Best strategy now Empty Best strategy now Fri Oct 28, 2011 5:06 pm

hirankb

hirankb
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

The HNWI are are keeping away from mkt. so this is like the sharks are hybernating .. this is best for the small fish in the bottom of the food chain to come out without fear of been eaten.

The retail driven market will have a foot hold when share ownership is diluted.more free float . this means the retail PF will get more shares ( may be capital value of the retail PF is still small) shares are getting more evenly distributed. when more shares are in the hands of retailers the retailer is becomig a little fatter. ( either with fat(number of shares) or mussle(number of shares x price) which ever does not count at this point).

when number of shares in the hands of retailers are greater the liquidity of the market increases. ( more shares will be traded with less price movements). this is what foregn buyers are looking for. Actualy foerign buys are a form of HNWI.differance being thay do not try to manipulate that much.

Now the option for HNWI are to either buy from higher price market or Dump.

if they buy the price will go up.... then you stop buying( after about (5%gain) for a while . for retailer it is ok to hold because he bought it at lower price when the HNWI is sleeping.
For HNWI the only thing to do is keep on buying at higher price driving the market or dump their holdings...... if so
the price will go down slower than it went up... the market is then liquid.... at this ponit foreign HNWI will see great oppurtunity and the price will increase .... then the retailer should start buying DCA quantities. by this time the market will have reached fair values and very stable. All the junk stocks would have been corrected and the HNWI will be cornered . for this to work more than 40% ownership has to be in reatilers hands ... about 10% should be with Forein funds... about 15% should be with institutions preferably UT's. that leaves 35% in HNWI+corporates.

this is a golden oppurtunity for retailer... Sell your shirt and buy the fundamentals. ( COMB,HNB,DFCC,LLUB,SAMP.....etc..). this is now or never.

For god's sake do not trade on margin............it will spoil the strategy.

Tell all your friends to join the market and buy the best stocks. ( check for counters with less than 1-1.5 PBV , less than 12 PER , also check negative cash at hand per share is less than EPS if all former criteria is met. then you buy. sell the old bottles , old news papers, sell everything you did not use for the past 1 year( this is 5S) .. ( keep your wife though).... Buy now ...

Remember... the SEC is right...... you tell me, can even a family succeed if some of the better off children can challenge the father/mother. remember even a partly correct decision taken at the right time is far better than taking no decision or taking the right decision in the wrong time. Do not fall for the trap " the market cannot servive without HNWI" story. remember the HNWI did not become HNWI's over night . they became what they are because the retailer let them. so this is the time to take back what is yours.

So PRAY for the market to fall to atleast 5500..... make sure you DO not .. I repeat DO NOT sell. Let the HNWI dump. NOW you do the pumping. deferance is that now it is a majority of the retailers doing the pumping untill the PER is 12-15 and wait for 4Q results.

CSE cannot spell it out to you as to what to do .... but it has opened the door. and telling the retailler FU** the HNWI .................. we only have to open our eyes....

Thank you CSE..... thanks DG.

Note : believe me I have no connections what so ever with anybody in CSE .My analysis is purley on logic. I would urge all retailers to study a bit of statistics and principles of cause and effect as though by Buddha.

2Best strategy now Empty Re: Best strategy now Fri Oct 28, 2011 8:59 pm

chucks


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

hmmm..!

3Best strategy now Empty Re: Best strategy now Fri Oct 28, 2011 9:15 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

hirankb wrote:this is a golden oppurtunity for retailer... Sell your shirt and buy the fundamentals.
Embarassed

4Best strategy now Empty Re: Best strategy now Sat Oct 29, 2011 8:11 pm

ninja


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

everything seems very logical...//

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