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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Is CTBL a good buy at the moment?

Is CTBL a good buy at the moment?

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Fri Oct 11, 2013 10:26 am

CSEStockWatch


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
What do you think? Please share your ideas.

2Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Fri Oct 11, 2013 10:40 am

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Next week market will go up provided no manuplation

3Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Fri Oct 11, 2013 4:28 pm

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
In general, tea based planation companies and tea brokering firms should do well in coming months since Sri Lankan firms are now getting a good price from the buyers.  

• Tea export earnings in the first eight months of the year increased by Rs. 10.6 billion year on year (YoY) to Rs. 123.1 billion
• Sri Lanka’s tea export earnings in August increased by Rs. 6.2 billion to Rs. 18.8 billion YoY.
• Tea export volumes increased appreciably by 9.5 million kg. YoY to 31.4 million kg.
• The average tea price in the first eight months of the year increased by Rs. 47.10 to Rs. 599.45 per kg.
• All elevations showed a YoY growth, with Low Growns showing the biggest gain.

Source :- http://www.thesundayleader.lk/2013/10/06/tea-exports-hit-rs-123-bn/

Regarding CTBL,
1. It is in a clear path in terms of revenue growth and market share according to the quantity sold. The market share has grown from 2.5% to 9% over last 7-8 years and revenue has grown to 203 Mn from 116 Mn which is almost 75% during last four years.
2. CTBL has done well in Low Grown segment which is more profitable and currently hold 14% of the market share.
3. Price of a kilo of low grown teas has continuously hit over 490 Rs during last for weeks and on 25-Sep it has hit record figure of 506 Rs.

4Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:14 pm

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@CSEStockWatch wrote:What do you think? Please share your ideas.
I think soo...

5Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sat Oct 12, 2013 2:08 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
how many times to say this man.....this is a good share at current market price, for a possible upside.

6Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sat Oct 12, 2013 6:24 am

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Jana1, you didn't disclose the drama freind.

ASIY has got a larger market share than CTBL but current market price of ASIY is bit risky to enter.

7Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sat Oct 12, 2013 7:10 am

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seek wrote:@Jana1, you didn't disclose the drama freind.

ASIY has got a larger market share than CTBL but current market price of ASIY is bit risky to enter.
@ Seek,

Sometimes I don't answer, if I knw that my baseless disclosure inadvertently influence on share price, if that info is true.. U also will be a loser, if u hold it...becz no1 will push it, if dey suspect mkt is active on that counter....

8Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sat Oct 12, 2013 7:28 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Jana1 is correct.. When we dont have proof or non-ambiguos information, we must not declare it here and assist to bring losses to others or inadvertantly drive the share price up.

9Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sun Oct 13, 2013 9:36 am

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I am expecting to see one famous name in top 20 list of either CTBL or ASIY in next Q results Most probably it will be CTBL. He was bullish on tea from last year.

10Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sun Oct 13, 2013 9:58 am

traderathome

traderathome
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seek wrote:I am expecting to see one famous name in top 20 list of either CTBL or ASIY in next Q results Most probably it will be CTBL. He was bullish on tea from last year.
In ASIY if the 20th investor was holding less than 200K ,surely I will be in the list Smile

Are you referring to SL Rolling Eyes 

11Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Sun Oct 13, 2013 10:49 am

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
no TAH, I am expecting Mr. Nizam at top 20.

12Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Empty Re: Is CTBL a good buy at the moment? Tue Dec 03, 2013 1:33 pm

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
CTBL last 6 months figures
Profit from operations 13 M (16% improvements from first 6 months of 2012)
Finance income 35 M (70% improvements from first 6 months of 2012)
Profit before taxation 48 M (51% improvements from first 6 months of 2012)
Operational profit is only 27% from total profit.

Under current assets
Loans to tea suppliers 91 M(700% improvements from first 6 months of 2012)

It seems that with the backing of CT holdings, CTBL is acting like a small finance company to small scale tea producers.

CTBL is in a position to report at least 70 cents by the year end 2013/14 and declare dividend of 35 or 40 cents by mid next year.

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