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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » WHAT ARE THE EXPECTING PRICES OF GRAN, TAFL & BFL?

WHAT ARE THE EXPECTING PRICES OF GRAN, TAFL & BFL?

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VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert
@EPS wrote:to me , it seems TAFL will gives maximum return.
But, we can not forget BFL. if BFL produced more than 5 EPS for current quarter, then they will produce more than 20 or 25 EPS for 2015/16. So, can expect BFL to trade above Rs.250/- in coming months.
If, TAFL produced 12 around or more EPS for 2015/16, price will above Rs.150/-.
Will see in coming quarters.
I agree with you because of their earnings, industry outlook and strong market situation.  We should see bigger move in stocks in the remaining stages of current bull market.
 
GRAN had strong breakout. After that it is having uptrend. TAFL is having its own strong uptrend. Volume building is also strong for them. BFL had initial accumulation around Rs.120/128 and after that, to my surprise it traded below Rs.120. However, it also became a bullish stock after passing Rs.130/140 and 150. It also has some volume building. In short, all three are preparing for their next move.
 
I am expecting strong results from strong companies.

Suppose

  • TAFL quarterly EPS to be around 4 or around 5
  • BFL quarterly EPS to be around 6 or around 8
  • How about if both report quarterly  EPS  around 5 or 6

On that scenario what is your target? It should base on the valuation, future outlook and future earnings as well.

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
VALUEPICk what will be GRAN EPS. I am expecting around 4

VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert
We can expect around 3 or 4. TAFL should produce higher EPS than GRAN in the current financial year. However, strong performance of TAFL means it is good for GRAN as well. We will wait and see. We can estimate and become optimistic not only on our stocks but also on stock market. Strong stock market means strong stock prices.

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
GRAN will pick up from tommorrow.It is normal that small fluctuations will occur  and next phase of run is very near.next target is 80 before reports

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thank you everybody for sharing your valuable opinions here!
Good day! Good trade!!

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Thank you everybody for sharing your valuable opinions here!
Good day! Good trade!!

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
two days ago CIC report out.

good performance 3.24 for last quarter. then we can expect some positive news for GRAN,TAFL,BFL reports

kashyapa89


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
TAFL break 100 and GRAN will move 80+ today

NZ BOY

NZ BOY
Moderator
Moderator
@kashyapa89 wrote:TAFL break 100 and GRAN will move 80+ today
Yes We Saw Some Profit talking last day I Hope GRAN,TAFL,BFL will Jump to next level

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@NZ BOY wrote:
@kashyapa89 wrote:TAFL break 100 and GRAN will move 80+ today
Yes We Saw Some Profit talking last day I Hope GRAN,TAFL,BFL will Jump to next level
You're right Mr. NZ BOY!
As you said, BFL is going to rise up! According to my Graph Reading, this counter may repeat it's All Time High during the next Bull Market. (Hypothesis:ASPI should jump over by 7800-8000 levels).
Dear NZB, could you please cross this verdict with your chart...?

AUS79


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Results released. Now how the prices to be expected / adjusted to a fair value  for TAFL , GRAN, BFL ?

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@AUS79 wrote:Results released. Now how the prices to be expected / adjusted to a fair value  for TAFL , GRAN, BFL ?

According to my Graph Reading, BFL may lead others....
(1st Q. EPS: 5.93 + 2nd Q : 9.02) X 2 = 29.9
Amazing! Exp. Annual EPS is 29.9!!
If we put 10 as PER, there will be 299  (29.9 X 10)
Dear V.P, what's your opinion...?
Am I right... or... misguiding others...?

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
@peacockman wrote:
@AUS79 wrote:Results released. Now how the prices to be expected / adjusted to a fair value  for TAFL , GRAN, BFL ?

According to my Graph Reading, BFL may lead others....
(1st Q. EPS: 5.93 + 2nd Q : 9.02) X 2 = 29.9
Amazing! Exp. Annual EPS is 29.9!!
If we put 10 as PER, there will be 299  (29.9 X 10)
Dear V.P, what's your opinion...?
Am I right... or... misguiding others...?
Please follow poultry group including BFL. You will not regret. Lot of stocks will adjust their prices due to their great value and strong outlook. BFL, TAFL and GRAN have attractive valuation and they have strong outlook now.

