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Why buying EXPO now is risky for Retailers !!!!

+14
cseguide
ONTHEMONEY
Gowri123
D.G.Dayaratne
samaritan
Kipling
bizstock
0767000279
Dilip
Banuka
cpriya
Captain
mah2903
Kratos
18 posters

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cseguide


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

ONTHEMONEY wrote:
D.G.Dayaratne wrote:Export do not pay resalable dividend

I think NO ROOM FOR IMPROVEMENT without payment of dividends

If they pay reasonable dividend there will be a cashflow problem.

Will EXPO face internal crisis very soon ?

Pl correct me if i am wrong.
Hi mate, 

I am writing after so long in e forum

Anyways, just wanted to shed light about EXPO

#EXPO is PHENOMENAL CO. benefits largely on;

1. C19 & supply shortage 
2. Light asset & quick ROI 
3. M&A 
4. Increased E-COM demand 
5. USD/LKR depreciation(92%< earnings in USD
6. Low operational risk since EXPO in 30+ countries 
7. No IMPACT on POWER CUTS

In today’s business world, things are really uncertain. In EXPOs business model, It’s not the broken supply chain, it’s who can triumph over the broken supply chain. Now the C19 OMICRON spread has hit a NEW HIGH GLOBALLY 

Furthermore, EXPO is a company exploited GLOBAL BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES better than any other BLUE CHIPS in CSE just by OPERATING in LIGHT ASSET AGILE business model 

#EXPOs SCALABILITY is HIGH to achieve ANY AMOUNT of PROFITS IMO

DIVIDENDs are low in GROWTH CO. mostly as they allocate FUNDS for NEW INVESTMENTS enhancing business performance. (Ex: AMAZON, GOOGLE) EXPO is a similar company continuously ACQUIRING to GROW to explore opportunities. Additionally, one can expect a DIVIDEND after the FY is over most probably.

Hence I believe you’re judgment completely wrong


Good Luck

Note - NOT a BUY | SELL or HOLD RECOMMENDATION. DYOA before making an investment decision
My quantity in expo is intact. I have bought it and forget it. Because I have lots of faith on this company. I have never loose a single cent by investing this company. In addition to that If I feels good , I add some more expo in time to time.

Berryfund, dul324, Intrinsicvalue, Dilip and Gowri123 like this post

Kratos


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

As evident from above comments, People already holding low trying hard to get new retailers to enter to dump on them. 

Let the ones already in EXPO play around and average up or hold forever. 

New entrants be cautious. 

The most recent target price at best case scenario is Rs 550 for Financial year 2023. 

So if you want to get a mediocre return on investment at a high risk you can enter fresh at now. 

This caution is for new entrants only. 

Ones already having at low prices has no risk. 

Be careful. 

There are plenty of better moving stocks to invest now. 

Expo was the best performer last two years. 

Best to book profits and move to more profitable counters.

Intrinsicvalue dislikes this post

Kratos


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Rs 550 target is for 2023 not for 2022. 

So you may get around 40% upside in over one year. 

Whereas investing in HAYL, VONE , Browns, LOLC Group, Plantations, Import Substituting Manufacturing Sectors etc can give you over 100% gains within one year.

New retail entrants be cautious!!!!!

Intrinsicvalue dislikes this post

Captain


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Mithooshan wrote:Thanks to Kratos all seniors of the forum are united after so many months.

EPS, Captain, Onthemoney and Samaritan among others.

New entrants just know that Kratos himself is a new entrant. 😅🤣
Kartos noted that you have joined to the forum after expo staganate arround 370 to 400.

Ok guy you go with your list of shares.... we only just acknowledge our member here only how to get good investment decision.

Cma, Nandun, Mithooshan and mah2903 like this post

bkasun


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Dogs Bark, but the caravan goes on..

EXPO also same.. Not only EXPO investors, but CSE too will elevate to new level by one and only EXPO

I reckon, EXPO is a global company and don't measure it at CSE level alone.

cseguide, Cma and mah2903 like this post

cseguide

cseguide
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

bkasun wrote:Dogs Bark, but the caravan goes on..

EXPO also same.. Not only EXPO investors, but CSE too will elevate to new level by one and only EXPO

I reckon, EXPO is a global company and don't measure it at CSE level alone.
yeah Now It is a global class company and those who has not entered below 400 have to regret very soon,

mah2903 likes this post

mah2903


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Kratos wrote:Rs 550 target is for 2023 not for 2022. 

So you may get around 40% upside in over one year. 

Whereas investing in HAYL, VONE , Browns, LOLC Group, Plantations, Import Substituting Manufacturing Sectors etc can give you over 100% gains within one year.

