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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » ESL Highly Expecting June Quarter Earning Per Share more than 5.00 + and Target price 55.00+

ESL Highly Expecting June Quarter Earning Per Share more than 5.00 + and Target price 55.00+

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jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Be careful, specially with ESL. they were buying into 15/07/17 bond two months ago n nw present value of that is at a break even levels. Last few auctions have moved the rate up, so nw all primary dealers who invested in bonds last few months ar at a marginal loss.

Gainer


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
ESL this JUNE quarter they have more than 5.00 Rupees earning per share.it will touch 50.00

Dividend Announcement also pending atleast 3.00 Rupees

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Gainer I like your optimism, but I find it very hard to believe that they have made 5 eps fr last qtr. even during continues rate drop period during early/mid last year they only made 3rs eps(101mn). They need to make 170mn to achieve 5rs eps.
I'm just saying be careful, don't have over ambitious targets with any particular shares. Look at there past earnings present earnings n make predictions.

sethma


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
commendable discussion, thx for jayathu & gainer.

Gainer


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
some one try to bring down and buy but not possible to come down
It's Ready to move up
JUNE Quarter Report coming with huge profits more than 5.00 to 8.00 Rupees.

last year september quarter only (only for 3 month) EPS 9.00 Rupees.

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/1105_1415935573499.pdf

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Gainer wrote:some one try to bring down and buy but not possible to come down
It's Ready to move up
JUNE Quarter Report coming with huge profits more than 5.00 to 8.00 Rupees.

last year september quarter only (only for 3 month) EPS 9.00 Rupees.

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/1105_1415935573499.pdf


Can I ask two question from you.

1)what will happen September quarter according to these days rates. (if not  rate cut next two months)

2)can you give idea about government financial situation (i  think its getting bad. government taking more bills and Bonds)

I think ESL and CFVF are bit risk this level if its fall to (20-25 level) then safe

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
ESL and CFVF june Quarter and september Quarter also good profit future also good and target short term 50.00+

see the last september quarter report http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/1105_1415935573499.pdf

ESL sure target within this month break 40.00+ and next month 50.00+

ESL and CFVF Dividend also pending.

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Gainer wrote:ESL and CFVF june Quarter and september Quarter also good profit future also good and target short term 50.00+

see the last september quarter report http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/1105_1415935573499.pdf

ESL sure target within this month break 40.00+ and next month 50.00+

ESL and CFVF Dividend also pending.


Have you check today Bond Auction result


26.06.2015 Auction 3 years rate is 7.18
today 3years and 3 months 8.18

rates are slowly going high. then you ask from people to collect this stock. bzc of 30.06.2015 financial good.

I think Bond and Bill market rates getting high. if government announce rate cut then no problem. but now bit risk to invest

this is not correct time to pick this stocks. if its correct time I am also your side.

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
T BILL Rates still low 6.11 and new government will come another Rates cut for economy development.

“With Entrust Securities, the highest return on investment is assured with very attractive rates on Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds. Mere client service is not their strategy, but the best value for the investment. the investing in government securities for the last five years exclusively with Entrust Securities because of their exceptional service which allows to make well informed investment decisions enriched by their professional financial advices and forecast.

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
No move yet?Market up.

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
ESL and CFVF both are Ready for move up and sure target 50.00+

both are june quarter EPS more than 5.00 to 8.00 Rupees.

Today some intelligence investors buying and moving up

Before end of this month both will break 45.00+

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
ESL and CFVF are risky.Some people got good profit and some people burnt their fingers in the past.
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
JUNE Quarter Results will come with huge profits

ESL will break 60.00 +

CFVF will break 55.00+

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
T-Bill Rates are up bit.

slowly slowly its going up. I agree with you about June. but after that.

your points should be logical

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
T.BILL not much up still low, ESL and CFVF june Quarter and september Quarter also good profits and  future also good and target short term 50.00+

ESL last june Quarter profit will come similar last september Quarter profit http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/1105_1415935573499.pdf

ESL small share capital and illiquid stock only 10% shares in the market, more possibility go for Sub Division of shares and Dividend announcement also pending.

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Gainer your 50+ target won't happen when the report comes out. Your anticipating profit levels won't be there this tym. I agree with you that they'll have a better performance than last qtr report butit won't achieve your targets.
Pls let me know how many rate cuts happen during 1st half of 2014. Hw many rate cuts happened 2015??anwser is none for this 2015. There have marginal increment in rates last few auctions. Pls jst don't post jst saying interest rate is low still cause rates has been low fr some time.

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Gainer where ar u?? Every tym this move up, u come out saying 50+ target but when It goes down u go missing

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@jayathu wrote:Gainer where ar u?? Every tym this move up, u come out saying 50+ target but when It goes down u go missing

Waiting for Financial Report , after that i will tell you.

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
The subject being discussed in financing field is money printing in order to influx liquidity into market. If it happens & continued, more cash circulation leads to higher demand for consumable products that paves the way for inflation. To curb rising inflation trend monetary decision to increase the interest rate is inevitable.

Then How does it effect ESL & CFVF.???

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
All depends on what' sort of bond trading portfolio they have, ESL specially trade short tenor tbonds. Short tenor tbonds is very sensitive towards rate spikes n cuts. If there's a rate spike they'll have lot of unrealized losses. If there was a rate cut they can make big gains.

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@jayathu wrote:All depends on what' sort of bond trading portfolio they have, ESL specially trade short tenor tbonds. Short tenor tbonds is very sensitive towards rate spikes n cuts. If there's a rate spike they'll have lot of unrealized losses. If there was a rate cut they can make big gains.

is this jayathu perera?

TraderCSE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@jayathu wrote:All depends on what' sort of bond trading portfolio they have, ESL specially trade short tenor tbonds. Short tenor tbonds is very sensitive towards rate spikes n cuts. If there's a rate spike they'll have lot of unrealized losses. If there was a rate cut they can make big gains.

Jayathu, we can't expect further rate cut during next few years. Will this negatively impact to the share price of ESL?

What is the good price to enter in to as long term investment?

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
CFVF and ESL for short term trading opportunity.
today CFVF 950,000 Traded at 40.00

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Gainer I thought u were going to wait until report ar out.

"Waiting for Financial Report , after that i will tell you."

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
If there's no chance of further cuts don't enter ESL. Cfvf is better cause they have other line of work also, there business is more diversified.
Companies like ESL will strive during rate cut period cause its easy to get capital gains, but during rate stagnation or during hike period is difficult to make gains. That's why they made losses last qtr.

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