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Pivot Point Indicator

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176Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sat Sep 07, 2013 1:16 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

According to news report US will not invade Syria

US congress will oppose in addition to UN

But our problem is not connected with this

This is mere manipulation by Govt(ONE powerful man  engage in country Finance management) to prevent foreign sales

Pl note that this my candid OPINION



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Sat Sep 07, 2013 1:19 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

177Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sat Sep 07, 2013 5:54 pm

sikka89


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

D.G.Dayaratne wrote:According to news report US will not invade Syria

US congress will oppose in addition to UN

But our problem is not connected with this

This is mere manipulation by Govt(ONE powerful man  engage in country Finance management) to prevent foreign sales

Pl note that this my candid OPINION
For you everything is related to government,i think this is a different game.Government involvement in CSE is less compared with other issues.

178Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sun Sep 08, 2013 9:57 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

According to a posting in this forum 75% of stock market investment is from institutions Most of big institutions are controlled by Govt

How can we talk about stock market in sri Lanka with out Government
involvement

179Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sun Sep 08, 2013 10:37 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Before 2009 all govt institutions were able to take investment decisions
according to guidelines independently.

But it has been completely changed now

The Origin of present problem is there



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Sun Sep 08, 2013 10:42 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

180Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sun Sep 08, 2013 3:09 pm

LSE


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ASI Index values as of [06-09-2013]

Open - 5683.40
High - 5700.43
Low  - 5668.61
Close - 5672.64


R4 5,776.02
R3 5,744.20
R2 5,712.38 --->> Resistance Level 2
R1 5,692.51 --->> Resistance Level 1


PP 5,680.56

S1 5,660.69 --->> Support Level 1
S2 5,648.74 --->> Support Level 2
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3

S4 5,585.10



Conclusion :

First of all thank you very much for the valuable comments you provided me to continue this post further in a new way. Due to the comments provided by the community, I thought to present this calculation by mixing up with an another method call Fibonacci Retracement.
Currently we all are waiting for a good trigger point to break this down trend.Fibonacci Retracements are ratios used to identify potential reversal levels.

Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Fb110

Lets look at the above calculated Pivot Point values with below Fibonacci Retracement Levels,

Trend Begining Date  - 04 Dec 2012
Trend Begining Value - 5319.29
Trend Ending Date    - 28 May 2013
Trend Ending Value   - 6532.54


Fibonacci Retracements [History | Weekly]

0.0%    ----->>> 6532.54 ---->>> Fail
100.0%  ----->>> 5319.29 ---->>> Fail
23.6%   ----->>> 6246.21 ---->>> Fail
38.2.2% ----->>> 6069.08 ---->>> Fail
50.0%   ----->>> 5925.91 ---->>> Fail
61.8%   ----->>> 5782.75 ---->>> Fail
76.4%   ----->>> 5605.62 ---->>> Next alert zone for a potential reversal
161.8%  ----->>> 4569.50
261.8%  ----->>> 3356.25
423.6%  ----->>> 1393.22


The most popular Fibonacci Retracements are 61.8% and 38.2%. Note that 38.2% is often rounded to 38% and 61.8 is rounded to 62%. Keep in mind that these retracement levels are not hard reversal points. Instead, they serve as alert zones for a potential reversal.

By using the pivot point calculation we can see the next support levels are,

S1 5,660.69 --->> Support Level 1
S2 5,648.74 --->> Support Level 2
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3


and those are the key potential reversal support levels and keep you eye on Support Level 3. Because, you can see the next alert zones for a potential reversal is laying around 5605.62.


Note

1. Watch the market behavior very carefully at this stage but don't get panic.
2. I personally believe this down trend will not continue further beyond the 5600 level.

I'd like invite you all to add your valuable comments, graphs & techniques to improve the quality of this post.


For more reading, study study study 

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:fibonacci_retracemen

Lets hope for the best.

Thank You...

181Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sun Sep 08, 2013 5:23 pm

wellappili


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Whatever oppose i have on pivot point I'm agreeing on your personal opinion above.This week will be green and I'm in.

182Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Sun Sep 08, 2013 8:19 pm

nihal123

nihal123
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE
You are doing good job.
Thanks

183Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Mon Sep 09, 2013 7:20 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Technical Analysis will be successful IF large number of buyers take independent investment decisions with profit motive according to their expectations and available information

you can't see this in SL stock market now

That is the main reason for unsuccessful Technical analysis

No one can forecast SL stock market using Pivot point



Last edited by D.G.Dayaratne on Mon Sep 09, 2013 4:45 pm; edited 2 times in total (Reason for editing : correction)

184Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Mon Sep 09, 2013 9:48 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:ASI Index values as of [06-09-2013]

Open - 5683.40
High - 5700.43
Low  - 5668.61
Close - 5672.64


R4 5,776.02
R3 5,744.20
R2 5,712.38 --->> Resistance Level 2
R1 5,692.51 --->> Resistance Level 1


PP 5,680.56

S1 5,660.69 --->> Support Level 1
S2 5,648.74 --->> Support Level 2
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3

S4 5,585.10



Conclusion :

First of all thank you very much for the valuable comments you provided me to continue this post further in a new way. Due to the comments provided by the community, I thought to present this calculation by mixing up with an another method call Fibonacci Retracement.
Currently we all are waiting for a good trigger point to break this down trend.Fibonacci Retracements are ratios used to identify potential reversal levels.

Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Fb110

Lets look at the above calculated Pivot Point values with below Fibonacci Retracement Levels,

Trend Begining Date  - 04 Dec 2012
Trend Begining Value - 5319.29
Trend Ending Date    - 28 May 2013
Trend Ending Value   - 6532.54


Fibonacci Retracements [History | Weekly]

0.0%    ----->>> 6532.54 ---->>> Fail
100.0%  ----->>> 5319.29 ---->>> Fail
23.6%   ----->>> 6246.21 ---->>> Fail
38.2.2% ----->>> 6069.08 ---->>> Fail
50.0%   ----->>> 5925.91 ---->>> Fail
61.8%   ----->>> 5782.75 ---->>> Fail
76.4%   ----->>> 5605.62 ---->>> Next alert zone for a potential reversal
161.8%  ----->>> 4569.50
261.8%  ----->>> 3356.25
423.6%  ----->>> 1393.22


The most popular Fibonacci Retracements are 61.8% and 38.2%. Note that 38.2% is often rounded to 38% and 61.8 is rounded to 62%. Keep in mind that these retracement levels are not hard reversal points. Instead, they serve as alert zones for a potential reversal.

By using the pivot point calculation we can see the next support levels are,

S1 5,660.69 --->> Support Level 1
S2 5,648.74 --->> Support Level 2
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3


and those are the key potential reversal support levels and keep you eye on Support Level 3. Because, you can see the next alert zones for a potential reversal is laying around 5605.62.


Note

1. Watch the market behavior very carefully at this stage but don't get panic.
2. I personally believe this down trend will not continue further beyond the 5600 level.

I'd like invite you all to add your valuable comments, graphs & techniques to improve the quality of this post.


For more reading, study study study 

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:fibonacci_retracemen

Lets hope for the best.

Thank You...

185Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Mon Sep 09, 2013 3:15 pm

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:ASI Index values as of [06-09-2013]

76.4%   ----->>> 5605.62 ---->>> Next alert zone for a potential reversal

By using the pivot point calculation we can see the next support levels are,

S1
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3


and those are the key potential reversal support levels and keep you eye on Support Level 3. Because, you can see the next alert zones for a potential reversal is laying around 5605.62.

So, we are there today?????????

186Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Mon Sep 09, 2013 3:27 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics


Conclusion :


This what I've pointed out on yesterday evening and today it's reach to the point accordingly..
EOD the index was finalized as 5,605.26 [0.36 Points Different].

ASPI  already reached to the next alert zone. I think we can see some potential reversal pattern form tomorrow onwards. Today analyze will coming soon....

Please read the below description carefully.

LSE wrote:


Trend Begining Date  - 04 Dec 2012
Trend Begining Value - 5319.29
Trend Ending Date    - 28 May 2013
Trend Ending Value   - 6532.54


Fibonacci Retracements [History | Weekly]

0.0%    ----->>> 6532.54 ---->>> Fail
100.0%  ----->>> 5319.29 ---->>> Fail
23.6%   ----->>> 6246.21 ---->>> Fail
38.2.2% ----->>> 6069.08 ---->>> Fail
50.0%   ----->>> 5925.91 ---->>> Fail
61.8%   ----->>> 5782.75 ---->>> Fail
76.4%   ----->>> 5605.62 ---->>> Next alert zone for a potential reversal
Actual Value is ---->>> 5605.26
161.8%  ----->>> 4569.50
261.8%  ----->>> 3356.25
423.6%  ----->>> 1393.22


The most popular Fibonacci Retracements are 61.8% and 38.2%. Note that 38.2% is often rounded to 38% and 61.8 is rounded to 62%. Keep in mind that these retracement levels are not hard reversal points. Instead, they serve as alert zones for a potential reversal.

