Can MR Win?

MR will never win.. there will be a coalition government after elections..

Teller wrote:Gents, what do you think? udaya gammanpila says this time mahinda rajapaksa will get (UPFA) 74 Lakhs votes. How is it possible?

Who Is Udaya Gammanpila Bloody Fool

thilankad wrote:

Teller wrote:Gents, what do you think? udaya gammanpila says this time mahinda rajapaksa will get (UPFA) 74 Lakhs votes. How is it possible?

Who Is Udaya Gammanpila Bloody Fool

Well said.

what ever said MR will win.... it was MS against MR last time. now MS and MR on the same side...
interesting. but MR has the upper hand now...

Real truth  is He should  be in jail now.

Reasons - robbing, Safeguarding  robbers & drug trafficking ,safeguarding rapists & murderers etc...

if you put every thing on scale, having MR as PM is better than RW

Anything might happen before the last day of nomination date. Media reports confusing events in every hour.

As an independent viewer, victory of MR team ( If he contests ) faces low chance. It does not mean RW team is given major win over opposition that sets up the necessity of another coalition.

As stockback said UNP will win this election without any problem. Dont forget the north & east. Muslim congress is a partner of UNP. Only problem is Galle, Matara, Kurunegala & Ratnapura. Mr cannot go forward with Thieves, Rapists, Drug Dealers, Race by race owners, etc. Also at the correct time if, i repeat, if MR gets a mejority by hook or crook, ALL OTHERS WILL GET TOGETHER (Heal Urumaya + JVP + SF + TULF + SLMC). Also dont forget that Rajitha, Arjuna, Hirunika will also go against MR and they have a good vote base. The major advantage for MR is money. Even China is backing heavily for MR in all means including money.

MR Laksha 58 gatte kada haul natuve My3 62 gatte kada haul ekka oya 62 laksha 5 k kadenava sure 

Defa MR will win this time

no one can't get majority in the parliament. everyone needs tamil and muslim votes. actually MR no need this election. tht pacha wimale and others need to enter parliament , because except parliament they don't haave any qualifications for even a security job. poor MR

NZ BOY wrote:MR Laksha 58 gatte kada haul natuve My3 62 gatte kada haul ekka oya 62 laksha 5 k kadenava sure 

Defa MR will win this time

MR has possibility to win the game. but it's very close game. without tamil and muslim votes no one get majority in the parliament. If MR gets more divisons than UNP then muslim congress will support MR.

but I wish that MR must  loss this election., because we don't want kings, queens and princes  and we don't want to be slaves.

stockback wrote:Goiya - MS

GoViya =   MS  


Even  Goiya      or Toiya      wins  CSE  market will  Doiya      ne 

Different views. But I think it is not correct to say MR win because it is between UPFA and UNP this time. If MR contest separately then it will be MR, SLFP & UNP in which case we can talk about MR win or otherwise . As per my analysis below will be the likely scenario if it is between UPFA and UNP for the 22 districts.

Vanni & Jaffna - TNA
Bati, Trinco & Ampara - UNP (because of muslim parties with UNP)
Colombo, Puttlam, Kandy - UNP (with minority support)
N'Eliya, Badulla - UNP (with Digambaram support)
Kurunegala,Galle,Matara,Kegalle,Kalutara,Ratnapura,Moneragala,Anuradhapura,Polonnaruwa,Matale - UPFA (but with less majority compared to 2010)
Gampaha,Hambanthota - Tight contest is expected

Also I can expect a large amount of floating votes will go towards JVP this time who casted their votes during the last Presidential election to MR as well as MS

So in the final analysis in case UPFA wins majority seats as a single party they wont be able to clock 113 seats to form a government.

then question will be who will be going to form the government and who will be the PM. The MP group supports MR will push MR for that on the other hand MS group will push for another one. So at this point the parliament will have six groups MR group, MS group, UNP, JVP, TNA and the other minorities. So at this point UNP will be the bigger group and if MS wishes to cut the wings of MR he will surely appoint RW to the PM post getting the MS group as well as other minority groups into a national government. JVP will act the role of 'pariwasa' again. Then the opposition leader has to be appointed either from MR group or TNA and most probable it will be MR.

So I sense even if UPFA emerge as leading group in this election still the chances for MR to become the next PM is very low and RW to become the PM again is very high.