New retail entrants be cautious!!!!!
Bit improvement from you 

Kratos

Kratos  


first you said sell all EXPO and buy LOLC and its Junks 
then you said sell EXPO and buy moving stocks 
Now you are advising the new investor not to enter and existing EXPO holders get maximum 40% up to one year. 
but one thing sure that you have done good propaganda for the rewards you got. 
Gold bless you

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

I think we can see EXPO real position very soon

Now it has reach its maximum level

Intrinsicvalue dislikes this post

Kratos


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Hopefully atleast few retailers were saved from buying high. 

Best to let the share cool down and buy for longterm. 

ST potential nominal and very limited.

bizstock


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

මේකා හරිනම් ඉන්න ඕනෙ පිස්සන් කොටුවෙ.

AmateurTrader001 likes this post

AmateurTrader001


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

The rate at which you make posts against expo is phenomenal. Why would you do that? If you dont want people to loose money, go make millions of posts regarding AAIC pump and other crap. Did you see Expo's Q report?

Itzme likes this post

sureshot

sureshot
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Why buying EXPO now is risky for Retailers !!!! - Page 2 Screen12

Kratos


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Do not fall in love with shares. 

I Have already highlighted the risk in yesterday’s pump of SCAP. Same cartel who exited EXPO early Nov when EXPO was near 230 dropped it to 200 then pumped KZOO, PAP, RIL and LOFC and dumped. Then renters EXPO below 200. 

Now the same cartel exited EXPO and is playing around with SCAP and possibly few more shares and will dump these on retailers and again enter EXPO after further drop. 

Retailers should be cautious. These veterans are always 2 steps ahead. You cannot beat them. Some get lucky if they enter and exit on time to ride the tide.

Regarding AAIC even a beginner can see it’s just a cyclical pump within the same group of people. 

Stocks are there to make money.

Money is there to make more Money.

EXPO is deemed to reach above 450 in mid term not ST closer to the next quarter results. 

My warnings were for retailers not to buy on the top since the price was already adjusted to the expected earnings and this dump of shares was expected as soon as results hit and retailers hype starts

Buy on speculation sell on news. . 

Buying below 350 and best near 300 is ideal.

ADVENTUS dislikes this post

ADVENTUS


Moderator
Moderator

Kratos wrote:Do not fall in love with shares. 

I Have already highlighted the risk in yesterday’s pump of SCAP. Same cartel who exited EXPO early Nov when EXPO was near 230 dropped it to 200 then pumped KZOO, PAP, RIL and LOFC and dumped. Then renters EXPO below 200. 

Now the same cartel exited EXPO and is playing around with SCAP and possibly few more shares and will dump these on retailers and again enter EXPO after further drop. 

Retailers should be cautious. These veterans are always 2 steps ahead. You cannot beat them. Some get lucky if they enter and exit on time to ride the tide.

Regarding AAIC even a beginner can see it’s just a cyclical pump within the same group of people. 

Stocks are there to make money.

Money is there to make more Money.

EXPO is deemed to reach above 450 in mid term not ST closer to the next quarter results. 

My warnings were for retailers not to buy on the top since the price was already adjusted to the expected earnings and this dump of shares was expected as soon as results hit and retailers hype starts

Buy on speculation sell on news. . 

Buying below 350 and best near 300 is ideal.


YOU FOOL

YOU CAN PICK ANY GOOD NON-MANIPULATIVE SHARE IN THE MARKET AND "PREDICT" THE SAME.
THESE ARE CYCLES AND WE HAVE ALL WITNESSED THESE CYCLES.
YOU HAVE JOINED THIS FORUM IN DEC 2021 AND ALL YOU HAVE DONE IS REPEAT THE SAME THING SINCE DECEMBER. YOU WERE PROMOTING CLC AND LOFC MUST HAVE FAILED MISERABLY, ALSO PUT A LOT OF RETAILERS AT RISK. 

ADMINS SHOULD GET RID OF THIS PERSON FROM THE FORUM. 

I HOPE EVERYONE ELSE IN THIS FORUM AGREES WITH ME.

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

I think even Rs 300/= may be too high for EXPO

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

We have  to allow different type of opinion in this forum

and allow members think and decide



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:43 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

Kratos


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I have never promoted any Junk shares including CLC, LOFC. 

If I am to be removed then everyone who promoted EXPO to buy high should also be removed as they are the ones who actually put retailers at Risk.

Truth Hurts. 

Buy someone has to say it even though you get a backlash. 

My intention is for new retailers to be safe. 

Not to protect HNWIs or people like you who have bought very low and already gained profits and wants EXPO to keep going in an unrealistic way just to increase your profits at the expense of new retailers.

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