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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000)

LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000)

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26LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 2:39 am

ccsentha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@happybulls wrote:Rs.40/-,41/- is possible....but there was a huge selling pressure also.

why is it only 40-41? lioc has had an impressive performance, why wouldn't the price rocket away?

27LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 6:44 am

predictor


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
There was a selling pressure few months back. Now it is not. Some are trying to show that there is selling pressure and trying to buy at lower levels.

  Just check the order book today. It shows just 71,000 buying and 350,000 selling. Out of these you can see more than 52,000 about 70% on the board for the buying side and out of selling can see only 30%. Sellers are at higher prices.In order to buy at low they show huge selling orders and trying to collect. ie people who are having shares show the selling orders. This has been the case last few weeks.
check the last friday  196,000 shares traded. end of the day buyers have gone and matched the sellers. 82% matched the sellers prices and bought.
If there were selling pressure sellers should have matched the buying orders.
Don't get caught.

28LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 8:14 am

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
My short term target is 48 min but let's see what happens

29LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 10:51 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@samaritan wrote:The falling oil prices in the world market and the envisaged lead role of LIOC in the transformation of trinco as oil hub will surely see this share price booming in the near future. Pl hold. GL
LIOC-CPC joint venture to develop Trinco tank farm (daily FT).
http://www.ft.lk/article/561626/LIOC-CPC-joint-venture-to-develop-Trinco-tank-farm--Minister

30LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 11:38 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@thala wrote:My short term target is 48 min but let's see what happens
A realistic target in the short term.

31LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty LIOC PROFITS SOAR BY RECORD HIGH MARGIN Mon Aug 15, 2016 2:44 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
LIOC RECORDED AN IMPRESSIVE 1998Mn (approx 2Bn) NET PROFIT FOR THE Qtr ENDING 30th JUNE '16 AS AGAINST 171Mn LAST YEAR.

EPS FOR THE QTR = 3/75. ANNUALIZED  15/=

LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Lol

32LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 3:08 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
ANY GUESSES ABOUT TARGET PRICE?????????


_________________




The biggest risk in life is not taking any risk at all.

33LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 8:07 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
As expected came close to 41, its wait n watch game now

34LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 9:20 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
As expected came close to 41, its wait n watch game now

35LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 15, 2016 10:09 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Afa1b5_874a5dbd40a54ec6803394f222f5b507
SKY IS NOT THE LIMIT FOR LIOC.


_________________




The biggest risk in life is not taking any risk at all.

36LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Tue Aug 16, 2016 3:58 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Today all traded above 40 with good volume the huge selling was absorbed very well.  lets wait n see tomorrow

37LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Tue Aug 16, 2016 4:04 pm

kapifm

kapifm
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Tomorrow...... is  a  Rest  day......Machan... Laughing

38LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Tue Aug 16, 2016 5:16 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@kapifm wrote:Tomorrow...... is  a  Rest  day......Machan... Laughing

Opps yeah Wink

39LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 18, 2016 10:16 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Today also one million shares traded. Mostly above 40.5, i m trying figure out will there be a sudden run, or will be a solid uptrend.  

Experts please comment on this please..... ..

40LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 18, 2016 11:01 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
I think same fate for Petrolium and chicken.

Uncertainty and past pains.
In addition, fund managers of big funds linked to the Govt. are staying in safe mode due to fear of punishments in a future fall.

Politicians of most of the parties will come forward to punish them in an investment loss.

41LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 18, 2016 11:10 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
LIOC has many more uncertainancies time to time some times it's climbing to sky high ,some times bottom of the well.
Only God knows how the prices are going up and down .
Last time lot of people strcuted in 50-55 levels.
That's the reason buying as well as huge selling also.
New comers have to much careful to enter correct level.
Obviously LIOC is not bad but last 5-6 times the same scenario was happend.
Stil no one know how price formula is going to apply?


_________________




Teller said is said..

42LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Fri Aug 19, 2016 6:13 am

predictor


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Previous uncertainty situation changed with the new government. No need to run the petrolium at a loss by giving concessions. When the Formula is introduced profits will not changed drastically. Pricing formula is to make profits and not to incur losses. Most of the Countries where they have formula petrol/Diesel prices are higher than Srilanka.

EPS will be at least Rs. 10/-. from the present activities. With the planned new activities like distribution etc more chances are there to have a better EPS. That means LIOC should touch at least 80/-.(10/-*8 P/E)

43LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:45 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
LIOC is set to go above the previous highs. The lower crude oil price in the world market and stable fuel price locally will see even higher profits in the future.

Technical Charts: MACD shows a strong BUY signal.

44LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Sun Aug 21, 2016 3:53 pm

Shammi Dharshana

Shammi Dharshana
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Good collection and it will touch 50 level soon

45LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Sun Aug 21, 2016 4:43 pm

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Any prediction for upward trend tomorrow. Or will it come down a bit and go up again

46LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Sun Aug 21, 2016 5:16 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
@predictor wrote:Previous uncertainty situation changed with the new government. No need to run the petrolium at a loss by giving concessions. When the Formula is introduced profits will not changed drastically. Pricing formula is to make profits and not to incur losses. Most of the Countries where they have formula petrol/Diesel prices are higher than Srilanka.

