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BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)

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126BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri May 29, 2015 6:17 am

mdcpk1975


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I was never intersted in chicken run before..but looking at chicken shares this time, i feel that this year belongs to food companies..if you consider last quarter EPS of BFL...annulalised EPS for next financial year will be over 20...they had a good time in 2010 and struggled thereafter..but disposable income of people has increased so much during later part of last year and especially this year with government increasing salaries and reducing cost of goods..people are thinking of branded products such as KEELS, BAHIRA, PRIMA etc...so i feel it is time to concentrate on KFP, BFL, GRAN and TAFL..out of those other shares have appreciated considersbly but market leader BFL is yet to appreciate even with excellent results.we can expect a good run of these shares towards end of this quarter...best of luck...happy trading

127BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Jul 24, 2015 12:39 pm

VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert

I Just now went through their quarterly report ended 31/03/15.
 
Their quarteroy group EPS was 5.93
 
Now we can reasonable expect annual EPS over 20. Then we can get idea about future earnings and their stock prices in a strong market.
 
I am expecting one of the best EPS from TAFL as well in the coming quarter and coming financial year. We will wait and see.  This is the time to estimate future earnings and some home work to identify some great opportunities in the market.
 
Can TAFL come closer to BFL this time?  I am studying and estimating its future earnings now.
 
How much we can give value when companies start to generate yearly EPS around 20 or over 20 together with higher ROE, strong cash flow and strong outlook in their industry?  

128BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Aug 14, 2015 5:46 pm

VALUEPICK


Expert
Expert

BFL also has produced one of the highest quarterly EPS during period ended 30/06/2015.
 
BFL
 
Quarterly EPS 30/06/2015
 
9.02


Its share prices should adjust according to the stages of bull market and according to their attractive earnings in the coming quarters. 

129BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Sun Aug 16, 2015 8:06 pm

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

BFL immediately should pass Rs200 levels to adjust to its super results.

130BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 10:21 am

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

what will be the good price to enter into BFL today ?  seems like sellers are coming in large numbers

131BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 10:40 am

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

kassachandi wrote:what will be the good price to enter into BFL today ?  seems like sellers are coming in large numbers
huge selling scratch scratch scratch scratch

132BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 11:03 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

nis2010 wrote:
kassachandi wrote:what will be the good price to enter into BFL today ?  seems like sellers are coming in large numbers
huge selling scratch scratch scratch scratch

Foolish Panic Sellers! Why do they fear about BFL, which is a Near Future Record Break counter?

133BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 12:02 pm

rizan666


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Not panic sellers. It's margin clearance and day traders

134BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 12:13 pm

rizan666


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

BFL is the top Traded Value today in Market 183.9 Million

135BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 1:18 pm

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

BFL will rocket tommorow with a stabble government

136BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 8:03 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator

BFL will pass 250/- with in this week.

137BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Mon Aug 17, 2015 11:20 pm

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

More buyers will come from tomorrow onwards after political stability.so BFL will touch 200 in the 1st trading hour

138BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Aug 18, 2015 12:46 am

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

kassachandi wrote:More buyers will come from tomorrow onwards after political stability.so BFL will touch 200 in the 1st trading hour
what abt tafl

139BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Aug 18, 2015 7:06 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

nis2010 wrote:
kassachandi wrote:More buyers will come from tomorrow onwards after political stability.so BFL will touch 200 in the 1st trading hour
what abt tafl
it may pass 130.00 tomorrow!

140BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Aug 19, 2015 5:26 pm

Insight


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Dear teller/Eps,

BFL came down today..
Will this still worth more than 200/-

141BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Aug 19, 2015 5:48 pm

rizan666


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Insight wrote:Dear teller/Eps,

BFL came down today..
Will this still worth more than 200/-
Guess you are new to investment. Stock rising is Sector/Industry wise. The crowd keeps moving to different sectors then sellers will demand for their stocks that they were holding.

142BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Aug 19, 2015 7:21 pm

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

This is a value gem and BFL is now worth more than 250

143BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 2:45 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator

@Insight, dont be panic. Investing on shares is not like a horse Race,casino or gambling. Its an investment with a discipline.  you have to understand its potentials,estimate holding perods,future earnings,dividends and many more factors. Then only you will feel comfortable.  Other wise you will rotate your capital and finally empty hand. So belive a fundamentally good stock and hold it few time.  you get the correct decision,forget others....GL



Last edited by Teller on Thu Aug 20, 2015 2:52 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

144BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 5:41 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

BFL & TAFL have good momentum and their share prices should adjust according to their high earnings in the coming quarters.  Share Holders those who have both 2 shares may get a good profit, If they keep them with 2 Quarters. The other counters those are similar range to BFL & TAFL are in High Level now, but TAFL & BFL are available with a discounted price now.
I can list out some valued counters which are in same strength to them.


Counters                  EPS      PER     Cur. Price
Distilleries                 19.7     16        310.00
CTCE(Eagle Insu)       19.0     16        284.00
                  but
TAFL                         18.24   6.5        120.00
             (TAFL's expecting EPS : This Quarter X 4 - 4.56 X 4 = 18.24)


We can understand that TAFL's PER is lower than others and it's in low price. We should put 16 as the PER. Please Put and calculate the current price level.
18.24 X 16 = .......... ?
It must come to Distrilleries level!


Counters                   EPS    PER     Cur. Price
Chevron                    22.75   18.01     415.00
Hayleys                     24.0     15.50     360.00
CCS                          22.0     18.20     410.00
                 but
BFL                           26.18     7.63     200.00
(BFL's last 4 Quarter EPS : 2015 June - 9.20; 2015 May - 9.94; 2014 Dec - 4.01; 2014 Sep - 3.18;;   
Total : 26.18)


TAFL's PER is also low. We should put 16-18 as the PER. Please Put and calculate the current price level.
26.18 X 16 = .......... ?
It must jump over to Chevron's level!


so... their share prices will be adjusted in the coming quarters.

145BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 7:32 am

bandara 123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

peacockman

Why can't you understand the simple way of calculating expected annualized EPS. In a different thread also I have very clearly mentioned to you this.This is not good and don't mislead people here. You will loose your credibility.

BFL annualized EPS is - Thier 1Q15 EPS Rs9.02 *4 = Rs36.08

So a counter with EPS Rs36.08 is still trading at Rs187 levels. The price of BFL should immediately adjust to its earnings. No body can argue that. This should trade above Rs200 levels by now.

With regard to the TAFL your calculation is wrong again.

TAFL financial year start from 01/01/2015 to ending 31/12/2015.

Hence they have reported their 6 months or half year profits by now as at 30/06/15.

TAFL 1Q15 EPS is - Rs3.35 and their 2ndQ EPS is Rs4.56

TAFL total EPS for 1H15 is - Rs7.92

There for annualized EPS of TAFL is - Rs7.92 * 2 = Rs15.84

However please keep this in mind. BFL has another 3Q to finish its current financial year. If they managed to improve their profits in future Q they are in a position to report more than Rs36.08 EPS for the current FY.

TAFL has another two Q to complete the current FY. If they managed to report improved profits in future two Q they would report improved profits for the current FY.

With the current positive environment for poultry sector these poultry companies should definetely produce improved results for the future Q.

Hence we can rated poultry shares in CSE as top shares for investment at present.

146BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 8:36 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Dear Bandara,
You know, there are many EPS calculation methods using by Auditors & Accountants. Some of them are :-
1. Reported EPS (or GAAP EPS) 
2. Ongoing EPS 
3. Pro Forma EPS 
4. Headline EPS 
5. Cash EPS 
Like that, There are many ways to find annualized EPS.

Very Happy when all the quarter values are known for a company, we can add Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4 EPSs = actual annualized EPS in that Financial year. 

Very Happy But the issue is when we know only 1 or 2 or 3 Quarters EPS in that year so far ( not the whole 4) 

Eg : Q1 Eps 4 , Q2 Eps 5 ,Q3 Eps 4.5 ......

( 4+5+4.5 ) X 4/3 = annualized EPS ( this is called 'Forward EPS'.
Various people use various methods to calculate annualized EPS



by the by, for a comparing purpose, I analysed BFL's EPS with past 4 Q methodcurrently BFL has 4 last Quarter EPSs. Those are:-
2015 June, 2015 March, 2014 Dec, 2014 Sep
in this point of view, it's strength at now is : 26.18
(Their  Financial Period is not the matter.)
I've analysed it's current EPS strength. that is : 26.18
You've analysed it's future / expecting / 2015-2016 Financial period EPS. that will be : more than 36

for that comparing purpose, I've analysed TAFL's EPS with a basic method (current EPS X 4). That is it's expecting EPS. 

147BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 8:48 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator

We have to do the calculation with the most reasonable way. For BFL
Current EPS + Coming quarters EPS must be considered. Its because of new projects will enhance the earning capacities. It will reduce Cost per Units.its not like other capital projects. Once BFL finish the project which will be deliverd the best supports. Some big projects never give maximum capacities. So as soon as completed the projects companies faces decreasing of profits. Its because of new assets. IF new assets have millions values as the depreciation expenses can be increased. But BFL project will run with higher productivities from the day of it starts.
We can expect 15% QOQ profit from BFL. In that scenario Annual EPS can pass 50 Levels. theese earnings can continue more in coming years. Its not like 2011 at the moment. World recorded low feed prices will remain not be changed next 2-3 years. Increasing of per capital income,protein consumption, tourism boom,fish prices hike,veg prices hikes are considerable.

148BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:58 am

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Today Market with RED, Very Good moment to buy Good stocks! BFL & TAFL are easy to buy!

149BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:05 am

SUSPENS

SUSPENS
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

With the current political stability in the country market players are going to play a major roll in chicken run , well informed sourced says expected prices
 
BFL   ------Rs. 300/-
TAFL ------Rs. 250/-
GRAN ------Rs. 150/-

150BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 11:23 am

lossorgain

lossorgain
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I bought BFL at 187 and now 182  Evil or Very Mad WAITING !!!!

151BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Aug 20, 2015 12:12 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator

Dont worry this is an another good chance to buy at lower levels. Results guaranteed.

152BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Aug 21, 2015 8:21 am

lossorgain

lossorgain
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I will sell this to you and you better buy it Teller if this doesn't go up  Razz Razz

153BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Aug 21, 2015 8:32 am

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

lossorgain wrote:I will sell this to you and you better buy it Teller if this doesn't go up  Razz Razz
lossorgain Think about latter 
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

154BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Aug 21, 2015 9:06 am

lossorgain

lossorgain
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Yahapalanaya wrote:
lossorgain wrote:I will sell this to you and you better buy it Teller if this doesn't go up  Razz Razz
lossorgain Think about latter 
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

I know I know... That's why still am holding on to it  Very Happy

155BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 6 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:26 pm

peacockman


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

lossorgain wrote:I will sell this to you and you better buy it Teller if this doesn't go up  Razz Razz
Dear, you're LOSE or GAIN...
don't forget it. 
If you request to TELLER  like this, you have to change your name as GAIN ONLY. 
but one of our guys here with this name.



Last edited by peacockman on Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:29 pm; edited 1 time in total

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