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Like to refresh your mind about UML

5 posters

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1Like to refresh your mind about UML Empty Like to refresh your mind about UML Sun Sep 02, 2012 2:00 pm

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

The forum has not talked much about UML, because many were thinking it is not going to perform as last year due to increase of taxes. As i remember there were only few posts about UML. But the company performances was superb than anyone thought in the last qt. Here is the lat two years EPS history, gradually it is increasing,what will be the Sep qt EPS ? what will be the 2012/2013 annual EPS ? can any one guess ?

QTR----- 2010/2011----2011/2012------2012/2013
JUNE--------0.90---------6.10-------------14.40
SEP---------1.96---------8.24--------------?
DEC---------5.46---------9.26--------------?
MAR---------5.16--------10.23--------------?
Annual------13.42--------33.83--------------?

Current PER if we think AEPS,
as 57.60 is 1.37
as 50.00 is 1.58
as 45.00 is 1.76
as 40.00 is 1.98
as 35.00 is 2.26
as last year is 2.34
as 25.00 is 3.16
as 20.00 is 3.95
lets think company is not going make profit in the coming qts, PER will be 5.49

Remember current market PER is 10.61 & sector PER is according to the CSE 9.9 (this should be less than that)

Last two years NAVPS
QTR------2010/2011-----2011/2012-----2012/2013
JUNE------48.16----------62.25---------95.21
Price-----125.00---------135.00---------79.00 last trade price
SEP-------49.24----------70.50
Price-----232.20---------164.40
DEC-------54.49----------76.57
Price-----115.70---------146.00
MAR-------59.23----------86.41
Price-----152.20---------108.00
PBV--------2.57----------1.25------------0.83

Dividend History
Year Amt paid
2007/2008 4.00
2008/2009 1.00
2009/2010 1.80
2010/2011 3.25
2011/2012 9.00
2012/2013 ? 3.00 Interim

cash & cash equivalent 501,467,000

I am having this great stock, think & decide.

2Like to refresh your mind about UML Empty Re: Like to refresh your mind about UML Sun Sep 02, 2012 2:13 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Thanks Opfdo for the up date on UML.

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

3Like to refresh your mind about UML Empty Re: Like to refresh your mind about UML Sun Sep 02, 2012 2:54 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

Overall Motor sector is beaten down too much. DIMO , UML and maybe also COLO stand out in my book due to their earning potential when there is a economic recovery and their trading at below NAV and very low PEs.

One thing to note about UML is their superlative profits for this quarter must not be there next. They had released a lot of the permit holder vehicles this quarter.

If one want to gain 100% or a more from now at a future true recovery of the sector ( you will need to patiently wait till the time ) , I would look at DIMO, UML first.

Also note that these shares might not stay too low always as small increases can happen step by step if the market behaves as it did in august.

4Like to refresh your mind about UML Empty Re: Like to refresh your mind about UML Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:13 pm

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

slstock wrote:Overall Motor sector is beaten down too much. DIMO , UML and maybe also COLO stand out in my book due to their earning potential when there is a economic recovery and their trading at below NAV and very low PEs.

One thing to note about UML is their superlative profits for this quarter must not be there next. They had released a lot of the permit holder vehicles this quarter.

If one want to gain 100% or a more from now at a future true recovery of the sector ( you will need to patiently wait till the time ) , I would look at DIMO, UML first.

Also note that these shares might not stay too low always as small increases can happen step by step if the market behaves as it did in august.
Appreciate.

I love when someone recommends this one and i am already holding it,
feeeeelz gooood with my own decision making pirat

TAH

5Like to refresh your mind about UML Empty Re: Like to refresh your mind about UML Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:20 pm

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

slstock wrote:If one want to gain 100% or a more from now at a future true recovery of the sector ( you will need to patiently wait till the time ) ,I would look at DIMO, UML first.
I let go UML after the X date which I do not regret doing, but happy that I hitched on to DIMO now as a long term involvement.
Thanks Slstock

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