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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » CORPORATE CHRONICLE™ » NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000)

NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000)

+59
ColomboCSE
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63 posters

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51NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Sat Oct 05, 2013 3:34 pm

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@rainmaker wrote:
@dudi wrote:some say NEST share price will reach Rs15000 one day
Don't get too optimistic about NEST

NEST market cap in rupees 104b which you can convert to a US$ figure ....

Cadbury (all worldwide operations) was sold for US$19b to Kraft.
Fonterra market cap is around US$9b

.... go figure Razz 
rainmaker,
Sorry I could not understand what you meant to say.
What is the relevance of that sale, Fonterra and Buffet's holding to NEST scratch 
Can you elaborate a bit?

Although NEST does not give a break down on earnings,
It is mainly Milk & Coconut which contribute to profits in SL.
Monthly milk purchase of NEST is about 7Million liters.
All others combined value is less than 1Million liters.
(Not 100%sure, Highland is less than 200K)
It is same for Coconut Milk powder.
Coupled that with zero long term liabilities,
I think NEST is very safe and sound investment.

dudi,
That is a astronomically high figure.
Would like to know who said that and in what time frame?
Looking at the growth rate of last 10 years,
I recon that in 2019 NEST will come close to that figure.

52NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Sun Oct 06, 2013 9:39 am

smallville


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Dileepa,

Can u also include or make some alterations in ur simulator to have the following, if its possible;

1) Enter initial investment and date quantity
2) Cash in hand and averaging to have "NO" value in case no more cash infusion
2) to have a buy/sell price box if we buy/sell omiting the signals of the system Wink

For some counter like REEF (I just checked it cuz of hype..) the strategies are not working.. May I know what buy/sell strategy (50 day MA vs 14 day, MACD - RSI - SAR combined, etc..)

Have u tested different strategies to diff counters?

NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Reef1910

NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Reef10

Thanks.. Your tool is great.. If one have time, he/she can master the art of buy/sell for best working counters out of this Wink

53NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Sun Oct 06, 2013 5:01 pm

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@smallville wrote:Dileepa,

Can u also include or make some alterations in ur simulator to have the following, if its possible;

1) Enter initial investment and date quantity
2) Cash in hand and averaging to have "NO" value in case no more cash infusion
3) to have a buy/sell price box if we buy/sell omiting the signals of the system Wink
Thanks for the suggestion.
1) & 2) is possible.
Need some time to think about 3) as it involves a lot of what if scenarios. study 
Will update this later.

@smallville wrote:
For some counter like REEF (I just checked it cuz of hype..) the strategies are not working.. May I know what buy/sell strategy (50 day MA vs 14 day, MACD - RSI - SAR combined, etc..)

Have u tested different strategies to diff counters?
Yes I'm aware of the problem.
It is very difficult to have a universal signal generator.
As we discussed here ↓ it is better to test different strategies and identify which works for what scratch 
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t23436-rsi-as-per-yahoo#140358

Signal generator in DFN sniffer use a combination of MA, RSI & some machine learning.
If you are interested, here is a sample code for DFN without machine learning part.

//------------------------------------------------------------Start
DataArray LMA = MovingAverage(Close, 20, Simple); // Simple 20 day MA of close price
DataArray SMA = MovingAverage(Close, 5, Simple);  // Short Moving Average
DataArray LMAyest = ref(LMA,-1); // Long MA of yesterday
DataArray SMAyest = ref(SMA,-1);
DataArray LMA_2;
DataArray SMA_2;
DataArray LMAyest_2;
DataArray SMAyest_2;
DataArray LMA_3;
DataArray SMA_3;
DataArray LMAyest_3;
DataArray SMAyest_3;
DataArray BuyP;
DataArray Buy_L;
DataArray Buy_N;
DataArray SellP;
DataArray BarCount;
DataArray BuyBarCount;
DataArray SellBarCount;
DataArray Period = 0;

plot(Close,Orange,Solid,1.0); // Daily close price plot
// Sell Signal
if ((LMAyest < SMAyest) and (SMA < LMA)) then
// Search for previous Buy signal and fetch the Buy Price
for(int i = 120; i > 1; i = i-1) do
LMA_2 = ref(LMA,-(i-1));
SMA_2 = ref(SMA,-(i-1));
LMAyest_2 = ref(LMA,-i);
SMAyest_2 = ref(SMA,-i);
if((LMAyest_2 > SMAyest_2) and (SMA_2 > LMA_2)) then
BuyP = ref(Close,-i); // For safety check
end
end
SellP = Close;
end

