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PCH Uptrend

+8
TortoizePlus
stumpy
Chabbi
Prince
cse_investor
mark
chamith
nkuda
12 posters

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1PCH Uptrend Empty PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 7:34 pm

nkuda


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

What is you view on PCH uptrend, will it continue ?

2PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:45 pm

chamith

chamith
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I entered into this share nearly after 5 to 6 months. Those days i brought it for 14 - 15 LKR and sold at 29 LKR. Few days back i entered again at 18.40 LKR based on technical analysis.

3PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:10 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

chamith wrote:I entered into this share nearly after 5 to 6 months. Those days i brought it for 14 - 15 LKR and sold at 29 LKR. Few days back i entered again at 18.40 LKR based on technical analysis.


correct price you entered,it was oversold at that price after XD....it swings in most of the times,volumes are not bad,but problem is market condition...

4PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:18 pm

chamith

chamith
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Thats true mark.
Its always red monday and green friday.
Did you notice that today PCH showed a high volume. 6th highest traded counter. Cash map shows more buying than selling 60%.
But can hardly trust these TA these days,

5PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:29 pm

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

PCH was out of favor for a long time, and still is for many. Their Q1 financials were not up to expectation either. There have been numerous discussions about it in this forum over the past months. Today PCH had a lot of movement, in fact the past 4 days saw considerable trading going on.

Rumor has it that PCH will make an announcement next week, and that this increased volume is a result of speculative buying. Fundamentals don't apply here I think, but maybe technical analysis (as chamith wrote) can shed some more light on it.

Please note that this is not a recommendation to buy PCH shares. Do your own research before buying or selling.

6PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:31 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

chamith wrote:Thats true mark.
Its always red monday and green friday.
Did you notice that today PCH showed a high volume. 6th highest traded counter. Cash map shows more buying than selling 60%.
But can hardly trust these TA these days,

agree,not hardly,actually cannot trust completely Evil or Very Mad its hard to identify the crowd behavior in fear and greed,but i personally believe selling pressure will drag the counter down in next week....but counter is favorite of traders which swings like this..i saw some trend in JINS also.base seems to be at 17,better to grab if shows good volumes..

7PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:32 pm

Prince

Prince
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Hi mark

since you mention JINS whats your opinion on CSEC

8PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:33 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

cse_investor wrote:PCH was out of favor for a long time, and still is for many. Their Q1 financials were not up to expectation either. There have been numerous discussions about it in this forum over the past months. Today PCH had a lot of movement, in fact the past 4 days saw considerable trading going on.

Rumor has it that PCH will make an announcement next week, and that this increased volume is a result of speculative buying. Fundamentals don't apply here I think, but maybe technical analysis (as chamith wrote) can shed some more light on it.

Please note that this is not a recommendation to buy PCH shares. Do your own research before buying or selling.

ah,then in that case TA useless,counter will react according to rumor as other shares did

9PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:38 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

Prince wrote:Hi mark

since you mention JINS whats your opinion on CSEC

hmm,no idea mate...... bounce
sometimes some counters rest in a price level for a while after quick runs-if buying pressure not going to increase or until buying consolidate in a base,and then start the run...
also no heavy idea about JINS,ok.....just express my view Wink

10PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:42 pm

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:
cse_investor wrote:PCH was out of favor for a long time, and still is for many. Their Q1 financials were not up to expectation either. There have been numerous discussions about it in this forum over the past months. Today PCH had a lot of movement, in fact the past 4 days saw considerable trading going on.

Rumor has it that PCH will make an announcement next week, and that this increased volume is a result of speculative buying. Fundamentals don't apply here I think, but maybe technical analysis (as chamith wrote) can shed some more light on it.

Please note that this is not a recommendation to buy PCH shares. Do your own research before buying or selling.

ah,then in that case TA useless,counter will react according to rumor as other shares did

TA could still indicate counter position based on a longer period of time. Chamith seems to have reacted to it, so there must have been some signals prior to the large volumes.

11PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:02 am

Chabbi

Chabbi
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

cse_investor wrote:
Rumor has it that PCH will make an announcement next week, and that this increased volume is a result of speculative buying. Fundamentals don't apply here I think, but maybe technical analysis (as chamith wrote) can shed some more light on it.

Please note that this is not a recommendation to buy PCH shares. Do your own research before buying or selling.

Bro do u have any idea abt the Announcement ??? Wt kind announcement ?? Any hints ??

12PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:07 am

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Chabbi wrote: Bro do u have any idea abt the Announcement ??? Wt kind announcement ?? Any hints ??

Not sure machan, rumor has it someone might buy a stake in PCH. No idea whether it's true or not though.

13PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:17 am

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Note to all: Please do not let rumors influence your decision to buy or sell a counter. This forum is meant to share information and that is the only intention of my post. I am neither trying to encourage anyone to buy PCH nor have I ever really analyzed this counter in detail, but am trying to find a reason for the large trading volumes of the past 4 days and am willing to share what I know and hear. Monday and Tuesday we will know whether the trend continues.

14PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 8:05 am

stumpy

stumpy
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

hmmm.... interesting...

15PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 11:51 am

TortoizePlus

TortoizePlus
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

There are two promises to implement, BPO center in Jaffna and Data center in Colombo. If they announce one of them there will be some short term uptrend but we have to see their future earninngs and how they succseed in their new businessses. We have to consider quarter by quarter earnings. So far they are not up to the expectations.

16PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 11:58 am

Chabbi

Chabbi
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

cse_investor wrote:
Chabbi wrote: Bro do u have any idea abt the Announcement ??? Wt kind announcement ?? Any hints ??

Not sure machan, rumor has it someone might buy a stake in PCH. No idea whether it's true or not though.

Thnx buddy Smile

In case if it is DJ ........ Thn i cnt imagine the Price levels .............

Who knws ........ Hv to await ..........

17PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:02 pm

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Chabbi wrote:

Thnx buddy Smile

In case if it is DJ ........ Thn i cnt imagine the Price levels .............

Who knws ........ Hv to await ..........

Considering all that has happened the last few weeks, this is a possible scenario. If it happens, the rally will be even steeper than what happened to PCH back in January.

18PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:22 pm

Chabbi

Chabbi
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

cse_investor wrote:
Chabbi wrote:

Thnx buddy Smile

In case if it is DJ ........ Thn i cnt imagine the Price levels .............

Who knws ........ Hv to await ..........

Considering all that has happened the last few weeks, this is a possible scenario. If it happens, the rally will be even steeper than what happened to PCH back in January.

[img]PCH Uptrend Pch_tr10[/img]

19PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 1:52 pm

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Thanks Chabbi, very interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see PCH break 25 next week, announcement or not. If the announcement comes and it's something big, fasten your seat belts.

Please note that this is NOT a recommendation to buy PCH shares. Do your own research before buying or selling and read my note regarding PCH above.

20PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 6:24 pm

wallstreet


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

I am also confident about PCH. Because increase of price they are doing in a certain pattern. red or green market , price maintain is very good.

this is not a recommendation to buy PCH. Just I feel

21PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 10:27 pm

stumpy

stumpy
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

wat i saw is selling pressure... look at last candlestick @ Chabbi's chart

22PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 10:51 pm

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

stumpy,

I'm not too versed with TA, but if there was/is selling pressure, that to me then shows that someone is/was collecting, and not on a small scale. The last time we saw 4 consecutive days of large volume (1m+) was in early April, when it went from 16.50 to 21.50, only to retrieve back to 19 levels quickly. Maybe this is a similar scenario.

23PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 11:03 pm

stumpy

stumpy
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

You may be correct bro!

24PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Sat Jun 18, 2011 11:21 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

The last higher high means its currently on a expanding triangle pattern..But seeing from April we see a sideways pattern... With that high it has broken many resistances up to 22..
If this doesn't come to 19.30, this could have the potential to go up a little.. but the last high ard 22 was a selling point Wink

25PCH Uptrend Empty Re: PCH Uptrend Mon Jun 20, 2011 10:06 am

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Looks like it has started just the way I expected. 30min into the day and already close to 5m shares traded, touching 22.60

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