EPS will be at least Rs. 10/-. from the present activities. With the planned new activities like distribution etc more chances are there to have a better EPS. That means LIOC should touch at least 80/-.(10/-*8 P/E)
A JUSTIFIABLE PREDICTION BY PREDICTOR!

47LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Sun Aug 21, 2016 11:57 pm

man123


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
This week LIOC pass 45/= very soon 50/=.

48LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:42 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
We have to wait and see for the new price formula. Most probably it will be favourable to public as ongoing election is scheduled in coming January 2017.
In that case LIOC margin can be effected. How ever entering around 35-37 level is not a much risk.
This is my personal point of view.
GL


_________________




Teller said is said..

49LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Mon Aug 22, 2016 9:58 am

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator
CPC had been a major loss making entity. So, any price formula that is to be introduced is not going to bring down price significantly. LIOC is expected to be the key player in fuel and other petroleum products distribution. Furthermore the development of tank farm in Trinco and the establishment of petroleum hub is to add value to LIOC.

Also it is widely expected with the glut of crude oil production the world prices may not go high for a long time to come.


_________________




The biggest risk in life is not taking any risk at all.

50LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Wed Aug 24, 2016 7:32 pm

happybulls

happybulls
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
ශ්‍රීලංකාවේ ලිහිසිතෙල් කර්මාන්තය සහ තාර වෙළෙඳ පොළ ලිහිල් කිරීමට අමාත්‍ය මණ්ඩල අනුමැතිය හිමිව තිබේ. ශ්‍රී ලංකාවේ ලිහිසිතෙල් වෙළෙඳපොළ තුළ ඵලදායී‍ තරගකාරීත්වයක් සඳහා පහසුකම් සැලසීමේ සහ තරගකාරී තාර වෙළෙඳපොළක් ඇතිකිරීමේ අරමුණින් මෙම පියවර ගෙන තිබේ.

ඒඅනුවලිහිසිතෙල් කර්මාන්තයට අලුතින් ඇතුළත් වීමට කැමැත්තක් දක්වන්නන්ට බලපත්‍ර ලබාදීම සඳහා ඛනිජ තෙල් සම්පත් සංවර්ධන අමාත්‍යාංශය‍ මගින් අයදුම්පත්‍ර කැඳවීමට මෙන්ම, අර්ධ වාර්ෂිකව ගෙවනු ලබන බලපත්‍ර ගාස්තුව රුපියල් මිලියන 02 දක්වාද, උපරිම ලියාපදිංචි ගාස්තුව රුපියල් රුපියල් මිලියන 06 දක්වාද වහාම ක්‍රියාත්මක වන පරිදි සංශෝධනය කිරීමට අනුමැතිය ලැබී ඇත.


Will this affect LIOC price ???

51LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 25, 2016 1:16 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Last cabinet meeting govt govt has decided to introduce another t Tax on petroleum As far as i know Rs 9/= per litter

But NO selling price increase

LIOC profit will come down further

52LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 25, 2016 7:36 pm

nuwan85


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
As per my understanding, there will not be any adverse impact to LIOC from the issue of new license for bitumen & Lubricant players.


Regarding the cabinet decision to introduce a tax of Rs. 9.00, still no communication received on the imposition or implementation of the said tax. If it is to be implemented it has to be published by gazette with the implementation date. Implication will come to effect only from the date of the implementation of the gazette. The same kind of Tax Introduction done by the Government 3 or 4 months back also. With the increase of Tax, LIOC increased their selling price by Rs. 2.00. But with the reduction of the crude price, they reduced the increased sale price of RS. 2.00. I hope this time also they follow the same thing. If tax increase reduces their margin, definitely they will increase selling price. And also we want to look at on the import cost side also. World crude price is coming down while OPEC is trying to increase the Crude price. The current level of Crude excess supply in world market will bring down the crude price further and same will continue for number of years. Due to increase production volume in the world market the excess storage of crude will continue for number of years.  With the low crude price, definitely LIOC will maintain good margin.



On the other hand Government has given number of commitments to IMF while taking USD 1.5 Bn loan to run the state commercial entities profitably. So they can’t increase taxes by just looking at the LIOC side. They have to look on the CPC profitability side also. So I think there will not be any impact to LIOC profitability. They will report good profits for the coming years as they did for last two quarters. GL.

53LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Thu Aug 25, 2016 7:52 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Govt will not allow CPC or LIOC to increase selling price of petroleum products

Govt will also not allow get the benefit of word market prices to any one CPC OR LIOC

LIOC share price will not increase as expected

54LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Fri Aug 26, 2016 6:17 am

predictor


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
There were no cabinet decision taken to tax fuel on 23rd August as per the cabinet decisions web site.
http://www.news.lk/cabinet-decusions/item/14251-decisions-taken-by-the-cabinet-of-ministers-at-its-meeting-held-on-23-08-2016
According to the Minister of Petroleum, Corporation profit was 36.5 billion during Jan to April 2016.
Hasn't the CPC and LIOC benefitted with the world market lower oil prices ?
LIOC may start even exporting oil products. Both Govt and LIOC will benefit out of this venture soon.

55LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) - Page 2 Empty Re: LANKA IOC PLC (LIOC.N0000) Fri Aug 26, 2016 9:59 am

thala


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Lioc crashing huge selling cant see why any news

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