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Massive forced selling by margin traders

+23
cse_investor
Academic
limestone
duke
mono
seyon
jaya
Chinwi
rajithasamaranayake
Gaja
Rajitha
Aamiable
wiki
Sampath.Jayawardhana
xhora
tubal
Antonym
Pira
Rstock
StocksWatch
wis
swan03
Monster
27 posters

Go to page : Previous  1, 2

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jaya


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

swan03 wrote:It says "The poor performance of Expolanka will teach those who run after IPO’s a bitter lesson," Capital Trust Stockbrokers said in a research note.

Does this mean not to go after Vallibal one as well?

We are welcome IPO from “ SARAVITA” sellers, “ DUVANAGIRI” saruvath sellers (soft drink sellers near the school gate) Banana traders at side of the main road and “ KOTHU ROTTI” traders. they have a rights to go to the CSE and find fresh capital most important thing is that so called REGULATORS shall have to monitor the IPO before allow it. Also the fairness of price before victimized the innocent retailers who paid life long savings.

Expo situation has been discussed this forum several times, thanks to forum many of members escape, but most IPO buyers are limited access to inter net.
Who will be responsible and protector of such poor investors (as our regulators wants to increase number of entities in the board and .......)

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Chinwi wrote:IPO

I can remember NDB was offered @ 50 and all the applicants got 500 shares. Due to its real value, at secondary market it traded @ 250 and later 275, 300.


Yes true Ciniwi, the those days IPO were offered at real value. Now, Managers to offer and Advisors talking bullshit Forwarded PE ratio and Value the shares based on unexpected future earnings. Look at EXPO and Softlogic assets value with IPO prices PBV are in the range of 5X-10times.

I do not know about process of SEC approval on pricing. They must have to look the pricing of IPO.

mono


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

seyon wrote:
Chinwi wrote:IPO

I can remember NDB was offered @ 50 and all the applicants got 500 shares. Due to its real value, at secondary market it traded @ 250 and later 275, 300.


Yes true Ciniwi, the those days IPO were offered at real value. Now, Managers to offer and Advisors talking bullshit Forwarded PE ratio and Value the shares based on unexpected future earnings. Look at EXPO and Softlogic assets value with IPO prices PBV are in the range of 5X-10times.

I do not know about process of SEC approval on pricing. They must have to look the pricing of IPO.

this is entirely the fault of our 'supiri traders'. in the recent past IPO were hitting the market at exorbitant prices. SINS was offered at 15 i believe, with a PE at 10. on the first day of trading it hit 50, i think. So if i were a bussinessmen going for an IPO why on earth would i offer an IPO at low PE's. EXPO people are effectively selling a stake of thier company to the public. why on earth should they sell it for anything less than the premium. at least that's what my bussiness sense tells me.

duke


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

mono wrote:
this is entirely the fault of our 'supiri traders'. in the recent past IPO were hitting the market at exorbitant prices. SINS was offered at 15 i believe, with a PE at 10. on the first day of trading it hit 50, i think. So if i were a bussinessmen going for an IPO why on earth would i offer an IPO at low PE's. EXPO people are effectively selling a stake of thier company to the public. why on earth should they sell it for anything less than the premium. at least that's what my bussiness sense tells me.

It may be more than premium. But it can't be 2X, 3X times of the price that was offered to selected parties.

limestone


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

" So if i were a bussinessmen going for an IPO why on earth would i offer an IPO at low PE's. EXPO people are effectively selling a stake of thier company to the public. why on earth should they sell it for anything less than the premium. at least that's what my bussiness sense tells me"

GOOD POINT

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.


tubal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Chinwi wrote:I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.



disabled online trading but did they force sell?

Academic


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

It is very sad situation going on in Sri Lanka, many IPO investors (investors?) even do not know the company name they are applying for. The only thing they know (mistakenly) is that they can sell this for higher price.

I have evidence to say so called investment advisers in brokering firms (mostly fresh A/L outs) make retailers hype. If the company name is a popular one, this hyping is easier. The advisers frequently refer to some previous IPOs where investors and three fold profits.

When I was in a bank yesterday one person came to apply for an IPO. Just had a chat with her/him. It was clear to me s/he had no idea of the value of share but referred to three fold profits some had past. Then I told that person, it is people like you and me purchased those shares at higher prices and now experiencing unrecoverable losses. But s/he was not sympathetic of those buyers and wished it was him/her sold at the peak.

Are retailers an innocent group? They also another set motivated by greediness and felt we should not worry too much about those people. However, at least, for the sake of improving efficiency of the CSE, we must, IMHO, educate those people through whatever possible way! Otherwise CSE will continue to be the Casino Stock Exchange.

