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351EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue May 17, 2011 9:26 pm

shar


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Antonym wrote:Prediction: Expolanka should settle at a trading range between Rs 25 - 30.

Reasoning:
In terms of turnover, Expo is 60% of JKH.
JKH Market Capitalization is Rs 186.47 billion.
Unlike JKH, Expo's growth prospects and ethical standards are questionable.
So, considering 30% of JKH Market Cap = Rs 55.94 billion.
Expo issued shares (post-IPO) = 1.955 billion.
Therefore Market price per share = Rs 28.61.

This is just one guesstimate, based on market capitalization - and there could be other views... Have a Nice Day! Very Happy
I agree with your reasoning except your opinion on Expo's Growth prospects and Ethical Standards. Expo is a very well diversified Company, very strong in logistics both in Sri Lanka and Overseas. This sector alone is bound to grow tremendously. On Ethics, please do a little more research and you will find Expo ranked No. 1 in Ethical Standards.

352EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue May 17, 2011 9:30 pm

shar


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

econ wrote:I think we can collect this below IPO price if you wait few days after the initial listing.

Good Luck to you Econ. Wishfull thinking I would say

353EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Wed May 18, 2011 12:47 am

hhperera


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

shar wrote:
Antonym wrote:Prediction: Expolanka should settle at a trading range between Rs 25 - 30.

Reasoning:
In terms of turnover, Expo is 60% of JKH.
JKH Market Capitalization is Rs 186.47 billion.
Unlike JKH, Expo's growth prospects and ethical standards are questionable.
So, considering 30% of JKH Market Cap = Rs 55.94 billion.
Expo issued shares (post-IPO) = 1.955 billion.
Therefore Market price per share = Rs 28.61.

This is just one guesstimate, based on market capitalization - and there could be other views... Have a Nice Day! Very Happy
I agree with your reasoning except your opinion on Expo's Growth prospects and Ethical Standards. Expo is a very well diversified Company, very strong in logistics both in Sri Lanka and Overseas. This sector alone is bound to grow tremendously. On Ethics, please do a little more research and you will find Expo ranked No. 1 in Ethical Standards.




"No. 1 in Ethical Standards" ???

Did you personally write list up?
were there any on the companies on the list?

If you want to comment, quote the source of your information. It seems a bit pointless for you to come onto the forum and tell other people to do research.

354EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Wed May 18, 2011 1:58 am

Antonym


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

shar wrote:
Antonym wrote:Prediction: Expolanka should settle at a trading range between Rs 25 - 30.

Reasoning:
In terms of turnover, Expo is 60% of JKH.
JKH Market Capitalization is Rs 186.47 billion.
Unlike JKH, Expo's growth prospects and ethical standards are questionable.
So, considering 30% of JKH Market Cap = Rs 55.94 billion.
Expo issued shares (post-IPO) = 1.955 billion.
Therefore Market price per share = Rs 28.61.

This is just one guesstimate, based on market capitalization - and there could be other views... Have a Nice Day! Very Happy
I agree with your reasoning except your opinion on Expo's Growth prospects and Ethical Standards. Expo is a very well diversified Company, very strong in logistics both in Sri Lanka and Overseas. This sector alone is bound to grow tremendously. On Ethics, please do a little more research and you will find Expo ranked No. 1 in Ethical Standards.
@shar: After reading your response, I re-did my calculation - using Profit before tax (for 9 months ending Dec-10) instead of Turnover; I believe this is more relevant. This time, I did not discount for any reason.

Market price derived = Rs 24.96
At this price, Expolanka would have the same PE ratio as JKH does. Whether Expo deserves this PE ratio (or higher or lower) is left to your judgement.

355EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Wed May 18, 2011 8:01 pm

milanka


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

shar wrote:
Antonym wrote:Prediction: Expolanka should settle at a trading range between Rs 25 - 30.

Reasoning:
In terms of turnover, Expo is 60% of JKH.
JKH Market Capitalization is Rs 186.47 billion.
Unlike JKH, Expo's growth prospects and ethical standards are questionable.
So, considering 30% of JKH Market Cap = Rs 55.94 billion.
Expo issued shares (post-IPO) = 1.955 billion.
Therefore Market price per share = Rs 28.61.

This is just one guesstimate, based on market capitalization - and there could be other views... Have a Nice Day! Very Happy
I agree with your reasoning except your opinion on Expo's Growth prospects and Ethical Standards. Expo is a very well diversified Company, very strong in logistics both in Sri Lanka and Overseas. This sector alone is bound to grow tremendously. On Ethics, please do a little more research and you will find Expo ranked No. 1 in Ethical Standards.

@shar,
Which PLC as per your estimate in the number 2 and 3 rank in Ethical Standards. Just like to know.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

356EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Thu May 19, 2011 8:26 am

sivakajan


Stock Trader

affraid

357EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Thu May 19, 2011 11:20 pm

shar


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

milanka wrote:
shar wrote:
Antonym wrote:Prediction: Expolanka should settle at a trading range between Rs 25 - 30.

Reasoning:
In terms of turnover, Expo is 60% of JKH.
JKH Market Capitalization is Rs 186.47 billion.
Unlike JKH, Expo's growth prospects and ethical standards are questionable.
So, considering 30% of JKH Market Cap = Rs 55.94 billion.
Expo issued shares (post-IPO) = 1.955 billion.
Therefore Market price per share = Rs 28.61.

This is just one guesstimate, based on market capitalization - and there could be other views... Have a Nice Day! Very Happy
I agree with your reasoning except your opinion on Expo's Growth prospects and Ethical Standards. Expo is a very well diversified Company, very strong in logistics both in Sri Lanka and Overseas. This sector alone is bound to grow tremendously. On Ethics, please do a little more research and you will find Expo ranked No. 1 in Ethical Standards.