By using the pivot point calculation we can see the next support levels are,

S1 5,660.69 --->> Support Level 1
S2 5,648.74 --->> Support Level 2
S3 5,616.92 --->> Support Level 3


and those are the key potential reversal support levels and keep you eye on Support Level 3. Because, you can see the next alert zones for a potential reversal is laying around 5605.62.
Thank You.

187Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 7:59 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

76.4% ----->>> 5605.62 ---->>> Next alert zone for a potential reversal


Power of Fibonacci pirat 

188Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 9:29 am

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Whre is LSE now?

189Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 9:30 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ASI Index values as of [09-09-2013]

Open - 5671.76
High - 5677.17
Low  - 5605.26
Close - 5605.26


R4 5,844.96
midpoint 5,809.01
R3 5,773.05
midpoint 5,737.10
R2 5,701.14 --->> Resistance Level 2
midpoint 5,677.17
R1 5,653.20 --->> Resistance Level 1

midpoint 5,641.22 --->> Mid Resistance Point


PP 5,629.23

midpoint 5,605.26 --->> Mid support Point

S1 5,581.29 --->> Support Level 1
midpoint 5,569.31
S2 5,557.32 --->> Support Level 2
midpoint 5,521.37
S3 5,485.41
midpoint 5,449.46
S4 5,413.50




Conclusion :


All the theories are well directed in to a same point and I'd like to say this is the beauty of the analyze among different techniques.

Well, yesterday it's reach to the expected point 5,605.26  and on pivot points analyze on mid support point is  laying on the same point exactly [5,605.26].  Now you can see how much those theories are interconnected and how much they are accurate. [On theoretically and practically - except malfunctioning]
If you carefully follow the post from the beginning you will find many such points like this. this is kind of a special scenario.

Yesterday close is laying on the Mid support point. So, we can expect a sudden uptrend if it's working according to the theories. But, practically we can't expect the same behavior as we experienced in several times. Lets see...


Note

I think we can expect some potential reversal pattern form today onwards.


Lets hope for the best.

Thank You...

190Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 11:24 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:ASI Index values as of [09-09-2013]

Open - 5671.76
High - 5677.17
Low  - 5605.26
Close - 5605.26


R4 5,844.96
midpoint 5,809.01
R3 5,773.05
midpoint 5,737.10
R2 5,701.14 --->> Resistance Level 2
midpoint 5,677.17
R1 5,653.20 --->> Resistance Level 1

midpoint 5,641.22 --->> Mid Resistance Point


PP 5,629.23

midpoint 5,605.26 --->> Mid support Point

S1 5,581.29 --->> Support Level 1
midpoint 5,569.31
S2 5,557.32 --->> Support Level 2
midpoint 5,521.37
S3 5,485.41
midpoint 5,449.46
S4 5,413.50




Conclusion :


All the theories are well directed in to a same point and I'd like to say this is the beauty of the analyze among different techniques.

Well, yesterday it's reach to the expected point 5,605.26  and on pivot points analyze on mid support point is  laying on the same point exactly [5,605.26].  Now you can see how much those theories are interconnected and how much they are accurate. [On theoretically and practically - except malfunctioning]
If you carefully follow the post from the beginning you will find many such points like this. this is kind of a special scenario.

Yesterday close is laying on the Mid support point. So, we can expect a sudden uptrend if it's working according to the theories. But, practically we can't expect the same behavior as we experienced in several times. Lets see...


Note

I think we can expect some potential reversal pattern form today onwards.


Lets hope for the best.

Thank You...

191Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 5:29 pm

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

Thanks LSE, once again, your prediction has come true. Continue the good work.

192Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 5:41 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

K.Haputantri wrote:Thanks LSE, once again, your prediction has come true. Continue the good work.
Appreciate your comment Hapu. Today analyze will coming soon...

Thank you.

193Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 5:50 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:

All the theories are well directed in to a same point and I'd like to say this is the beauty of the analyze among different techniques.

Well, yesterday it's reach to the expected point 5,605.26  and on pivot points analyze on mid support point is  laying on the same point exactly [5,605.26].  
More than other methods, I'd say Fib suits any market (though its accuracy is well tested on developed markets) cuz I found many counters provide support and pull back at 38.2, 50% levels. The worst was the 76.4%.

194Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Tue Sep 10, 2013 6:02 pm

sikka89


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:
K.Haputantri wrote:Thanks LSE, once again, your prediction has come true. Continue the good work.
Appreciate your comment Hapu. Today analyze will coming soon...