Academic


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Monster wrote:Just look at the article by lbo today.

http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=771118604

As per the article, the reason for the massive drop in the market is due to force selling. Did any got this message from your broker.

As far as it is credit clearance period, it is possible to attribute any drop to credit clearance (force selling?). So according to my current thinking the credit clearance is like the wound of the beggar. I do not wonder if rulers extend the credit clearance period further.

In nutshell, "credit clearance" will be there so long as the market continue to drop. In other words, "market drop" is the cause and "credit clearance period" is the effect, not the other-way around as many think.

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:
Chinwi wrote:I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.



disabled online trading but did they force sell?

Im not sure.
But according to their talking, there were lot of unpaid stocks bought by some people during rallies and they had to sell them.

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Chinwi wrote:I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.


Those "wedak nethi kehel mal" was recommended by brokers (may not be all brokers). Even my broker recommended me to buy PAP when it was trading between 7.50 and 8.00.

Aamiable


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Chinwi wrote:I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.





Nice to see that …all are very confident today. After a long period of suffering, market is green again. In a green market selling any remaining excessive stocks is very much easier… Market started to pick up from Friday morning, ..actually picked up Thursday afternoon onwards ..that is because these issues have been resolved to a large extent.

Most of the remaining T5 and credit must have been cleared on Friday in a green high turnover market….On a daily basis certain amount of credit remains in a market that is quite normal….Funds extracting for IPO’s seem to be coming to an end. Most of the major IPO subscriptions come to an end next week…

Economy is in good shape. Channel 4 issues looks like an effort made to prevent deportation. No political issues. Trade union issues all solved.

I think there is nothing much to discuss on these issues. There is no major T5 problem. Buying power in some accounts disabled. IPO fever is gradually vanishing off….Political issuers settling down. Foreigners have started to buy again…. It is ideal time to discuss corporate earnings, future prospects and posts related to overall stock market performance instead of these posts and topics.

Smile Very Happy Smile

tubal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Aamiable wrote:
Chinwi wrote:I was in a broker's place they were reducing buying power of some clients. I asked why whats happen ?

"Last few days we had to sell many unpaid shares to recover the money. ... .. Some are not paying properly for what they bought, so we disabled their online buying."

Me: Why is this new situation?
She said,

"Pahugiya dawas wala mei wedak nethi kehel mal passe duwala me moda minissu amaruwe wetuna. " samaharu honda ewa wikunala wedak nethi ewa loku ganan walata aragena den thibuna ekath ne.
Samaharu XXXX wage boruwata naggapu ewa aragena ewata gewanna YYYY wage honda ewa wikunanawa.





Nice to see that …all are very confident today. After a long period of suffering, market is green again. In a green market selling any remaining excessive stocks is very much easier… Market started to pick up from Friday morning, ..actually picked up Thursday afternoon onwards ..that is because these issues have been resolved to a large extent.

Most of the remaining T5 and credit must have been cleared on Friday in a green high turnover market….On a daily basis certain amount of credit remains in a market that is quite normal….Funds extracting for IPO’s seem to be coming to an end. Most of the major IPO subscriptions come to an end next week…

Economy is in good shape. Channel 4 issues looks like an effort made to prevent deportation. No political issues. Trade union issues all solved.

I think there is nothing much to discuss on these issues. There is no major T5 problem. Buying power in some accounts disabled. IPO fever is gradually vanishing off….Political issuers settling down. Foreigners have started to buy again…. It is ideal time to discuss corporate earnings, future prospects and posts related to overall stock market performance instead of these posts and topics.

Smile Very Happy Smile

Ah marketwatch, your oft repeated comments.

cse_investor

cse_investor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

"Massive force selling", the magic recipe to explain all evil. I believe it's what the media and brokers tell all of us so we don't panic. Nobody wants to see another Bangladesh and the brokers want you to keep your money in the market so they can earn.

For those who are already celebrating because today was green, don't pop the champagne quite yet. This time next week we will know whether the market is really on course for recovery or not.

rajithasamaranayake


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

yes that's what many IPOs are doing today. Classic example is Expolanka. Their group had to pump more than Rs. 500 Mn to maintain solvency margins for Amana Takaful. If you look at Expolanka books very closely we can figure out from where they borrowed that money. Part of their IPO money will be used to settle that debt. Public should be very careful when they invest in IPOs in future. Dangerous part is these people promote their IPOs abroad using Road shows, etc. When the stock comes to the market and when it performs poorly that will create negative sentiments among foreign investors about our stock market

stumpy

stumpy
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

rajithasamaranayake wrote:yes that's what many IPOs are doing today. Classic example is Expolanka. Their group had to pump more than Rs. 500 Mn to maintain solvency margins for Amana Takaful. If you look at Expolanka books very closely we can figure out from where they borrowed that money. Part of their IPO money will be used to settle that debt. Public should be very careful when they invest in IPOs in future. Dangerous part is these people promote their IPOs abroad using Road shows, etc. When the stock comes to the market and when it performs poorly that will create negative sentiments among foreign investors about our stock market

ahaaa! now I know the point! I guessed so... even for softlogic !!!


