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Bull/Bear Power(13) - A Usefull & Easy to use technicl indicator

3 posters

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EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Bull/Bear Power is an effective technical indicator developed by Dr. Elder-Ray to measure the strengths of competing groups of bulls & bears. The strength is plotted through daily price distances of day-high and day-low compared to the previously determined moving average. The mostly used average is 13 day exponential moving average (13 day EMA).

The distance between EMA and a day's high price measures the strength of bulls on that day and the distance between EMA and a day's low price measures the strength of bears on that day. (the maximum level bull can push the price and the bear can drag the price). When these distances are plotted into a histogram it is visible a clear direction of where a particular stock is heading.

The combined values of bull and bear power shows the overall value of the indicator. When the bulls are stronger than bears the indicator is positive and the histogram is in the upward trend whereas when the bears are stronger than bulls the indicator is negative and the histogram is in declining trend.

I have applied this technique to TAFL past price details from 1st April to 11th May. I have used the 13 day moving average as the initial EMA then calculate the EMA for the rest of the days using excel. Here are the results.
   
DatePriceEMAHighBull PowerLowBear PowerBull/Bear Power indicator
Apr 01, 2016   88.9    89.0    86.3  
Apr 04, 2016   92.8    92.8    89.8  
Apr 05, 2016 101.9  101.9    92.8  
Apr 06, 2016 100.0  102.0    98.0  
Apr 07, 2016 102.2  104.8    99.0  
Apr 08, 2016 100.0  104.8  100.0  
Apr 11, 2016 102.0  103.5    98.0  
Apr 12, 2016 106.0  107.0  102.1  
Apr 15, 2016 107.0  108.5  106.0  
Apr 18, 2016 104.0  106.8  103.0  
Apr 19, 2016 105.0  106.0  103.0  
Apr 20, 2016 103.0  105.0  103.0  
Apr 22, 2016 106.0 101.4 106.0            4.6 103.0              1.6                         6.11
Apr 25, 2016 105.8 102.1 106.0            3.9 102.0-             0.1                         3.86
Apr 26, 2016 108.0 102.9 109.0            6.1 105.8              2.9                         8.97
Apr 27, 2016 112.5 104.3 113.0            8.7 108.5              4.2                       12.93
Apr 28, 2016 117.0 106.1 118.0          11.9 112.0              5.9                       17.80
Apr 29, 2016 122.5 108.4 124.0          15.6 118.0              9.6                       25.11
May 03, 2016 122.0 110.4 124.8          14.4 120.0              9.6                       24.04
May 04, 2016 122.2 112.1 124.7          12.6 118.9              6.8                       19.46
May 05, 2016 120.9 113.3 122.3            9.0 119.1              5.8                       14.74
May 06, 2016 124.0 114.9 128.0          13.1 123.2              8.3                       21.49
May 09, 2016 127.0 116.6 128.0          11.4 124.0              7.4                       18.82
May 10, 2016 129.0 118.4 130.0          11.6 123.0              4.6                       16.27
May 11, 2016 131.6 120.3 132.9          12.6 129.0              8.7                       21.39
You can clearly see the indicator is increasing continuously in the positive territory indicating the bullish sentiment of the stock. this means this stock is still going on.

Thanks



Last edited by EquityChamp on Wed May 11, 2016 10:11 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Typo)

cse.newbie


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Thanks for this.

Do you have the same for JKH.W as well? I saw you also have recommended JKH.W on the other thread? Thanks in advance....

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

JKH, JKH-W, ACL, HEXP,BFL all have positive bull/bear power index values.

stocksira

stocksira
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Thanks EquityChamp....

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

cse.newbie wrote:Thanks for this.

Do you have the same for JKH.W as well? I saw you also have recommended JKH.W on the other thread? Thanks in advance....

As you request the below is for JKH.W . You can see the Bull/Bear power indicator swings both ways in very short period. This means it won't take long time for bulls getting weaker as well as bears getting weaker. For the last three days including today bull power is stronger and had been increasing but as I said the situation can reverse very quickly as well. So its a kind of casino. You know what I mean here.

Trade Date
Open (Rs.)High (Rs.)Bull PowerLow (Rs.)Bear PowerClose(Rs.)EMVBull/Bear Power(13) indicator value
11 April 2016
12.9
13.4 12.6 13.2  
12 April 2016
13.4
14.4 13.4 13.9  
15 April 2016
13.9
14 13.6 13.9  
18 April 2016
14
14 13.4 13.5  
19 April 2016
14
14 13 13.7  
20 April 2016
13.5
14.4 13.5 14.2  
22 April 2016
14
14.5 14 14.2  
25 April 2016
14
14 13.5 13.6  
26 April 2016
13.9
14 13.5 13.7  
27 April 2016
13.8
13.8 13.5 13.5  
28 April 2016
13.5
13.8 13.2 13.3  
29 April 2016
13.7
14.2 13.5 14  
03 May 2016
14.1
14.6    0.83 13.8   0.03 14.3   13.77                      0.86
04 May 2016
14.4
14.5    0.70 13.9   0.10 14   13.80                      0.80
05 May 2016
14.2
14.2    0.43 13.5- 0.27 13.6   13.77                      0.15
06 May 2016
13.6
14    0.24 13.4- 0.36 13.7   13.76 -                    0.13
09 May 20161414    0.23 13.5- 0.27 13.8   13.77 -                    0.04
10 May 201613.615.1    1.17 13.6- 0.33 14.9   13.93                      0.84
11 May 201615.115.9    1.73 15.1   0.93 15.6   14.17                      2.66
12 May 2016
15.6
16.2    1.77 15   0.57 16   14.43                      2.34

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