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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » DAILY CHRONICLE™ » Rubber prices to bottom out in 6-12 months-Olam CEO

Rubber prices to bottom out in 6-12 months-Olam CEO

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SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
KOCHI, India, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Global rubber prices will bottom out in the next 6-12 months as demand from top buyer China could return following an expected run down of its stockpiles, the head of commodity trader Olam International said on Thursday.

Global rubber prices are near their lowest levels in several years on worries about a slowing economy in China, forcing the world's top natural rubber producers to consider joint action to support prices.

But Sunny Verghese, chief executive of Singapore-based Olam,said he expected China to deplete its stockpile in the next 6-12months.

Chinese inventory in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange has hit its highest level since 2004, while closely-watched stocks in bonded warehouses in the port of Qingdao are estimated by dealers at around 304,000 tonnes,compared with around 250,000 tonnes in October.

"If China grows at 7-7.5 percent, we should see rubber demand coming back," Verghese said on the sidelines of a rubber conference in the southern Indian state of Kerala.

"Excess stocks currently present will take 6-12 months to work out, after which we will see a more balanced supply-demand condition." (Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav; Editing by Jo Winterbottom)

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
This would mean from August 2014 to Feb 2015 period. So another 4 months balance.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
We can identify rubber trend most probably toward end of next year.

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