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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FUN CHRONICLE™ » Market Phases and key indications

Market Phases and key indications

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1Market Phases and key indications Empty Market Phases and key indications Sat Dec 08, 2012 8:39 pm

Hanoifortune

Hanoifortune
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Bull market Phase 1: REVIVING CONFIDENCE
Key Indications

-All news is bad
-Based on anticipation
-Public absent from the market
-Market may ignore bad news
-Thought to be a bear market rally
-disbelief turns to fear of missing out
-Fundamental undervaluation

Bull market phase 2: IMPROVING EARNING
Key Indications

-Earning increase emerge
-Good news announced
-Employment pick up
-Longest and safest phase
-New companies floated
-Significant corrections end higher
-Fundamental values normal
-Sector rotation

Bull market phase 3: RAMPANT SPECULATION
Key Indications

-Significant fundamental over valuation
-Interest rates relatively high
-Increased price Volatility
-Many new floats and capital raising
-Public enter the market, also day traders
-Media coverage and interest increases
-Market regulation relaxed
-New Paradigm theories advanced
-Market driven by few stocks

Bear Market Phase1: ABANDONMENT OF HOPES
Key Indications

-Fundamental valuations will still high
-Interest rates peak
-The economy is still strong
-Public see a buying opportunity
-Volume falls; buying is done
-Market may ignore good news
-There may be some shock news
-The public may also panic, triggering crash
-Floats fail and then abandoned

- Bear Market Phas2: ABANDONMENT OF HOPES
Key Indications

-Earning decreases announced
-Market ignores good news
-Former market leaders may fail
-A recession begins
-Sharp rallies leading to further falls No
-Few new floats Very Happy
-The public lose interest Sleep

- Bear Market Phase3: DISTRESS SELLING
Key Indications

-Significant under valuation bounce
-Unemployment peaks
-Many bankruptcies and failures affraid
-Bad News is discounted cheers cheers cheers
-Market rarely in the news Basketball
-Low public interest and participation
-Stock price charts show accumulation

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