// Buy Signal
if ((LMAyest > SMAyest) and (SMA > LMA)) then
// Search for previous Buy signal and fetch the Buy Price
for(int i = 120; i > 1; i = i-1) do
LMA_2 = ref(LMA,-(i-1));
SMA_2 = ref(SMA,-(i-1));
LMAyest_2 = ref(LMA,-i);
SMAyest_2 = ref(SMA,-i);
if((LMAyest_2 > SMAyest_2) and (SMA_2 > LMA_2)) then
Buy_L = ref(Close,-i);
for (int j = (i-1); j > 1; j = j-1) do
LMA_3 = ref(LMA,-(j-1))
SMA_3 = ref(SMA,-(j-1))
LMAyest_3 = ref(LMA,-j)
SMAyest_3 = ref(SMA,-j)
if((LMAyest_3 > SMAyest_3) and (SMA_3 > LMA_3)) then
Buy_N = ref(Close,-j);
end
end
end
if (Buy_N < Buy_L) then
BuyP = Buy_N;
else
BuyP = Buy_L;
end
end
end

// Real Signal
drawsymbol((LMAyest > SMAyest) and (SMA > LMA) and (Close < BuyP),BuyArrow,Green,Below); // Buy
drawsymbol((LMAyest < SMAyest) and (SMA < LMA) and ((BuyP*1.1) < SellP),SellArrow,Red,Above); // Sell
//------------------------------------------------------------End
1. Go to Tools -> Indicator Builder from DFN Charting.
2. Copy and past above code.
3. Click Test, Build and Save (Give a name)
4. Right Click on chart area -> Indicators -> Custom Indicators & Select above
Modify the code as necessary.

Ex: To insert a RSI limit so that it will not generate a BUY signal if RSI is above 80,
change the buy signal as follows
drawsymbol((LMAyest > SMAyest) and (SMA > LMA) and (Close < BuyP) and (RelativeStrengthIndex(Close, 14) < 80),BuyArrow,Green,Below); // Buy

You know the code, have fun Smile

54NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Mon Oct 14, 2013 10:50 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
At the last moment sellers was there for 1,900/= any specific reason?

55NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Oct 16, 2013 10:43 pm

mark


Expert
Expert
@sikka- ya the whole mkt moving when i moved to nest ;(

@small- api walak haruwoth eketh gembek ;(

@gaja-check PM

@dileepa- wow thats an overall picture, I love the way told "NEST is not going to run" I love that quote, very clear from a experienced investor Smile Smile


@TAH- ammo... NEST 1250 means ASI at around 5000 wagene.. Wink . Anyway your comment is very valuable Smile

@glad- ya i also hear the price hike of milk by over 100rs

@dudi- Onna man kiwe na hode Razz

@"rain rain go away "/ mono Wink - You always have to pay for good will if you going to buy it. Wink btw point taken.


My action- i was watching the order book , you may see how the 100 qty orders popped at 1990,1991,1992,1993 and so on, and also some pushing downs with odd lots. So sold all at little loss at 1990. Market went up but NEST was silent.


This thread is being very useful to me and the analysis provided was helpful. so tnx my lovely friends. All point of you taken to my consideration Smile Smile

thanxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Smile



56NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Thu Oct 17, 2013 4:51 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
Different shares will get active during different times in the market.

IEST ,CTC already had its time for big movement ( I am talking 40% and above movements). Looking at current prices and the journey they had , NEST Rs 600 and CTC Rs 350 , it is time they take rest and let other shares move.

If you study history of share like this, you will notice a pattern.

Ofcourse from time to time there will be some play with these shares too affect the CSE index ;-) But they don;t have any room to jump another 40-50% soon unless some magic happens.

57NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Oct 25, 2013 8:38 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@slstock wrote:Different shares will get active during different times in the market.