@shar,
Which PLC as per your estimate in the number 2 and 3 rank in Ethical Standards. Just like to know.

Like to make a correction to my comment. Please read the last line as "you will find Expo ranked high in Ethical standards" Sorry about it Wink

358EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Thu May 19, 2011 11:24 pm

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

@shar - Noted the changes.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

359EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Tue May 24, 2011 12:40 pm

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:
amjad wrote:"Expolanka (Pvt.) Ltd. is the leading exporter of fresh coconuts, desiccated coconut, fresh fruits and vegetables from Sri Lanka." - website

yes tubal, it is expoting fresh coconuts too.but i think its very well diversified so that they have marginal impact. What do you think tubal.

Reserving my comments till I see the prospectus :-)
But personally I haven't applied for any IPOs in recent times. Not even for good ones like SFIN. It's not worth the trouble. If the SEC does something about the bank guarantees. Then I might apply

Agree with you completely.
Just have a look at their subscription information 108 bank guaranteed application for 678M shares..wth

http://cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/8071306218389_.pdf

360EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat May 28, 2011 10:52 pm

Fresher


Moderator
Moderator

I just read this thread.
1 Q
tell me WHY JKH would want to increase their average price upto 14/- ?
do you mean to say that JKH will buy equal amount of share as in PP @ 22/- each to average at 14/-

no offense friend, just to make it clear

361EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 29, 2011 12:36 am

TuskerLK

TuskerLK
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

npp wrote:I just read this thread.
1 Q
tell me WHY JKH would want to increase their average price upto 14/- ?
do you mean to say that JKH will buy equal amount of share as in PP @ 22/- each to average at 14/-

no offense friend, just to make it clear

That's fine mate,

Actually what I tried is not to predict the price but to calculate the maximum price of the Expo share if JKH decides to buy on the market till they equate their average cost per share to IPO issue price while doubling their holding.

This is a possible scenario in which I expect the JKH to do something like this to protect their reputation and to prove that the share issue which the promoted and managed is not a flop...

362EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 29, 2011 12:44 am

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

My guess is that IPO of Expo will open at Rs15/- and move up thereafter. This is my personal view.

363EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 29, 2011 10:01 am

TuskerLK

TuskerLK
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

gamaya wrote:JKH has done it before. They sold huge amounts KHL shares bought cheaply at rights issue; which effectively killed any appreciation of the share.

So whoever buys would be sitting on a time bomb. JKH and others can chose their time.

JKH sold the KHL shares which they bought on right issue, so what is the relationship with the IPO price. Generally following the right issue the price will be diluted. generally we don't expect the price to appreciate after the right issue, aren't we?

364EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty EXPOLANKA- Trading Commences Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:45 am

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Another Buy High , Sell Low story.. Todays low @ 14.50 Just 15 Min after trading..
Now could predict where its heading..Poor retailers money..



Last edited by milanka on Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:54 am; edited 1 time in total

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

365EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:47 am

uanuradha

uanuradha
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

What will happen? Will it go below 14/=?

366EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:53 am

manula


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

I think it will stay around 14. if first day it was coming same like IPO price hope after some day it will fall if manipulator did not do some thing.

367EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:54 am

enslive

enslive
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

God bless you softlogic bounce

368EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:55 am

wgsaman

wgsaman
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

how nice it

369EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:56 am

madumal2005


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Ohh god! I gave it up quickly @ 14.60 didnt wait to catch up. I am free...ohhhhhh cheers

370EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:58 am

DK


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Here's something to think and argue about: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=LGL:SL Wink

371EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:00 am

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

madumal2005 wrote:Ohh god! I gave it up quickly @ 14.60 didnt wait to catch up. I am free...ohhhhhh cheers

Wise Man..

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

372EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:09 am

djdila

djdila
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

I sold @14.30
aparadee..........

373EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:12 am

Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

As a prinsiple Did not apply for EXPO or Softlogic!! Can see was a great business decision as well considering those cash earned me way more in the secondary market few weeks back!

374EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:32 am

asliyanage


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Hope this won't happen Softlogic
Smile

375EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:46 am

surf


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

I feel that, a big player like to play with it

376EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:48 am

StocksWatch


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I wonder where are those forum members who were endlessly promoting expo just before the IPO closing date.

Some of them are shar, saaj, rizjiji and bart. Interestingly all these members have joined the forum during the period when this IPO was on offer and were not active after it was closed. (It may be the same person with multiple user names)

See following post for more details.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t3258-expolanka-ipo-invest-or-not

377EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:48 am

dsam

dsam
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Feel sorry for retailers but EXPO should deserve this.Who is next?

378EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:55 am

yoyo

yoyo
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I did not apply to Expo and Softlogic both IPO's due to the higher prices they offered for IPOs. Now it seems to be a good decision. After a month, not even 10% return for expo. Softlogic should be worst than this. I feel sorry for the retailers who applied these IPOs. Sad

379EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 10:58 am

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:
damee wrote:they are the main coconut exporter in sri lanka...

Hope it's processed coconut based food and other products and not raw coconuts. I do believe the government has imposed a ban on coconut exports
No. I don't think. I used to buy Sri Lankan raw coconuts in Hyper markets. May be there is a restriction for exports as raw coconut.

380EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 15 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon Jun 13, 2011 11:00 am

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Avinash wrote:Osama is dead. But expolanka is alive. Expo aviation is good. Independent directors are good. Future profits very very good. IPO' is going to be a roaring success... Just like any other IPO. Retail investors are the best suckers,,, teach em a lesson..

Future profits very very good. IPO' is going to be a roaring success...

Would like to have views from the original poster.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

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