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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » US stock market now very close to another historic crash

US stock market now very close to another historic crash

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SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
US stock markets tumbled again yesterday as the recent sell off gathers speed. Traders note that the markets are now very close to their 200-day moving averages and when those are passed there is every possibility of a major crash for the most overvalued equities in the world whose internal support has been hollowed out over the past year.

After the falls on Tuesday the Dow is under 200 points away from the 200-day moving average trigger line, and the Nasdaq is even closer to this tripwire with 90 points to go. Automated selling could turn into a market panic to get out at this point.

Exhausted rally

The long rally is exhausted. The QE3 money machine is coming to an end. Where are the buyers going to come from now? Besides the small caps have been selling down for ages. This is a hollow shell of a market just waiting for the big guys to join the rout.

It’s also a market exhibiting every sign of the madness of crowd buying, from the all-time high for margin debt to the leveraging of corporate balance sheets to buy back stocks on an epic scale. The most overvalued stock market in the world now faces a global recession and high dollar.

Subscribers to our highly regarded monthly newsletter have been aware of this for some time and will have crash proof portfolios if they have heeded our advice (subscribe here). How well are you positioned for a Black Monday 1987-style of a 2010-vintage Flash Crash?

Inevitable

We are close to the brink now with not a sign of anything on the horizon to alter this inevitable fate.

Have we gotten this sort of prediction right before? Well have a look back at our whacky prediction of a crash back in October 2008 (click here). How was that for timing and accuracy about the level of the fall?

Where to this time round? Dow at 6,000 anybody?
http://www.msn.com/en-ae/news/other/us-stock-market-now-very-close-to-another-historic-crash/ar-BB86Rx6

soileconomy

soileconomy
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Due to the arousing violence in India -Pak boarder one of the most attracted Indian Share market will have a bear effect.???

Kinm hunter

Kinm hunter
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
What's your massage here? Do you propose to exit from the SL market at this time?....

I am not clear about your massage..
Please explain.

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
Risk of third German recession pressures Europe

LONDON (CNNMoney)
Germany risks slipping into its third recession since the global financial crisis, piling pressure on Europe to do more to stimulate its stagnant economy.

Tensions with Russia, slowing global growth and falling consumer confidence mean the region's biggest economy struggled to grow in the past three months, and may turn out to have shrunk for a second quarter running.

The mood among German businesses has sunk to its lowest level since April 2013, and expectations for the next six months are the weakest they've been since December 2012.

Across the eurozone as a whole, data released Monday showed that economic sentiment dipped in September for a fourth month in a row.

"Even the economic powerhouse Germany's sentiment fell, putting it in the frame for a third recession since 2008," said Angus Campbell, senior analyst at FxPro.

Data on prices and the labor market added to the gloom Tuesday.

Prices rose by just 0.3% in the eurozone in September -- the weakest inflation has been for nearly five years. And more than 18 million people are still looking for work across the 18 eurozone states.

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert

Here's why there's no ISIS oil shock

Most troubling for policymakers at the European Central Bank will be the decline in core inflation, which strips out volatile prices for food and energy.

That will revive fears that Europe could slump into a vicious circle of falling prices and stagnation.

With France's economy flat lining, and Italy's contracting, much depends on whether Germany can bounce back.

The German government has spurned calls from within Europe and beyond to use its budget surplus to boost growth, emphasizing the need for more reforms.

In the absence of fiscal stimulus, pressure will build on the European Central Bank to go all in with a Federal Reserve-style program to buy government bonds.

Less than a month ago, ECB President Mario Draghi cut interest rates as low as he could, and unveiled plans to buy some loans and mortgages to stimulate bank lending. It was the central bank's second dramatic intervention since June.

Draghi will publish details of the limited asset purchase program Thursday. But Europe's weak prospects mean he's likely to have to do more -- at some point.

Markets seem to be preparing for a further divergence in policy between the ECB and the Fed, which is close to turning off the QE flow. The euro tumbled further against the dollar Tuesday -- losing 0.6% to trade at $1.26.

It has now fallen 9% since May, a sharp move that should bring relief to European exporters and eventually feed through into higher import prices, helping to combat the risk of deflation.

http://money.cnn.com/2014/09/30/news/economy/germany-recession-risk/

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
MILAN, Dhu-AlHijjah 14, 1435, Oct 8, 2014, SPA -- European leaders will debate ways to find work for the continent's 25 million unemployed at a summit Wednesday, as popular frustration grows at authorities' failure to return the continent's economy to health, according to AP.
Several thousand union activists protested outside the venue, demanding a stop to government spending austerity policies and calling for reforms to encourage investment.
'The unemployment rate and the number of precarious jobs are only increasing,' said Maurizio Landini, the head of the FIOM metalworkers' union.
The jobs summit, the third on the topic in under 18 months, will again square off France and Italy, which want to slow the pace of their spending cuts and increase investment by the EU to help growth, against Germany in its role as the main enforcer of austerity.
European Commission President Jose Manuel Borroso promised no new investment, however.
He said he would press EU leaders to live up to their budget commitments, which require them to bring deficits below 3 percent of GDP. France in particular is defying that limit, afraid to clamp down on spending for fear of doing damage to its already-weak economy and labor market. Nearly one out of four you people in Europe is without a job.
Barroso also said EU countries should make the most of an existing plan worth 6 billion euros that aims to get every young person into a job, internship or training for four months of becoming unemployed. Countries have been slow, however, to come up with programs.
German Labor Minister Andrea Nahels likewise said countries should start using EU money that is available before asking for more.
'Except in France and Italy, not a single euro has arrived to young people. In my view, it is premature to cry for more money,' Nahels told Berlin Inforadio.
Italian economist Tito Boeri said leaders should instead recognize that the program has failed because there are no jobs to offer young people in the countries with the highest youth unemployment rates, like Greece, Spain and Italy, due to recession.
'We are not in an economic cycle where this can help,' Boeri said.
European countries have seen unemployment skyrocket, first fueled by the global recession and then by the continent's debt crisis. The jobless rate for the EU's 28 member countries is 11.5 percent. For young people in Europe, those aged between 15 and 24, the situation is much worse, at 23.3 percent.
--SPA
13:26 LOCAL TIME 10:26 GMT

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