IEST ,CTC already had its time for big movement ( I am talking 40% and above movements). Looking at current prices and the journey they had , NEST Rs 600 and CTC Rs 350 , it is time they take rest and let other shares move.

If you study history of share like this, you will notice a pattern.

Ofcourse from time to time there will be some play with these shares too affect the CSE index ;-) But they don;t have any room to jump another 40-50% soon unless some magic happens.
Me too feel their time is over for this year, so there will be new giants popping as you said Smile

58NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Dec 06, 2013 3:01 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
Finally it started to run Sad Sad

damn history repeat again and again Sad Sad Seems NEST,CTC,JKH going to lift the market Sad

Where is the next target for NEST now? 2500?

59NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Dec 06, 2013 3:04 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:Finally it started to run SadSad

damn history repeat again and again SadSad Seems NEST,CTC,JKH going to lift the market Sad

Where is the next target for NEST now? 2500?

I can guess why it's up,Did you sell your quantity?Very Happy 

60NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Dec 06, 2013 3:11 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@ dhanurox, i didnt hold any upto today, Finally my buy order at 2000 got filled partially Sad , btw sold back at 2250 Smile

didnt thought it can clear the whole orders at 2250., hmm

Feel im wrong and it may run more ;(

61NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Dec 06, 2013 3:19 pm

sashimaal

sashimaal
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
dhanurrox, what's your guess?

[/quote]I can guess why it's up,Did you sell your quantity?Very Happy [/quote]

62NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty NEST manipulation done by EPF? Mon Dec 09, 2013 9:04 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
EPF is the seller of 41,800 shares on august 16, 2013 at the price of 2500 LKR

The buyer was HSBC int-SSBT


Anyone aware?

Today what i saw is they tried to keep the price at 2250 without pushing up or down.


After some days another crossing to happen at 2500?


cheers!

Note- Dont have single share Smile

63NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Tue Dec 10, 2013 12:36 pm

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Who is behind EPF decisions ?

64NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Tue Dec 10, 2013 1:02 pm

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
The person who appointed the governor ?

65NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Tue Dec 10, 2013 2:30 pm

Leon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@D.G.Dayaratne wrote:Who is behind EPF decisions ?

I think there's a special committee to make such decisions.

66NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Tue Dec 10, 2013 4:46 pm

prabath


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Friday up 250 rupees with good volume today down 137 with single transaction.Funny.

67NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Tue Dec 10, 2013 10:33 pm

Leon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Let anybody to manipulate. We as small timers try to make some profit out of the. What do you think of that strategy??

68NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 1:07 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@prabath wrote:Friday up 250 rupees with good volume today down 137 with single transaction.Funny.

you got the qty today Smile cheers Very Happy Im in again

69NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 1:32 pm

prabath


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Back to 2000 again.In near future we can expect another attack at higher price.May be 2250 again.

70NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 2:08 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
here we go again...... haha Very Happy

71NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 3:03 pm

player

player
Moderator
Moderator
you done a great trade Smile hold it mark, next is over 2500.

72NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 4:45 pm

prabath


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@prabath wrote:Back to 2000 again.In near future we can expect another attack at higher price.May be 2250 again.
Near future closer than we thought,Buyer appeared 2100.

73NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Wed Dec 11, 2013 6:11 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
As I said last month, technicals cannot exactly predict moves on few shares like this.
But the players know how to play the game LOL

Great play.. Shud thank Dileepa for the encouragement to buy my 20 shares Wink

74NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Thu Dec 12, 2013 9:03 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@player- Smile i was at 2250 yesterday, seems it has a positive technical trend. so today revising to 2500 Very Happy

tnx dileepa also. Smile

75NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Thu Dec 12, 2013 10:30 am

Backstage

Backstage
Moderator
Moderator
@mark wrote:@player- :)i was at 2250 yesterday, seems it has a positive technical trend. so today revising to 2500 Very Happy

tnx dileepa also. Smile

Mark, a few more trades like that and office chicks will start loving you  I love you 

76NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Sat Dec 14, 2013 11:50 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
@Backstage wrote:
@mark wrote:@player- :)i was at 2250 yesterday, seems it has a positive technical trend. so today revising to 2500 Very Happy

tnx dileepa also. Smile

Mark, a few more trades like that and office chicks will start loving you  I love you 

haha. hopefully Very Happy Very Happy

77NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Sat Dec 14, 2013 3:59 pm

sashimaal

sashimaal
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Seems like current target price is not more than Rs 2250.