No hard rules guys this is my view.

NZ BOY wrote:MR Laksha 58 gatte kada haul natuve My3 62 gatte kada haul ekka oya 62 laksha 5 k kadenava sure 

Defa MR will win this time

MR 2010 Janapathi chande ganne Laksa 60

MR party eka Parliament chande 2010-- Ganne aks 48

me wele laksa wissaka withara chanda watimak wenne naha MR ta

ganne laksa 35-38 wthara

UNP + SLMC - 52 Laks
JVAP -- 8 Laks
TNA -- 4.5 Laks

balamu  wena deya

EquityChamp wrote:Different views. But I think it is not correct to say MR win because it is between UPFA and UNP this time. If MR contest separately then it will be MR, SLFP & UNP in which case we can talk about MR win or otherwise . As per my analysis below will be the likely scenario if it is between UPFA and UNP for the 22 districts.

Vanni & Jaffna - TNA
Bati, Trinco & Ampara - UNP (because of muslim parties with UNP)
Colombo, Puttlam, Kandy - UNP (with minority support)
N'Eliya, Badulla - UNP (with Digambaram support)
Kurunegala,Galle,Matara,Kegalle,Kalutara,Ratnapura,Moneragala,Anuradhapura,Polonnaruwa,Matale - UPFA (but with less majority compared to 2010)
Gampaha,Hambanthota - Tight contest is expected

Also I can expect a large amount of floating votes will go towards JVP this time who casted their votes during the last Presidential election to MR as well as MS

So in the final analysis in case UPFA wins majority seats as a single party they wont be able to clock 113 seats to form a government.

then question will be who will be going to form the government and who will be the PM. The MP group supports MR will push MR for that on the other hand MS group will push for another one. So at this point the parliament will have six groups MR group, MS group, UNP, JVP, TNA and the other minorities. So at this point UNP will be the bigger group and if MS wishes to cut the wings of MR he will surely appoint RW to the PM post getting the MS group as well as other minority groups into a national government. JVP will act the role of 'pariwasa' again. Then the opposition leader has to be appointed either from MR group or TNA and most probable it will be MR.

So I sense even if UPFA emerge as leading group in this election still the chances for MR to become the next PM is very low and RW to become the PM again is very high.

No hard rules guys this is my view.

UNP ekata

Matale, Kegall, dinanawa


Gampaha and Hambnthotath dinima wadi sambawithawak thiyenawa

me districts 4 dinnoth. districts 14 dinanawa, mahinda dinanne  districts 8

anduwa hadanne

UNP + SLMC +TNA

JVP eka gannawa asana 15-17 athara

stockback wrote:

NZ BOY wrote:MR Laksha 58 gatte kada haul natuve My3 62 gatte kada haul ekka oya 62 laksha 5 k kadenava sure 

Defa MR will win this time

MR 2010 Janapathi chande ganne Laksa 60

MR party eka Parliament chande 2010-- Ganne aks 48

me wele laksa wissaka withara chanda watimak wenne naha MR ta

ganne laksa 35-38 wthara

UNP + SLMC - 52 Laks
JVAP -- 8 Laks
TNA -- 4.5 Laks

balamu  wena deya

this result most probably will be there after the election lets see. what is JVAP? I THINK JVP

GameUP1030 wrote:

stockback wrote:

NZ BOY wrote:MR Laksha 58 gatte kada haul natuve My3 62 gatte kada haul ekka oya 62 laksha 5 k kadenava sure 

Defa MR will win this time

MR 2010 Janapathi chande ganne Laksa 60

MR party eka Parliament chande 2010-- Ganne aks 48

me wele laksa wissaka withara chanda watimak wenne naha MR ta

ganne laksa 35-38 wthara

UNP + SLMC - 52 Laks
JVAP -- 8 Laks
TNA -- 4.5 Laks

balamu  wena deya

this result most probably will be there after the election lets see. what is JVAP? I THINK JVP

typo

sorry. JVP

Dhehan wrote:The two main parties are playing their own game for their benefit.. We as citizens have been betrayed once again

don't you think we should strengthen third force in the politics, may be JVP

EquityChamp wrote:Different views. But I think it is not correct to say MR win because it is between UPFA and UNP this time. If MR contest separately then it will be MR, SLFP & UNP in which case we can talk about MR win or otherwise . As per my analysis below will be the likely scenario if it is between UPFA and UNP for the 22 districts.

