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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Why JKH Down Heavilly ?

Why JKH Down Heavilly ?

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1Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:22 pm

RANGANA PERERA


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
WHY JKH DOWN HEVILLY?



Last edited by milanka on Wed Nov 16, 2011 7:12 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Removed ????? marks)

2Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:43 pm

Aamiable


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH can recover rapidly..

3Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:48 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@RANGANA PERERA wrote:WHY JKH DOWN HEVILLY?????
I believe, it may be because of a rumour. It can recover quickly, if it's only a rumour.

4Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:52 pm

Rajaraam


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
what is the rumour? I heard one Captain is selling. Is that?

5Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:54 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Rajaraam wrote:what is the rumour? I heard one Captain is selling. Is that?
I do not know whether captain is selling or not. But read this thread,
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12638-jkh-ahpl-fall-amid-speculation-that-they-may-be-expropriated-next

6Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 12:58 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Monster wrote:
@Rajaraam wrote:what is the rumour? I heard one Captain is selling. Is that?
I do not know whether captain is selling or not. But read this thread,
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12638-jkh-ahpl-fall-amid-speculation-that-they-may-be-expropriated-next
I do not think government would do such a foolish thing.

7Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 1:40 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@rijayasooriya wrote:
@Monster wrote:
@Rajaraam wrote:what is the rumour? I heard one Captain is selling. Is that?
I do not know whether captain is selling or not. But read this thread,
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12638-jkh-ahpl-fall-amid-speculation-that-they-may-be-expropriated-next
I do not think government would do such a foolish thing.
I do not think govt will dig it's own grave by taking such foolish action.

8Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 2:14 pm

Niwa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
why samp going down, any rumor ??

9Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:30 pm

Light of Hope


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
If the selling continues like this, with huge selling pressure, JKH alone can bring the ASI to 5800 level

10Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:45 pm

Universalgoal


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH fair value 60

11Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:46 pm

Universalgoal


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
but it is a market turning share so even sec use Very Happy Very Happy

12Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:54 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
JKH recently exercised another employee share scheme know? When these are in force share value can come down even 20-30 rupees a day when employees started selling their free or cheap bought shares..

13Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:59 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Universalgoal wrote:JKH fair value 60
Can you explain it how you calculate the fair value for JKH? scratch

In the mean time, do you think CLND and HVA are fairly valued?
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582

14Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 5:50 pm

godswen

godswen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Light of Hope wrote:If the selling continues like this, with huge selling pressure, JKH alone can bring the ASI to 5800 level

JKH alone can take the ASI to 5800 if it goes down by 85-95 rupees I think. My calculation might not be accurate!

15Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:10 pm

Universalgoal


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Monster wrote:
@Universalgoal wrote:JKH fair value 60
Can you explain it how you calculate the fair value for JKH? scratch

In the mean time, do you think CLND and HVA are fairly valued?
[url=http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582[/quote[/url]]

Fair Value = cash [1+r (x/360)] - Dividends

16Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:56 pm

Light of Hope


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@godswen wrote:
@Light of Hope wrote:If the selling continues like this, with huge selling pressure, JKH alone can bring the ASI to 5800 level

JKH alone can take the ASI to 5800 if it goes down by 85-95 rupees I think. My calculation might not be accurate!

I think JKH at 140 is enough to drag the ASI to 5800

17Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 7:01 pm

Light of Hope


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
The next one to keep an eye is SLTL. today I saw one big sell order at 50, around 50,000 shares, and there was only about 3000 bids altogether. Looks dangerous

Maybe some are using these 3 shares with Dial, to bring the market down and make it attractive.

18Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 10:25 pm

Universalgoal


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
thats call manupilation but sec cant understand nut head b

19Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 10:31 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Universalgoal wrote:
@Monster wrote:
@Universalgoal wrote:JKH fair value 60
Can you explain it how you calculate the fair value for JKH? scratch

In the mean time, do you think CLND and HVA are fairly valued?
[url=http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582[/quote[/url]]

Fair Value = cash [1+r (x/360)] - Dividends
So, this is how you calculate a fair value of a share. scratch What does r mean and what does x mean?

20Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Empty Re: Why JKH Down Heavilly ? Thu Nov 17, 2011 9:13 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@Monster wrote:
@Universalgoal wrote:
@Monster wrote:
@Universalgoal wrote:JKH fair value 60
Can you explain it how you calculate the fair value for JKH? scratch

In the mean time, do you think CLND and HVA are fairly valued?
[url=http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t12701-hvaclnd-perform-well-in-down-market-further3952-have-good-support-level#83582[/quote[/url]]

Fair Value = cash [1+r (x/360)] - Dividends
So, this is how you calculate a fair value of a share. scratch What does r mean and what does x mean?

Finding the fair value of a conglomerate like JKH will not be that easy, together with it's subs they've transportation, leisure, property, consumer foods and retail, financial services, and IT services , etc.. not only in SL but also in Asia and Europe.. so the performance of these businesses to be evaluated if we need a fair value and I'd do that if I'm to buy a portion of the compay or hoping to be a director only.. general crowd dont go into that much details on valuation..

My personal feeling is at a price of 177, this is on a fair value and if market bleeds to 5800s this can get to 160s which makes it a valuable buy..

Again I think govt would not be that absurd to mess with a premier conglomerate like this would they?

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