For it to hit Rs 2500, i think we have to wait till the announcement on Nestle's new investment plans as mentioned in below link:
http://www.ft.lk/2013/12/14/nestle-cautiously-optimistic/

78NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Nestle “cautiously optimistic” Sat Dec 14, 2013 4:08 pm

sashimaal

sashimaal
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Published : 12:14 am  December 14, 2013  

The world’s leading wellness multinational Nestle is upbeat on Sri Lanka, albeit “cautiously”.
“We are investing and expanding in Sri Lanka. We are looking to grow in Sri Lanka markets. I am not at liberty to comment on the forthcoming investment values here but we are certainly planning. In fact, we are cautiously optimistic,” said Nestlé S.A.Executive Vice President and Zone Director for Asia, Oceania, Africa and Middle East Nandu Nandkishore – the Swiss-based Second-in-Command of Nestlé Global who is now in Colombo.

Nestlé’s Executive VP Nandkishore was addressing Minister of Industry and Commerce Rishad Bathiudeen at the inauguration of Sri Lanka’s first ever Retail Innovation Centre (RIC) created by Nestlé Lanka PLC, located at its Colombo 10 premises.

The RIC concept by Nestlé is based on Nestlé’s Retail Innovation Technology and appears as series of typical boutiques, tea boutiques and shops filled with retail merchandise which in actual practice, is geared to train FMCG distributors, consumers and shop-owners as well as to act as a testing ground of Lankan consumer behaviour on Nestlé Lanka’s rollouts. In essence, being a retail consumer and distributor testing laboratory. Also present on the occasion were Nestle India Ltd. Managing Director Etienne Benet and EDB Chairman and Nestlé Lanka PLC Vice President Corporate Affairs & Communication Bandula Egodage.

In 2012, Nestlé Global reported $ 103.4 billionn in sales with net profit of $ 11.9 billion.
“FMCG is closest to our consumers’ lives among many products,” said Minister Bathiudeen and added: “The FMCG sector growth is understandable since we see continuous GDP growth, with 7% expected this year. We are looking at FDIs, in many sectors, including infrastructure.” Minister Bathiudeen also distributed several Certificates of Achievement to achievers in Nestlé Lanka’s distribution network, which cons 6,748 groceries in Nestlé’s large grocery channel contributing to 22% of Nestlé’ Lanka PLC’s annual national sales.
Also within the Nestlé domain are 13,000 tea shops across the island which adds more than 5% to Nestlé’s annual sales here. The RIC has FMCGs (both branded and unbranded) as well as SKUs (Stock Keeping Units).

“This is basically a retail innovation centre to train our customers (sales distributors) to improve their experience in retails stores and hygiene conditions,” said Nandkishore.

http://www.ft.lk/2013/12/14/nestle-cautiously-optimistic/

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Nestlé Lanka PLC has posted a revenue of Rs 8 billion for Q4. The company recorded a revenue of Rs 32.9 billion and a growth of 6.4% for the full year ending December 31, 2014.

The company posted a profit of Rs 615 million for Q4 and a profit of Rs 3.8 billion for the year ending December 31 2014, an increase of 14.2% from the previous year, supported by efficient management of the portfolio and value chain optimisation.

The Board approved a second interim dividend of Rs 28.50 per share on February 19, 2015 and has proposed a final dividend of Rs 28.00 per share for the year ended December 31, 2014, to be approved at the company's Annual General Meeting to be held on 12 May 2015.

"Despite prevailing market conditions posing significant challenges in 2014, the company continued to deliver a stable and consistent performance. We invested in enhancing the presence of our brands, and building the capabilities of our people. We continued on our mission to be a leader in Nutrition, Health and Wellness in Sri Lanka by providing our consumers with tasty and balanced food and beverages through innovation and renovation, and creating awareness on the importance of an active lifestyle,"Nestlé Lanka Managing Director Shivani Hegde said.

80NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) - Page 3 Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:43 am

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
One time 950 million is peanuts.

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