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Sri Lanka rupee hits new low, but state intervenes

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Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

* Cenbank says will intervene in high volatility

* Dealers say cbank employing moral suasion

* Spence deal boosts turnover to 6-mo high (Adds stock close and rupee close)

By Shihar Aneez and Ranga Sirilal

COLOMBO, Feb 28 (Reuters) - Sri Lanka's rupee hit a new record low on Tuesday on importer dollar demand, but a state bank sold greenbacks to reverse the drop in an apparent break with the central bank's new policy not to intervene at a specific price, dealers said.

The rupee fell 1.6 percent to hit a record low of 123.40 in early trading, but the central bank's intervention with a $40 million sale through a state bank helped the currency recover to close at 121.40/60, down from Monday's 121.30/121.50.

It is the first time the central bank has sold dollars into the market since announcing on Feb. 9 it was dropping price-specific intervention.

The central bank after the market closed said it will intervene in periods of high volatility through dollar sales or moral suasion.

Currency dealers said sustaining such intervention would be difficult as the central bank's heavy rupee defence in the past had depleted the country's foreign exchange reserves by a third amid a balance-of-payments crisis.

"What the central bank may do is they will hold the rupee at a maximum of 123 level until they get some inflows," a currency dealer said on condition of anonymity.

Some dealers said the central bank has asked currency dealers to bring the rupee to 121.00 via moral suasion, a method of coercing the market to move in line with the monetary authority's desires without direct force.

"This is an overreaction, but it will stabilise soon and we may do something on that," Central Bank Governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal told Reuters.

Most dealers expect the currency to slide to around 125-130 a dollar by end of this year.

Sri Lanka's main share index lost 0.82 percent or 44.92 points to move to 5,431.67 on profit-taking, but block deals in Aitken Spence PLC boosted volume, accounting for 86.5 percent of the 5.9 billion rupee turnover, the highest since Sept. 1.

Spence shares closed essentially flat at 115.50 rupees.

The Colombo bourse is one of the worst performers this year among Asian markets, with a 10.6 percent loss while the majority have had positive returns.

Foreign investors were net buyers of shares worth 24.8 million Sri Lanka rupees ($204,500) on Tuesday, extending the net foreign inflow to 3.18 billion rupees so far this year, after net outflows of 19.1 billion last year.
($1 = 121.2500 Sri Lanka rupees)
(Editing by Bryson Hull)
http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/02/28/markets-srilanka-idINL4E8DS27H20120228

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

It is the first time the central bank has sold dollars into the market since announcing on Feb. 9 it was dropping price-specific intervention.

The central bank after the market closed said it will intervene in periods of high volatility through dollar sales or moral suasion.

Currency dealers said sustaining such intervention would be difficult as the central bank's heavy rupee defence in the past had depleted the country's foreign exchange reserves by a third amid a balance-of-payments crisis.

"What the central bank may do is they will hold the rupee at a maximum of 123 level until they get some inflows," a currency dealer said on condition of anonymity.

Point to be noted.

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

TUESDAY, 28 FEBRUARY 2012 20:53
deleted national list parliamentarian Dr. Harsha De Silva speaking to Daily Mirror online said that the reported intervention by the Central Bank to stabilise the dwindling rupee was unfortunate.

“If the Central Bank has intervened to more than reduce extreme intraday volatility of the rupee, it only goes to show the weakness in character in staying the course it took,” he said.

The Central Bank earlier said that it took a policy decision not to intervene to stabilise the Sri Lankan rupee. This resulted in the rupee losing value remarkably against the dollar. The Sri Lanka rupee this week hit a new low and was valued at 123.20 against the US dollar on Tuesday, following which the countries Central Bank intervened to curb the slope.

Some dealers said the central bank has asked currency dealers to bring the trading level to 121.00 via moral suasion, a method of coercing the market to move in line with the monetary authority's desires without direct force.

Central Bank Governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal said the sharp fall was on thin volume, but declined to confirm if the state bank had intervened.

When asked regarding the intervention Cabraal had told reporters, "This is an overreaction, but it will stabilise soon and we may do something on that," he said.

Dr. De Silva an economist further said, “If the Central Bank believes that it can get back once again to defending the rupee at yet another arbitrary rate it is unfortunate, it only goes to show that the Bank has not learned a basic lesson in Economics, which is that the market will always beat the Central Bank, however politically powerful the sitting governor is,” he said. (Hafeel Farisz)
http://dailymirror.lk/news/17179-market-will-beat-the-central-bank-no-matter-how-powerful-the-governor-is-harsha.html

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