Thank you Rajitha Samaranayake Very Happy

manula


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

rajithasamaranayake wrote:yes that's what many IPOs are doing today. Classic example is Expolanka. Their group had to pump more than Rs. 500 Mn to maintain solvency margins for Amana Takaful. If you look at Expolanka books very closely we can figure out from where they borrowed that money. Part of their IPO money will be used to settle that debt. Public should be very careful when they invest in IPOs in future. Dangerous part is these people promote their IPOs abroad using Road shows, etc. When the stock comes to the market and when it performs poorly that will create negative sentiments among foreign investors about our stock market

Yes ...100% correct.. The other way also you will not get all the shares you applied from IPO and has to hold money for long time with out any value. Some time you can earn more if you save that in the normal market and as you seen all IPO's after coming to market price will fall automatically due to high Share value.most company's cover their debt from the IPO. As i know many people investing in the IPO's not consider about the price due lack of knowledge and only thinking about the company name.

investor1984

investor1984
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

swan03 wrote:It says "The poor performance of Expolanka will teach those who run after IPO’s a bitter lesson," Capital Trust Stockbrokers said in a research note.

Does this mean not to go after Vallibal one as well?


Well if it is truly what Capital Trust indirectly meant, I am sure that 2 Pereras will teach good lesson to Capital Trust for sure, I dont think that anyone who is linked to Sri lankan share market in any capacity dare to challenge or oppose 2 Pereras , they are GOD In CSE... Better to worship them and cut our slice ... Very Happy

investor1984

investor1984
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:Forced selling Bullshit!! I have never met anyone who has had his portfolio force sold, have you?


Tubal... U r 100% correct.. So many blogs , News paper articles talk so much about Forced selling, but i haven't met any one yet.. and i also do call my broker regularly, i dont remember he telling me about forced selling in his place.. May be its a secret that brokering house does not tell us, and that our fellow investors who got their shares sold forcefully don't share their experience as its a bit embarrassment .. who knows... who cares ... i only buy if got cash... Very Happy

investor1984

investor1984
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Rajitha wrote:This is the same thing a forum full of idiots posted sometime back! This is the thing I said then,
lol! lol! lol! lol!



Rajitha ..... Shocked .. I thought u went in to hiding... After ur strong about Plantation & SIRA ... Very Happy ( hope u that u NOT gonna start a war of word with me too ... I might be the last surviving member in this forum who have not fight with you..I like to keep it that way LOLZ )

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

stumpy wrote:
rajithasamaranayake wrote:yes that's what many IPOs are doing today. Classic example is Expolanka. Their group had to pump more than Rs. 500 Mn to maintain solvency margins for Amana Takaful. If you look at Expolanka books very closely we can figure out from where they borrowed that money. Part of their IPO money will be used to settle that debt. Public should be very careful when they invest in IPOs in future. Dangerous part is these people promote their IPOs abroad using Road shows, etc. When the stock comes to the market and when it performs poorly that will create negative sentiments among foreign investors about our stock market

ahaaa! now I know the point! I guessed so... even for softlogic !!!


Thank you Rajitha Samaranayake Very Happy

rep should be given to rajitha samaranayake,but rep was received by the person who thanks scratch can anyone give rep for him,he deserve it Very Happy

Aamiable


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

mark wrote:
stumpy wrote:
rajithasamaranayake wrote:yes that's what many IPOs are doing today. Classic example is Expolanka. Their group had to pump more than Rs. 500 Mn to maintain solvency margins for Amana Takaful. If you look at Expolanka books very closely we can figure out from where they borrowed that money. Part of their IPO money will be used to settle that debt. Public should be very careful when they invest in IPOs in future. Dangerous part is these people promote their IPOs abroad using Road shows, etc. When the stock comes to the market and when it performs poorly that will create negative sentiments among foreign investors about our stock market

ahaaa! now I know the point! I guessed so... even for softlogic !!!


Thank you Rajitha Samaranayake Very Happy

rep should be given to rajitha samaranayake,but rep was received by the person who thanks scratch can anyone give rep for him,he deserve it Very Happy


I just gave Rajitha one rep.

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