Where is EXPOLANKA heading?

ChooBoy

ChooBoy

Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Posts : 413
Equity Stars : 2655
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Join date : 2019-01-31

Shipping Rates are on the decline
Simply remarkable: shipping rate for 40-ft container from Shanghai to Los Angeles has slipped below long-term average (going back to 2011, full series), putting to bed notion that shipping rates are still elevated relative to entire pre-pandemic era

Latest Valuation/Earnings Update

https://twitter.com/danukalive/status/1586031753600569344?s=20&t=nSadjgIId-qvIZGZiUc99g

Expected PER

DeepFuckingValue wrote:Find below PE based valuations of EXPOLANKA done on the basis of latest earnings to determine whether company is good or bad to buy at the current price levels.

PE Expectations are often depended on prevailing interest rates. Higher the interest rates fund will tend to shift towards debt instruments unless shares start trading at matching PE Ratios.

As a result of current TB rates being 33% p.a, stock market investors expect target buying companies to have PER of 3X or less. 100/33 = 3

If the interest Rates were at 25%p.a then PER Expectation would be 4X or less. 100/25 = 4.

In case if TB Rates reach 50% then investors would be looking for companies with a PER of 2X or less. 100/50 = 2

At 3 X PER, EXP is worth only LKR 145/=

Recommendation given Capital Trust in April 2022

Latest Shareholdings
More than 1.2mn Shares of #EXPO divested by Capital Trust during last 3 months.

Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:30 pm by **hammurabi** · Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:30 pm by **hammurabi**

EXPO is expected to crash in coming weeks. There are big sharks stuck at EXPO and LIOC. And as margin becomes thinner, billions will be wiped out from the market. Both the stocks will bring down ASPI to 5000 - 6000 level. EXPO will never gain its previous high in another 10 years as 3rd Q report will show losses. Those holding in large quantities should pray for another pandemic or World War 3.
On the other side, Banks gonna catch debt restructuring fever.

Thu Nov 03, 2022 10:39 am by rajini · Thu Nov 03, 2022 10:39 am by rajini

The major share holder has purchased 4% shares from other major share holders around 220-230 which is 40%-50% above 150. It will be attractive to them to buy shares again.