Good luck

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
peacockman,

What is this BFL 1Q EPS you have mentioned as Rs5.93. That is the 4Q 2014 EPS of BFL. So that figure is wrong.

BFL has reported Rs9.02 EPS for the 1Q2015.

In a situation like that there annualized EPS should be Rs9.02*4 = Rs36.08.

BFL wil start trading around Rs185 on monday and immediately may run towards Rs200.

Even at Rs200 this gives a PE ratio is

200/36.08 = 5.54 times.

One of most under valued shares in the mkt now.

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Really correct mr.Bandara. BFLs new development will give another value added from next quarter. Then CPU will be reduced accordingly. Further fuel and electricity prices drop which is so positive to market.
BFL can pass 400 levels in early 2016.
remember i set my BFL target
140----->185
185----->237
This was my very sooner targets based on graph systems.


_________________




Teller said is said..

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@bandara 123 wrote:peacockman,

What is this BFL 1Q EPS you have mentioned as Rs5.93. That is the 4Q 2014 EPS of BFL. So that figure is wrong.

BFL has reported Rs9.02 EPS for the 1Q2015.

In a situation like that there annualized EPS should be Rs9.02*4 = Rs36.08.

BFL wil start trading around Rs185 on monday and immediately may run towards Rs200.

Even at Rs200 this gives a PE ratio is

200/36.08 = 5.54 times.

One of most under valued shares in the mkt now.

No Dear, I'm right!
The EPS of March was 5.93 (The figure is not 4Q 2014)
The current EPS is 9.02
The EPS of the past 6 month is 14.95 (5.93+9.02)
There fore Expecting Annual EPS will be 14.95 X 2 = 29.9
So.. what I've mentioned is correct!
You calculate as, 4 X this quarter... so... that's also another  calculation method and to be correct!
however, I agree with you that, BFL will soar into the sky very soon!
Good Trade! Asap!!

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:Really correct mr.Bandara. BFLs new development will give another value added from next quarter. Then CPU will be reduced accordingly. Further fuel and electricity prices drop  which is so positive to market.
BFL can pass 400 levels in early 2016.
remember i set my BFL target
140----->185
185----->237
This was my very sooner targets based on graph systems.  
Dear Teller,  when I put 10 as the P/E, the price will be 299 or 300, but we know the P/E of BFL is more than 10 and may be 15 or 20. So... it has more value than now & my graph reading also says that.

I've already mentioned some expecting prices in this site on 02 Aug 2015. Here is the detail:-
1st Qtr EPS  of GRAN    =2.80
1st  Qtr EPS  of TAFL         =3.35
1st  Qtr EPS  of BFL           =5.93


Expecting Annual EPS  of GRAN   =2.80 X 4
                                                       =11.20


Expecting Annual EPS  of TAFL    =3.35 X 4
                                                       =13.40


Expecting Annual EPS  of BFL      =5.93 X 4
                                                      =23.72


Now...
If we put 20 for PE, ( I think 20 is not too big!)


GRAN will be  =11.20  X 20      =  224.00
TAFL will be   =13.40  X 20      =  268.00
BFL will be     =23.72  X 20      =  474.00



Last edited by peacockman on Sat Aug 15, 2015 10:03 am; edited 1 time in total

AUS79


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@peacockman wrote:
@bandara 123 wrote:peacockman,

What is this BFL 1Q EPS you have mentioned as Rs5.93. That is the 4Q 2014 EPS of BFL. So that figure is wrong.

BFL has reported Rs9.02 EPS for the 1Q2015.

In a situation like that there annualized EPS should be Rs9.02*4 = Rs36.08.

BFL wil start trading around Rs185 on monday and immediately may run towards Rs200.

Even at Rs200 this gives a PE ratio is

200/36.08 = 5.54 times.

One of most under valued shares in the mkt now.

