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FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ » Can ASI reach or exceed 8000 within next 12-15 months?

Can ASI reach or exceed 8000 within next 12-15 months?

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CSE.SAS


Global Moderator
Does the All Share Price Index represent the Colombo Stock Market ?

Mallika Appuhamilage K. SRIYALATHA*

http://202.11.2.113/SEBM/ronso/no9_3/07_SRIYALATHA.pdf

CSE.SAS


Global Moderator
The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns in Sri Lanka

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1395016

http://korea.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=750066083101069097073067088118103076007056010023061049023084013108095108006126000111041119107107108043037095093120122101116091060086008008061123024083119086027075090084003017080068008080082026005086122&EXT=pdf

CSE.SAS


Global Moderator
Empirical Investigation of Price Variability Mechanism of the Colombo All Share Price Index

http://www.kln.ac.lk/fcms/ICBI2012/images/ICBM/dccs/FIN005.pdf

CSE.SAS


Global Moderator
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS Of SRI LANKA 2012

http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/pics_n_docs/10_pub/_docs/statistics/other/econ_&_ss_2012.pdf

Page 96 or 103

CSE.SAS


Global Moderator
Stocks, Bills and Inflation in Sri Lanka

http://korea.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=091071099092096102105100073095099068104013035023062021010029121088025100126066012093097030102106046016114118084028090090119028126034089078012112083089111125122027048014002003127066019016126025028084014&EXT=pdf

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator
Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@CSE.SAS wrote:Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

None of ur threat contain how ASPI base year was calculated. Only one journal explain the formula which is available in CSE website.Have u read those befr u published here? Most looks irrelevant..

CSE.SEE


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Jana1 wrote:
@CSE.SAS wrote:Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

None of ur threat contain how ASPI base year was calculated. Only one journal explain the formula which is available in CSE website.Have u read those befr u published here? Most looks irrelevant..

All Share Price Index (ASPI)

It is a value-weighted price index, which incorporates all the voting ordinary shares listed on the CSE. The base year is 1985, and the base value of the index is 100. ASPI showed 7,811.82 points as its highest value on 14th February 2011. Current ASPI value is the broadest and the longest measure of the level of the Sri Lankan stock market. 259 companies are currently listed on the CSE, representing twenty (20) business sectors with a market capitalization of Rs. 2,355. Billion as at 5th July 2011.

As explained above the ASPI is a value weighted index based on market capitalization where the weight of any company is taken as the number of ordinary shares listed in the market. This weighting system allows the price movements of larger companies to have a greater impact on the index. Such a weighting system was adopted on the assumption that the general economic situation has a greater influence on larger companies than on smaller ones.

The ASPI indicates the price fluctuations of shares of all the listed companies and covers all the traded shares of companies during a market day. The ASPI is calculated using the following formula;

Base values are established with average market value on year 1985. Hence the base year becomes 1985.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t6880-an-introduction-to-stock-market-indices

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator
@Jana1 wrote:
@CSE.SAS wrote:Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

None of ur threat contain how ASPI base year was calculated. Only one journal explain the formula which is available in CSE website.Have u read those befr u published here? Most looks irrelevant..

Does the All Share Price Index represent the Colombo Stock Market ? (Read Pg-11)

http://202.11.2.113/SEBM/ronso/no9_3/07_SRIYALATHA.pdf

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@CSE.SAS wrote:
@Jana1 wrote:
@CSE.SAS wrote:Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

None of ur threat contain how ASPI base year was calculated. Only one journal explain the formula which is available in CSE website.Have u read those befr u published here? Most looks irrelevant..

Does the All Share Price Index represent the Colombo Stock Market ? (Read Pg-11)

http://202.11.2.113/SEBM/ronso/no9_3/07_SRIYALATHA.pdf

I think u didn't properly understand the issue here. The page-11 formula already avail at CSE website. Not need any journal ref. for that. Pls read the initial issues which Anotym, Sri ranga and myself discussed. Sri ranga suppose to publish the CSE response but still he hasn't received, I guess.

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@CSE.SEE wrote:
@Jana1 wrote:
@CSE.SAS wrote:Anyone need more Empirical evidence about base year calculation Smile

None of ur threat contain how ASPI base year was calculated. Only one journal explain the formula which is available in CSE website.Have u read those befr u published here? Most looks irrelevant..

All Share Price Index (ASPI)

It is a value-weighted price index, which incorporates all the voting ordinary shares listed on the CSE. The base year is 1985, and the base value of the index is 100. ASPI showed 7,811.82 points as its highest value on 14th February 2011. Current ASPI value is the broadest and the longest measure of the level of the Sri Lankan stock market. 259 companies are currently listed on the CSE, representing twenty (20) business sectors with a market capitalization of Rs. 2,355. Billion as at 5th July 2011.

As explained above the ASPI is a value weighted index based on market capitalization where the weight of any company is taken as the number of ordinary shares listed in the market. This weighting system allows the price movements of larger companies to have a greater impact on the index. Such a weighting system was adopted on the assumption that the general economic situation has a greater influence on larger companies than on smaller ones.

The ASPI indicates the price fluctuations of shares of all the listed companies and covers all the traded shares of companies during a market day. The ASPI is calculated using the following formula;

Base values are established with average market value on year 1985. Hence the base year becomes 1985.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t6880-an-introduction-to-stock-market-indices

These are vague statements. Go and read all threats and understand how ASPI really works rather than simply assuming 1985 base year. That s totally false..There are more things inside..

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
It is a Possibility now. Lets not be over optimistic. Few more days left to pick some good shares. I am looking for a good hotel sector share. Everything is over priced.

stocksira

stocksira
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
KHL

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
You seems to have animal ins-tics..

guruji

guruji
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Qubit u confident on shl

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Antonym wrote:An average increase of more than 100 points per month is certainly possible, but not probable over extended periods.

I believe that the ASI will have a more gradual rise this time, and will exceed:
6000 by June 2013
7000 during 2014 and
8000 during 2015
.
As I said on Fri Apr 12, 2013...

ASI will exceed:
6000 by June 2013 - Done
7000 during 2014 - Done

8000 during 2015 - Awaited

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
weldone!!! @Antonym

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