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What will happen tomorrow?

+33
K.R
D.G.Dayaratne
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Intrinsic
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37 posters

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51What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Sat Aug 01, 2020 11:14 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

samaritan wrote:
celtic tiger wrote:
reyaz wrote:Banking and Insurance made thumping profits and are acting like beggars, anyone disagree? give your reasons, I am all ears
  
prevailing rates and policies MAKE these sectors lazy money making businesses(All they have to do is to site down all day on a nice chair ) . In develop countries  deposit rates  1.5 to 3
                                            lending rates 5 to 7.5
                                            mortgage rates 1.5 to 4.5
Sri lankan  rates has to change if we wants to become a production driven economy.
In developed countries interest rates are very low b'cos their currencies are strong unlike here. See how rupee has depreciated you will understand.
When interest rates are rising both businesses and consumers will cut back on spending this will cause earnings to fall and stock prices to drop.
central bank can bring down the rates. I can't understand the connection between interest rate and weak rupee?
I think rupee is getting weak because of/ import, export gap/decreasing foreign remittance /huge foreign debt. please correct me if I am wrong here.

52What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Mon Aug 03, 2020 1:27 pm

Rare


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Cannot understand the market. Pakistan stocks beat other markets, charging bull above pre-virus level after recent terrorist attack on the Pakistan stocks exchange and having corona. Where is the risk?

53What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Mon Aug 03, 2020 2:04 pm

kasun_gimhana


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

The market is going up while economic conditions are deteriorating, This is mainly due to the quantitative easing. If this continues the market will go up further but the government can't continue quantitative easing forever. quantitative easing creates a gap between the market and the economy. so there will be a market correction in the future but can't predict when maybe one-year ahead. But as an investor, it is better to prepare anything and diversification will help. I think it is better to have gold, at least 10% in the portfolio. 

54What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Mon Aug 03, 2020 7:14 pm

Yahapalanaya


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

kasun_gimhana wrote:The market is going up while economic conditions are deteriorating, This is mainly due to the quantitative easing. If this continues the market will go up further but the government can't continue quantitative easing forever. quantitative easing creates a gap between the market and the economy. so there will be a market correction in the future but can't predict when maybe one-year ahead. But as an investor, it is better to prepare anything and diversification will help. I think it is better to have gold, at least 10% in the portfolio. 
Correct.But it won't take one year.It will be soon with current or next quarter companies financial release , country's covid/corrupted economy fall,political infighting,etc.

55What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Aug 04, 2020 1:09 pm

Rare


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Something wrong. Why is this market rising?
 
Pakistan’s Stock Market becomes The 2nd Best Performer Globally
https://propakistani.pk/2020/08/03/pakistans-stock-market-becomes-the-2nd-best-performer-globally/
Pakistan’s benchmark index, KSE-100, was the second-best performer globally in the past month according to Bloomberg’s data and has gained 47% since reaching the lowest this year on March 25. The stocks have recovered all the losses caused by the coronavirus.

56What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Aug 04, 2020 2:27 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Rare wrote:
Something wrong. Why is this market rising?
 
Pakistan’s Stock Market becomes The 2nd Best Performer Globally
https://propakistani.pk/2020/08/03/pakistans-stock-market-becomes-the-2nd-best-performer-globally/
Pakistan’s benchmark index, KSE-100, was the second-best performer globally in the past month according to Bloomberg’s data and has gained 47% since reaching the lowest this year on March 25. The stocks have recovered all the losses caused by the coronavirus.
Serious investors  sees more opportunity in a county that had- WORST past- BAD present- but BRIGHT future sunny

samaritan and Kipling like this post

57What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:10 pm

jaya


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

https://lankacitizens.com/breaking-news/%e0%b7%81%e0%b7%8a%e2%80%8d%e0%b6%bb%e0%b7%92%e0%b6%bd%e0%b6%b1%e0%b7%92%e0%b6%b4-%e0%b7%84%e0%b6%af%e0%b7%92%e0%b7%83%e0%b7%92-%e0%b7%84%e0%b6%b8%e0%b7%94%e0%b7%80-%e0%b6%9a%e0%b7%94%e0%b6%b8/

58What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Aug 04, 2020 4:27 pm

Kaish86


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Seems SJB will form the govt eith slfp and slpp has to sit in opposition ??

59What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Aug 04, 2020 5:32 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator

People resort to playing 'mind games' on the eve of an election. Similar games could not influence the outcome of the last Presidential election. Finally party that favours bullish sentiment in the CSE will form the Govt.

Kipling likes this post

60What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 05, 2020 11:02 am

Bargain


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

try Understand next runners before they pass big names.

61What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 05, 2020 11:02 am

Bargain


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Try to Understand next big runners before they pass big names.

62What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Thu Aug 06, 2020 12:28 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

At the moment, more reasons to be a bear market than to be bull. 2/3 majority is the only short term answer for bull run but it'snot going to happen.
best thing to do is picking future winners as BARGAIN SAID .

Kipling dislikes this post

63What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Fri Aug 07, 2020 2:14 pm

Rare


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

celtic tiger wrote:
Rare wrote:
Something wrong. Why is this market rising?
 