Vanni & Jaffna - TNA
Bati, Trinco & Ampara - UNP (because of muslim parties with UNP)
Colombo, Puttlam, Kandy - UNP (with minority support)
N'Eliya, Badulla - UNP (with Digambaram support)
Kurunegala,Galle,Matara,Kegalle,Kalutara,Ratnapura,Moneragala,Anuradhapura,Polonnaruwa,Matale - UPFA (but with less majority compared to 2010)
Gampaha,Hambanthota - Tight contest is expected

Also I can expect a large amount of floating votes will go towards JVP this time who casted their votes during the last Presidential election to MR as well as MS

So in the final analysis in case UPFA wins majority seats as a single party they wont be able to clock 113 seats to form a government.

then question will be who will be going to form the government and who will be the PM. The MP group supports MR will push MR for that on the other hand MS group will push for another one. So at this point the parliament will have six groups MR group, MS group, UNP, JVP, TNA and the other minorities. So at this point UNP will be the bigger group and if MS wishes to cut the wings of MR he will surely appoint RW to the PM post getting the MS group as well as other minority groups into a national government. JVP will act the role of 'pariwasa' again. Then the opposition leader has to be appointed either from MR group or TNA and most probable it will be MR.

So I sense even if UPFA emerge as leading group in this election still the chances for MR to become the next PM is very low and RW to become the PM again is very high.

No hard rules guys this is my view.

Good one.

Equitychamp, really you are one of the best analysers. Totally agree with your logic. Even stockbacks also excellent view.

Arjuna, Champika, MKDS, Hirunika, Rajitha and many other to form a front and contest under UNP Ticket
now all the bhaiyos
its time for MR to be humiliated to the level of ">>>>>>""

EQUITYCAMP...


N'Eliya, Badulla - UNP (with Digambaram support)


Note : Tondaa will play a bigger roll than Digga this time.


according to me UNP will jointly form the govmt this time .


Geetha,babba also nominated this time loo  ....what a yahapalanaya .....

" Gonnung ta nomination dunnen harrak ...."

akashameer wrote:Arjuna, Champika, MKDS, Hirunika, Rajitha and many other to form a front and contest under UNP Ticket
now all the bhaiyos
its time for MR to be humiliated to the level of ">>>>>>""

Yahaplanayak Sanda ekunu prisata amatharawa wadi pirisak ekwa hamarai me wana wita

Sarath fonseka - Kurunagala

Baiyo datha kata madan inna athi andukarnna

MR laksa 35 gaththoth mama me forum eke Comments karanne naha aye.

apita paksheta wada rata lokui

Mahinda finish Now, Genaral is coming under UNP From kurunegagala district. No more hope at all now. Genaral fonseka may obtain more votes as more soldiers will caste their votes . Poor MR.

more than 25 SLFP members are contesting under UNP

MR nikan kicha wenawooo

Nz boy pissek waage katha karanna epa halo, haul chande gathe
Mr modaya used state media and public resources like his fathers money to get loosing 52lak,
Cant u remember how itn news changed when mr was defeated, cant u remember how sltb was used and how many ur mr ministers killed to get that 58lak, using all he still lost, because truth will win somehow,
ochara karapu mr jan 8 gedara giya eka
Aapahu oya pissek venna thamai hadanne
When wahallu fools like you people are ther, thieves like mr are god for them

In politics there are no permanent friends nor permanent enemies.  

You may see a cobra making love to a mongoose in a park bench and a dog & cat are playmates!

If a situation arises where the ethnic minority parties support is required to form a government, then they resort to bargaining placing their demands. This is on an assumption that JHU & JVP will stand with the UNP.  For example, for TNA more powers and privileges given to the governance of their regions will take priority over good governance at the centre. Some from other parties may succumb to key ministry portfolios as like in the past. Then what decides is who is offering a better deal. Whether it comes from an angel or demon is not the issue at all.

So, in my view its foolish to align SLMC, TNA & Diga's party with UNP. It is too premature.

Then, there is the bidding game, like the IPL. Majority may not succumb, but one cannot rule out a few with new players in the scene. Here where humans imitate frogs.

After all politics is the art of the possible, ONE CAN EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED!

MRwill win