Thank you.
Hope tomorrow also green.

195Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 9:11 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ASI Index values as of [10-09-2013]

Open  - 5605.35
High  - 5682.99
Low   - 5605.21
Close - 5667.33

R4 5,885.18

midpoint 5,846.29

R3 5,807.40

midpoint 5,768.51

R2 5,729.62 --->> Resistance Level 2

midpoint 5,714.05

R1 5,698.48 --->> Resistance Level 1

midpoint 5,675.16



PP 5,651.84


midpoint 5,636.27

S1 5,620.70 --->> Support Level 1


midpoint 5,597.38

S2 5,574.06 --->> Support Level 2

midpoint 5,535.17

S3 5,496.28

midpoint 5,457.39

S4 5,418.50




Conclusion :

Yesterday closed value [5667.33] > Calculated PP [5,651.84]. Trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment. It is generally considered that if the pivot point is broken in an upward movement then the market is bullish.

Key point will be the Resistance Level 2.


Note :

I think today also we can expect an another green day & this uptrend will continue further.


Lets hope for the best... cheers cheers cheers 

Thank You...

196Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 11:33 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:
Conclusion :

Yesterday closed value [5667.33] > Calculated PP [5,651.84]. Trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment. It is generally considered that if the pivot point is broken in an upward movement then the market is bullish.

Key point will be the Resistance Level 2.

197Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:05 pm

sikka89


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:
LSE wrote:
Conclusion :

Yesterday closed value [5667.33] > Calculated PP [5,651.84]. Trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment. It is generally considered that if the pivot point is broken in an upward movement then the market is bullish.

Key point will be the Resistance Level 2.
Tomorrow?????????

198Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:41 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

sikka89 wrote:
LSE wrote:
LSE wrote:
Conclusion :

Yesterday closed value [5667.33] > Calculated PP [5,651.84]. Trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment. It is generally considered that if the pivot point is broken in an upward movement then the market is bullish.

Key point will be the Resistance Level 2.
Tomorrow?????????
No. For today. bounce

199Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 3:19 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

R2    5,729.62 --->> Resistance Level 2

Market Closed ---->> 5,730.21

200Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 4:21 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Get Technical Analysis Chart(s)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^CSE&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=p%2Cb%2Ce20%2Ce5%2Cm10&a=r14%2Cm26-12-9&c=

study study study

201Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 4:26 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

LSE wrote:Get Technical Analysis Chart(s)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^CSE&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=p%2Cb%2Ce20%2Ce5%2Cm10&a=r14%2Cm26-12-9&c=

study study study
RSI around 20,What are the other leading indicators of bull?

202Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Wed Sep 11, 2013 4:52 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

dhanurrox wrote:
LSE wrote:Get Technical Analysis Chart(s)

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^CSE&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=p%2Cb%2Ce20%2Ce5%2Cm10&a=r14%2Cm26-12-9&c=

study study study
RSI around 20,What are the other leading indicators of bull?
dhanurrox,
Friend, What did you mean by  "What are the other leading indicators of bull?"

Please follow the link below & you'll find a good answer for your question...

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school/

Thank You.

203Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:18 am

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

ASI Index values as of [11-09-2013]

Open  - 5667.64
High  - 5730.21
Low   - 5667.49
Close - 5730.21

R4 5,897.46
midpoint 5,866.10

R3 5,834.74 --->> Resistance Level 3
midpoint 5,803.38


R2 5,772.02 --->> Resistance Level 2
midpoint 5,761.57

R1 5,751.12 --->> Resistance Level 1
midpoint 5,730.21



PP 5,709.30


midpoint 5,698.85
S1 5,688.40 --->> Support Level 1


midpoint 5,667.49
S2 5,646.58 --->> Support Level 2

midpoint 5,615.22
S3 5,583.86

midpoint 5,552.50
S4 5,521.14




Conclusion :

Yesterday closed value [5730.21] > Calculated PP [5,709.30]. Trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment. It is generally considered that if the pivot point is broken in an upward movement then the market is bullish.

Key point will be the Resistance Level 3.


Note :

I think today also we can expect an another green day & this uptrend will continue further.


Lets hope for the best... cheers cheers cheers 

Thank You...

204Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Thu Sep 12, 2013 5:04 pm

LSE

LSE
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^CSE&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=p%2Cm50%2Cm20&a=r14%2Cm26-12-9%2Cv&c=

205Pivot Point Indicator - Page 8 Empty Re: Pivot Point Indicator Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:37 am

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

Thanks LSE. My worry is of fluctuating volumes.

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