Pakistan’s Stock Market becomes The 2nd Best Performer Globally
https://propakistani.pk/2020/08/03/pakistans-stock-market-becomes-the-2nd-best-performer-globally/
Pakistan’s benchmark index, KSE-100, was the second-best performer globally in the past month according to Bloomberg’s data and has gained 47% since reaching the lowest this year on March 25. The stocks have recovered all the losses caused by the coronavirus.
Serious investors  sees more opportunity in a county that had- WORST past- BAD present- but BRIGHT future sunny
Hit 21-week high. KSE-100 crosses 40000-point barrier.
https://www.samaa.tv/money/2020/08/pakistan-stocks/
Where is the corona?

Kipling likes this post

64What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:11 pm

Rare


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Try to understand why the stock market does not follow reality. More surprises. The PSX started to move up and gained over 5,000 points in the month of July alone — a 17-year high for a single month.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/pakistan-roll-back-lockdown-measures-death-coronavirus
Pakistan to roll back lockdown measures as COVID-19 death numbers decline
Pakistan's situation has improved significantly compared to other countries in the region," Umar said, according to Barron’s. Government data indicates that Pakistan’s daily virus deaths peaked in June with 150 people per day.OVID-19 death numbers decline. The numbers have continued to dwindle, and on Thursday only 21 new fatalities were reported.
Schools and universities planned to reopen Sept. 15, subject to a final review, Umar said. Non-contact sports will resume Monday, but no audiences will be present.
 “The threat has not gone away. The situation has improved because the government formulated a clear strategy which was implemented by the administrative machinery,” Umar said, the Hindustan Times reported.

65What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:55 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Foreign debt of the country is the dark cloud over us if new government can show some sort of ability to move this cloud will help CSE big time.

66What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Sun Aug 23, 2020 10:36 pm

Love Boy


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

I can not understand market. but, huge funds seem to be invest the market without inform us. Sometimes,it may be EPF. But,I can not understand.

67What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:24 am

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Love Boy wrote:I can not understand market. but, huge funds seem to be invest the market without inform us. Sometimes,it may be EPF. But,I can not understand.
Present low interest rates makes cse attractive to HNWI and to  locals funds at the same time depreciation of rupee force foreigners to sell.

dayandacool likes this post

68What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:01 pm

Kipling


Expert
Expert

Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.

69What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:08 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator

Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!

topgun86 likes this post

70What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:12 pm

dayandacool

dayandacool
Moderator
Moderator

samaritan wrote:
Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!


Agree with you on this. Issue is with high liquidity makes high inflation which leads foreign governments rethinking their lending policy or offer higher interest rates when lending money. Hope they will have a solution for that in future. If done right, SL is in a better path.

71What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Aug 26, 2020 6:33 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

we are in the right place (indian ocean) right time (covid19) if we do the right thing  Sri lanka will be the next tiger economy in asia.

72What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Fri Aug 28, 2020 3:46 pm

Intrinsic


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

samaritan wrote:
Kipling wrote:Samaritan 
So your view is strong bull on road to break all time high still on track. Correct?
How soon do you expect positive & bold reforms/ decisions from GR administration.
If you see the trend, HNWI are collecting while foreigners are selling. Political & economic stability are prerequisites to attract investments.
Political stability is already in place but the economic issues which worsened with covid has to be addressed. So, far the govt has been successful with the measures taken to keep the rupee stable. But in the future it will be necessary to obtain foreign assistance via agreements and other arrangements to uplift the economy.
Before year end you will see a totally different picture. I am optimistic!

Hi! 

80% agreed. The issue is the time frame you have given: Before year end. 

As I think, most probably that will further delay. Country's main income is exports & tourism. We will not get substantial export orders till US & EU become fully recovered from Covid. Also our inbound tourism will not regain its past glory till the travel bans are fully lifted from that end. 

Since US & EU are still struggling, I think this status will drag until mid of 2021 at least. 

Thanks.

73What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Fri Sep 04, 2020 12:49 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED

74What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Fri Sep 04, 2020 1:28 pm

shihan 93


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

celtic tiger wrote:Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED
Foreigners was in selling mood for 3,4 months now

75What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Fri Sep 04, 2020 1:56 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

shihan 93 wrote:
celtic tiger wrote:Most of the foreign funds invested in banking sector. If future is not bright for the sector?? and foreigners are in selling mood ??RED RED
Foreigners was in selling mood for 3,4 months now

Yes . but banks were not bad 3,4 months ago. was it?

76What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:32 am

ResearchMan

ResearchMan
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Really have to understand the market. How it works.

77What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Tue Oct 06, 2020 1:55 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ResearchMan wrote:Really have to understand the market. How it works.
 Higher trading %,New investors and  PANIC

78What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Oct 07, 2020 12:00 pm

ResearchMan

ResearchMan
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

celtic tiger wrote:
ResearchMan wrote:Really have to understand the market. How it works.
 Higher trading %,New investors and  PANIC
Understand the market and stocks cycles. The reality is that investment is not risk free but when approached in a disciplined manner, it is one of the most efficient ways to build up one's net worth.

KavinduTM likes this post

79What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Wed Oct 07, 2020 12:05 pm

madukp


Expert
Expert

In brief panic sellers, gamblers and fools are selling and we are collecting. It's worthwhile to put FD in CSE for a couple of years then having a 5% interest rate. It will give us 50%+ profit fr sure.

KavinduTM and Kipling like this post

80What will happen tomorrow? - Page 3 Empty Re: What will happen tomorrow? Sun Jan 24, 2021 8:29 pm

celtic tiger


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

1.Tug of war going on to be the richest man in SL
2.Foriegners keep selling because of falling rupee
3.Local money keep coming because of nor where to put them.
I am just try to understand current scenario ?? any thoughts ??

agentnrox and Nandun like this post

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