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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Blood in the Street

Blood in the Street

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1Blood in the Street Empty Blood in the Street Mon Nov 24, 2014 12:28 pm

xmart

xmart
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
There is a quote in world stock market history:

"Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

CSE is not an ideal stock exchange to reflect the sentiment of general investors. it is driven by few HNWIs apart from the foreign & Institutional Investors. The latter two investors are keen on growing businesses and blue chips. They are the backbone who held the CSE. they are strong, mostly not visible yet value investors who target mid to long term investments.

Most of retail investors generally follow the market sentiment and they want quick bucks. I have seen them blooming in optimistic mood when everything is green. but bull can't run forever, when it start to turn red, people see it as a discount in bull market, jump & buy with all they have. well, even with margins. hey will get panic when the bear is running & there is blood in the street. then panic selling starting and if you notice, in such cases market turnover & volume are small while number of transactions are significant.

This market sentiment is controlled by these few HNWIs. These individuals play the market according to various agendas. they can easily push the market up or down. you agree or not, Sri Lanka is currently undergoing a major political turmoil in last decay. Current Gov. favored these HNWIs and spontaneous revenue generations. But if you study carefully, you can see entrepreneurs faced hard time and their profits grow less time being. for development of a country is depends on its production industry. therefore, this Gov. is favored by HNWIs who liked to manipulate the market.

Well, Im not talking politics here, taking the facts at hand, say hypothetically Gov. regime change in upcoming election, then there are lot of uncertainties after that. Even if challenging alliance win the election, there will be whole lot of new chaos. Only thing for sure is, Lot of ifs make Political & Economical Uncertainty for few months, may be for a year.

Market correction will be followed by panic selling. HNWI might want to play the situation as well. Political chaos is there. Its blood on the street, for value investors this is time to collect. for traders, i wish you good luck, you better be one step ahead of manipulators. otherwise you might bleed like no recovery.

If someone ask me, be a value investor and pick growing stocks packet by packet. there is no hurry. and i would say it is good for your blood pressure as well.

cheer!

2Blood in the Street Empty Re: Blood in the Street Fri Jan 02, 2015 7:44 pm

xmart

xmart
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Investing in Business Vs Trading with Trends:: Warren Buffett Vs George Soros Approach.

Warren Buffett is well known value investor while George Soros is famously known as a Trend Rider. but both of them are billionaires.

If you are a value investor and a Buffett follower, you would look at the intrinsic worth of a share rather than focusing on technical indicators. Determining intrinsic worth is an exercise in understanding a company’s financials, growth potential and future earnings. there are five things you should consider before go for investing


  • How has the company performed? (ROE)


  • How much debt does the company have? (Debt/Equity)


  • How are profit margins? (Gross Profit Margin)


  • How unique are the products sold by the company? (Unique Business and Products)


  • How much of a discount are shares trading at? (Less PER/ Less PEG)


On the other hand, Soros way is more technical than fundamental. he used to say,
George Soros wrote:Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths.  It represents the path to big money.  The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend and step off before it is discredited

I would say what about mixing of both strategies? we can investing in business with growth potential which are currently struggling to expand and forget them. meanwhile, we can ride the trends and make some good money in days, weeks and months.

happy investing!

3Blood in the Street Empty Re: Blood in the Street Fri Jan 02, 2015 7:52 pm

hlsindrajith


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Yes I agree with you

“A trading philosophy is something that cannot just be transferred from one person to another; it’s something that you have to acquire yourself through time and effort”
- Richard Driehaus

4Blood in the Street Empty Re: Blood in the Street Sun Jan 04, 2015 4:59 pm

xmart

xmart
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Yes. Trading philosophy is depend on personality. Human are very emotional species. Majority is driven by the market sentiment and this gut feeling.

If you want to be a good investor, it is always good to go against the crowd and cut off the emotional part of you. Investing is not gambling, you would invest on something you know, something you love to hold. stocks are tiny little businesses.

thanks

5Blood in the Street Empty Re: Blood in the Street Sun Jan 04, 2015 5:31 pm

hlsindrajith


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Yes, absolutely agree with you dear XMART
As I understand what you say is not to decide emotionally based and emotionally driven but rationally based and rationally driven.

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