The distance between EMA and a day's high price measures the strength of bulls on that day and the distance between EMA and a day's low price measures the strength of bears on that day. (the maximum level bull can push the price and the bear can drag the price). When these distances are plotted into a histogram it is visible a clear direction of where a particular stock is heading.
The combined values of bull and bear power shows the overall value of the indicator. When the bulls are stronger than bears the indicator is positive and the histogram is in the upward trend whereas when the bears are stronger than bulls the indicator is negative and the histogram is in declining trend.
I have applied this technique to TAFL past price details from 1st April to 11th May. I have used the 13 day moving average as the initial EMA then calculate the EMA for the rest of the days using excel. Here are the results.
Date | Price | EMA | High | Bull Power | Low | Bear Power | Bull/Bear Power indicator |
Apr 01, 2016 | 88.9 | 89.0 | 86.3 | ||||
Apr 04, 2016 | 92.8 | 92.8 | 89.8 | ||||
Apr 05, 2016 | 101.9 | 101.9 | 92.8 | ||||
Apr 06, 2016 | 100.0 | 102.0 | 98.0 | ||||
Apr 07, 2016 | 102.2 | 104.8 | 99.0 | ||||
Apr 08, 2016 | 100.0 | 104.8 | 100.0 | ||||
Apr 11, 2016 | 102.0 | 103.5 | 98.0 | ||||
Apr 12, 2016 | 106.0 | 107.0 | 102.1 | ||||
Apr 15, 2016 | 107.0 | 108.5 | 106.0 | ||||
Apr 18, 2016 | 104.0 | 106.8 | 103.0 | ||||
Apr 19, 2016 | 105.0 | 106.0 | 103.0 | ||||
Apr 20, 2016 | 103.0 | 105.0 | 103.0 | ||||
Apr 22, 2016 | 106.0 | 101.4 | 106.0 | 4.6 | 103.0 | 1.6 | 6.11 |
Apr 25, 2016 | 105.8 | 102.1 | 106.0 | 3.9 | 102.0 | - 0.1 | 3.86 |
Apr 26, 2016 | 108.0 | 102.9 | 109.0 | 6.1 | 105.8 | 2.9 | 8.97 |
Apr 27, 2016 | 112.5 | 104.3 | 113.0 | 8.7 | 108.5 | 4.2 | 12.93 |
Apr 28, 2016 | 117.0 | 106.1 | 118.0 | 11.9 | 112.0 | 5.9 | 17.80 |
Apr 29, 2016 | 122.5 | 108.4 | 124.0 | 15.6 | 118.0 | 9.6 | 25.11 |
May 03, 2016 | 122.0 | 110.4 | 124.8 | 14.4 | 120.0 | 9.6 | 24.04 |
May 04, 2016 | 122.2 | 112.1 | 124.7 | 12.6 | 118.9 | 6.8 | 19.46 |
May 05, 2016 | 120.9 | 113.3 | 122.3 | 9.0 | 119.1 | 5.8 | 14.74 |
May 06, 2016 | 124.0 | 114.9 | 128.0 | 13.1 | 123.2 | 8.3 | 21.49 |
May 09, 2016 | 127.0 | 116.6 | 128.0 | 11.4 | 124.0 | 7.4 | 18.82 |
May 10, 2016 | 129.0 | 118.4 | 130.0 | 11.6 | 123.0 | 4.6 | 16.27 |
May 11, 2016 | 131.6 | 120.3 | 132.9 | 12.6 | 129.0 | 8.7 | 21.39 |
Thanks
Last edited by EquityChamp on Wed May 11, 2016 10:11 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Typo)