No Dear, I'm right!
The EPS of March was 5.93 (The figure is not 4Q 2014)
The current EPS is 9.02
The EPS of the past 6 month is 14.95 (5.93+9.02)
There fore Expecting Annual EPS will be 14.95 X 2 = 29.9
So.. what I've mentioned is correct!
You calculate as, 4 X this quarter... so... that's also another  calculation method and to be correct!
however, I agree with you that, BFL will soar into the sky very soon!
Good Trade! Asap!!


Thanks peacockman,


Appreciate if you could express your  idea about GRAN & TAFL , how  these two shares may adjust to their fair values in the future....

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
TAFL  - Past 6 month EPS : 7.02
           Ex. An. EPS : 7.02 X 2 = 14.04
           Adj. Price may be : 14.04 X 10 = 140
GRAN - P 6 month EPS : 5.39
            Ex. anu EPS : 5.39 X 2 = 10.78
            Adj. Price may be : 10.78 X 10 = 108

My Graph Reading says, there will be an all time high break out in this counters during the next Bull Market. Time will say weather it is right or wrong! wait & see!! Good luck!!!

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
peacockman

YOU ARE DEAD WRONG

Hey ...Hey there should be an end to this. Some companies take FY as Dec 31 and some companies take FY as March 31.

BFL FY goes from 01/04/2015 to 31/03/2016.

These are simple things no friend.Why can't you go throught the reports which are in CSE site. It cleary stated that BFL has reported EPS of Rs5.93 in 4Q14.

Now June Q is their Ist Q in their FY15/16.

Now again who is correct?

@AUS79 wrote:
@peacockman wrote:
@bandara 123 wrote:peacockman,

What is this BFL 1Q EPS you have mentioned as Rs5.93. That is the 4Q 2014 EPS of BFL. So that figure is wrong.

BFL has reported Rs9.02 EPS for the 1Q2015.

In a situation like that there annualized EPS should be Rs9.02*4 = Rs36.08.

BFL wil start trading around Rs185 on monday and immediately may run towards Rs200.

Even at Rs200 this gives a PE ratio is

200/36.08 = 5.54 times.

One of most under valued shares in the mkt now.

No Dear, I'm right!
The EPS of March was 5.93 (The figure is not 4Q 2014)
The current EPS is 9.02
The EPS of the past 6 month is 14.95 (5.93+9.02)
There fore Expecting Annual EPS will be 14.95 X 2 = 29.9
So.. what I've mentioned is correct!
You calculate as, 4 X this quarter... so... that's also another  calculation method and to be correct!
however, I agree with you that, BFL will soar into the sky very soon!
Good Trade! Asap!!


Thanks peacockman,


Appreciate if you could express your  idea about GRAN & TAFL , how  these two shares may adjust to their fair values in the future....

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@bandara 123 wrote:peacockman

YOU ARE DEAD WRONG

Hey ...Hey there should be an end to this. Some companies take FY as Dec 31 and some companies take FY as March 31.

BFL FY goes from 01/04/2015 to 31/03/2016.

These are simple things no friend.Why can't you go throught the reports which are in CSE site. It cleary stated that BFL has reported EPS of Rs5.93 in 4Q14.

Now June Q is their Ist Q in their FY15/16.

Now again who is correct?
Mr. Bandara, if so... 9.02 X 4 is correct... you're right!

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Now both are correct :-).


_________________




Teller said is said..

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Teller 

WHAT? How come that?




peacockman 



Then just imagine the Annualized EPS of BFL now.




It is Rs9.02 * 4 = Rs36.08




This is really really under value and should trade above Rs200 for sure. No doubt. Any sales below Rs200 is very cheap and grab it without wasting time and without double thinking.

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Of course mr.bandara. BFL can provide a better EPS in coming quarters too. Surely 45-50 /- is possible. In that scenario i cant imagine what will be the price. I feel capitalization reserve,split or higher dividend may be possible & There will be few sellers monday onwards. BFL will break all the barriers. Thx all the members who shared value infos.


_________________




Teller said is said..

SLBOY


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Both of you are trying to get expected EPS. So peackman trying to get by last 2 quarter and avarage where as mr banadara expecting this quarter multiple by 4. However ever when company having good potential in comming quaters it seem to be good by evaluateting through current quarter. Is there is any formal guide to get expected EPS as accounting point of view.

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