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What will happen on Monday ??

+2
sriranga
gaya
6 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1What will happen on Monday ?? Empty What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 3:45 pm

gaya


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

By looking Thursday Foreign inflows of over 1 Bn , everyone was positive on friday
thinking that CSE will have continues Foreign Inflows. So I also got panic and bought
COMB and NTB at high level. But end of the day there is foreign out flow of 157 Mn Sad I think no one expected such thing.

So My question is who bought those fundamentals ? Is it only mere panic by looking
Thursday crossings ? Question

Is this foreign pump and dump ?

Why don't they come here eventhough we have very lower PER (below 7) counters ? Crying or Very sad

Experts please share your opinion on Monday market ??

2What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 3:54 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Please read the following link
http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/2012/01/26/why-stocks-arent-as-cheap-as-they-look.aspx

This will give some points(hopefully), what the foreign funds are looking for.(Not only low PE)

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

3What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 4:14 pm

Nigel.Machado


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

i guess morning market will move up by about 75 points very fast then upward trend will be slow down, by 2pm ASI will turn red.

i think it's a bull trap

market moved too fast with low volumes (excluding the crossings).

think why index moved up

panic buying due to foreign buying in JKH.
SLT, BUKI was used to manupilate the index.
many bought on credit.

possibly market did not get any fresh cash inflows. even foreign buying was concentrated on JKH. they've been sellers on other counters.

settlements, profit taking would happen, as soon as the index turns red sellers will set in.

"credit will kill the market if the trend reverses"

4What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 5:47 pm

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator

Please read this article from FT.LK

Captains reduce exposure to JKH
Shareholding down 21% to 18% between September and December quarters
Divests near 1% yesterday for Rs. 1.2 b; Current holding likely to 15%; Shifts focus to banking stocks, on the buying side of Commercial Bank yesterday
More foreigners buy in to JKH
Harry J’s Melstacorp with 3.2% stake is sixth largest; EPF’s third place intactJKH’s single largest shareholder, the Captains family, is reducing their exposure to the premier blue chip, booking profits and perhaps looking for other investments.
Captains yesterday sold a near 1% stake or over 7 million shares at Rs. 167 each in a deal worth Rs. 1.2 billion. Buyers included several foreign funds. As of yesterday foreign holding in JKH was near 40% or 333.5 million shares, up from 324 million shares end of 2011.
The family and connected parties have been selling down at JKH a bit more aggressively of late.
In comparison to 21% collective stake in JKH as of September, the holding had come down to 18% officially by December 2011. Captains current shareholding in JKH couldn't be confirmed but judging by recent sales it is likely to be around 15%.
However given the fact that Captains heavily trade on the Colombo Bourse to book profit or realign and re-allocate investment portfolio (as evident by shift to banking stocks with attractive PERs) analysts didn’t rule out them returning to the buying side of JKH.
As per JKH’s third quarter interim accounts released yesterday, the holding of S.E. Captain had been reduced to 13.7% (115.6 million shares) in JKH as at 31 December 2011, from 16% as at September quarter, while L.A. Captain’s stake has come down to 6.79 million shares or 0.8% from 9.9 million shares.
Despite the shedding of individual stakes, related party Paints and General Industries had marginally increased its stake from 8% to 8.3% or 70 million JKH shares.
Since late last year as well as in the New Year, the Captains have increased focus on the banking sector stocks. Yesterday Captains collected bulk of 3.7 million shares of Commercial Bank at Rs. 100 each along with a few other high networth investors. Buying into Commercial Bank had gathered pace since December picking up a few of the big blocks held by foreign funds. They also own as of September 2011 around a 3.54% stake in HNB.
At JKH, foreign investor Janus Overseas Fund has retained its 10.3% stake thereby remaining the second largest, followed by EPF owning 8.3%, marginally up from 8% as of September. Harry Jayawardena’s Melstacorp was holding a 3.2% stake in JKH, thereby becoming the sixth largest shareholder, up from 2.3% in September.



Last edited by CSE.SAS on Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:40 pm; edited 1 time in total

5What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 5:53 pm

greedy007


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

sriranga wrote:Please read the following link
http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/2012/01/26/why-stocks-arent-as-cheap-as-they-look.aspx

This will give some points(hopefully), what the foreign funds are looking for.(Not only low PE)

Thanks for the link. Really worth to read.

6What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:34 pm

Nigel.Machado


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

CSE.SAS

what's wrong with what i said?? ("panic buying due to foreign buying in JKH")

all i wanted to say is that,

there's a high possibility of this run being a "bull trap"

7What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:38 pm

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator

Nigel.Machado wrote:CSE.SAS

what's wrong with what i said?? ("panic buying due to foreign buying in JKH")

all i wanted to say is that,

there's a high possibility of this run being a "bull trap"

Nothing wrong mate.
Just posted FT.lk article to validate the sales pattern.
If you are not happy I'll remove your quote.

8What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:40 pm

Nigel.Machado


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

nope no problem.

cheers!!

9What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sun Jan 29, 2012 3:32 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

It's hard to belive that Friday's buyers were retailers. 58% of the turnover is from Banking and Finance. Any how Friday's buyers can't take profits on monday as most of the trades were done at day's highest prices. I belive it's a collection. Look at the pattern on NTB, it's surely not retailers.

If the guys wants to collect more, prices may come down, other than that I don't see any reason to come down. But any how all depends on the major players.

10What will happen on Monday ?? Empty Re: What will happen on Monday ?? Sun Jan 29, 2012 3:47 pm

greedy007


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

hariesha wrote:It's hard to belive that Friday's buyers were retailers. 58% of the turnover is from Banking and Finance. Any how Friday's buyers can't take profits on monday as most of the trades were done at day's highest prices. I belive it's a collection. Look at the pattern on NTB, it's surely not retailers.

If the guys wants to collect more, prices may come down, other than that I don't see any reason to come down. But any how all depends on the major players.

Yes that's fact.
Please see the friday's crossing from the following link.
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t15368-today-s-status#100411

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