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BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)

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176BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 6:07 pm

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

karuna wrote:17.6+8.9 ×9 =239= pe 120= 330 possible
Bfl can move to 330 January march 2016 
Very good invest for long periods

177BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 6:16 pm

fulltilt


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

jayathu wrote:Wait!!! Hasn't there performance come down compared to previous qtr. Where are the all the promoters who said this will achieve 10-13eps this qtr.

Don't get me wrong this is a highly undervalued stock but target level has come down from 280 to 260.
I'll exit at that price and let others make out from it.

@ Jayathu

If you analyse BFL's Q1 performance, you will see LKR 25m gain from Negative goodwill. This is not from normal operations. If you see, Profit Before Tax in Q2 has improved by LKR 40m (from 125m to 165m) representing 32% increase. I think BFL has done well. It should post around LKR 40 EPS this year since Nov-Dec is the peak season. BFL will be close to LKR 400/- if market also turns positive. 400/- mean PE of only 10x which is highly possible.

178BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 7:24 pm

ChateauC


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

@jayathu
U are such an idiot in this forum , though I thought u were a smart one u are such an asshole
Tell me how EPS just impact the share price
Fool there is lot of fundemental things which cannot visible, specially in GRAN , GRAN under $$$ma and the growth has just stated
Dont come here if u dont know the real facts , better to trade with ur small portfolio , dont show ur status here.

179BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 8:31 pm

shadow walker


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

fulltilt wrote:
jayathu wrote:Wait!!! Hasn't there performance come down compared to previous qtr. Where are the all the promoters who said this will achieve 10-13eps this qtr.

Don't get me wrong this is a highly undervalued stock but target level has come down from 280 to 260.
I'll exit at that price and let others make out from it.

@ Jayathu

If you analyse BFL's Q1 performance, you will see LKR 25m gain from Negative goodwill. This is not from normal operations. If you see, Profit Before Tax in Q2 has improved by LKR 40m (from 125m to 165m) representing 32% increase. I think BFL has done well. It should post around LKR 40 EPS this year since Nov-Dec is the peak season. BFL will be close to LKR 400/- if market also turns positive. 400/- mean PE of only 10x which is highly possible.

ooooopz

180BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 8:38 pm

jayathu


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

@ChateauC why have you taken my post so personally??
I'm not a expert in shares but I make my valuation based on the qtr eps. I'll annualized it and see what's P/E ratio. Then I'll compare with the sector peers. I know there are other external n internal factors u need to take into consideration also but P/E ratio is a basic indicator to pick shares.
i think BFL has a chance of reaching 300 -325 but I rather take my profits n let others make money on it to. like I said earlier I have reduced my target to 260 due to the fact company stagnent report shows there revenue is at a peak level.I entered into this at 190-200 level. I'm no expert so I can be wrong!!!

If you always try to sell shares at peak level I don't think you can make money. I always try to keep 25-40% gain cap. I know lot of people who becomes greedy thinking shares will go up further and eventually looses there gains.


181BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 9:12 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

karuna wrote:
kuma512204 wrote:Unaudited for the six months ended 



Earnings per Share - Basic 17.98
It's mean 17.78×6 = 106 +120 =206|| 
It's now 230 not possible

MM moko ganan waradinne

182BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 9:15 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

believe me ...

Chicken Run can stop only Bird flue. no Bird Flue unable to stop it

You dont need to think about technical barriers

Now Game on. Will See



Last edited by stockback on Tue Oct 20, 2015 10:15 pm; edited 1 time in total

183BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Tue Oct 20, 2015 10:02 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

As I expected 35 plus EPS for current fin.year, now BFL given me 18 with in six months ended 30.09.2015.I predict normaly their 3rd quarter results seems to be more positive with the festival quarter and high chicken prices in the market. means BFL is now in possition to report 35 or 40 arround EPS for current year. So, i like to see BFL to trade atleast minimum of 10X PER with Rs.400 range.

also, dont forget what a massive growth. with in six months 18 arround EPS. can you name any other company like that EPS with in 06 months. JV investment hit at 357 Mn. So, can expect further more payback to this investment. Also massively improved cash balance hit with 256 mn. Now they having very strong balance sheet.

184BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 1:00 am

kuma524

kuma524
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:As I expected 35 plus EPS for current fin.year, now BFL given me 18 with in six months ended 30.09.2015.I predict normaly their 3rd quarter results seems to be more positive with the festival quarter and high chicken prices in the market. means BFL is now in possition to report 35 or 40 arround EPS for current year. So, i like to see BFL to trade atleast minimum of 10X PER with Rs.400 range.

also, dont forget what a massive growth. with in six months 18 arround EPS. can you name any other company  like that EPS with in 06 months. JV investment hit at 357 Mn. So, can expect further more payback to this investment. Also massively improved cash balance hit with 256 mn. Now they having very strong balance sheet.
 Of course EPS 3rd quarter result would be more than 10 . Because of festivals season.

185BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 8:54 am

SUSPENS

SUSPENS
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

TAFL WILL FOLLOW SAME.......HE HE...chicken rasai...........

186BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:10 am

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

BFL has done very well. they have kept their super last quarter results intact in this qarter.So all will jump to this stock from today bcoz now BFl will surely produce 30+ EPS.300 possible withing next 2 months

187BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:13 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

BFL : Note the below superb highlighted points,

1.

30.06.2015 quarter end Profit Before Tax = 125.07 Mn

30.09.2015 quarter end Profit Before Tax = 165.03 Mn

 

2.

30.06.2015 quarter end EPS = 9.02

30.09.2015 quarter end EPS = 8.96

Six months ended EPS = 17.98, Annualized level = 35.96

Current Trading Price = Rs.230/-

Current Trading PER = 230 / 35.96 = 6.3x

 

3.

Investment in JV = 357.3 Mn. Can expect more return very soon.

Company has increased its share holding at Fortune GP Farms (Lanka) Limited from 39.54% to 50.00% as at 30th June 2015, and it has become a Joint Venture company.


During the quarter under review, Fortune Agro Industries (Pvt) Ltd. has issued Rs.400,000,000/- worth of shares to the joint venture partners. Company has contributed 50% of its equity investment amounting to Rs. 200,000,000/- by transfering its related party receivable to investment in joint venture account.


The Consolidated Financial Statements were prepared using the same accounting policies and methods of

computation that were applied to prepare the Audited Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended

31 March 2015 and are in compliance with Sri Lanka Accounting Standard (LKAS) 34 - Interim Financial Reporting.

 

Fortune Agro Industries (Pvt) Ltd :

Plant and machinery installation is continuing together with work on civil construction



 

4.

Cash in Hand/Bank balance = 256.0 Mn

 

5.

Net Asset Value of the company = 138.66.

Currently trading at 1.6 x of NAV.

188BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:24 am

AUS79


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

It's staggering performance with great future potential .....
More & more investors will flock into poultry stocks now....

189BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:33 am

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Remember this is purely margin driven. The YoY volumes seems to be dropped slightly.

190BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:50 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

What a positive reaction within first 15 minutes of trading. 250,000 around shares traded between Rs.230/- to Rs.240/-.
Expectation EPS 36 X Mminimum 8 OR 10 PER, can reach BFL to Rs.300/- plus.

191BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 9:53 am

NZ BOY

NZ BOY
Moderator
Moderator

BFL Should Close 245++++++++

192BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 11:37 am

Pac-man

Pac-man
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

EPS 30+ so dont worry at all

193BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Wed Oct 21, 2015 12:12 pm

SLBOY


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:BFL : Note the below superb highlighted points,

1.

30.06.2015 quarter end Profit Before Tax = 125.07 Mn

30.09.2015 quarter end Profit Before Tax = 165.03 Mn

 

2.

30.06.2015 quarter end EPS = 9.02

30.09.2015 quarter end EPS = 8.96

Six months ended EPS = 17.98, Annualized level = 35.96

Current Trading Price = Rs.230/-

Current Trading PER = 230 / 35.96 = 6.3x

 

3.

Investment in JV = 357.3 Mn. Can expect more return very soon.

Company has increased its share holding at Fortune GP Farms (Lanka) Limited from 39.54% to 50.00% as at 30th June 2015, and it has become a Joint Venture company.


During the quarter under review, Fortune Agro Industries (Pvt) Ltd. has issued Rs.400,000,000/- worth of shares to the joint venture partners. Company has contributed 50% of its equity investment amounting to Rs. 200,000,000/- by transfering its related party receivable to investment in joint venture account.


The Consolidated Financial Statements were prepared using the same accounting policies and methods of

computation that were applied to prepare the Audited Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended

31 March 2015 and are in compliance with Sri Lanka Accounting Standard (LKAS) 34 - Interim Financial Reporting.

 

Fortune Agro Industries (Pvt) Ltd :

Plant and machinery installation is continuing together with work on civil construction



 

4.

Cash in Hand/Bank balance = 256.0 Mn

 

5.

Net Asset Value of the company = 138.66.

Currently trading at 1.6 x of NAV.
Dear EPS

Any idea about the completion date of current Project (Fortune Agro ) and  the change in top 20 Share holders.

Nuwan Prasad


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/452_1453346734426.pdf

195BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:10 am

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Quick calculation on group comparison for 9 months ended-

Cash flow generated from operations jumped to 316m from negative 24.1m.
EPS jumped to 19.3% from 3.4%
ROE is up to 19.3% from 3.4%

196BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:14 am

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

As I earlier said...Chicken.....Chicken.....
See Amazing BFL quarterly EPS above 10.30....wow....Also 09 months EPS is 28 now. Guess 12 months EPS. SEEMS defa above 36 now. minimum 6 PER, you will see BFL to trade above Rs.210/- very soon...

Don't miss TAFL......Oyala balandakooooo TAFL eps.....very sooon....

Very SOOOON.....may be next week....Everybody will say.....
TAFL.....TAFL....
TAFL....TAFL.....TAFL...
TAFL.....TAFL....TAFL.....TAFL.....

197BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:27 am

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

EPS jumped to 28.33 from 4.01
Sorry for typo

198BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:35 am

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:As I earlier said...Chicken.....Chicken.....
See Amazing BFL quarterly EPS above 10.30....wow....Also 09 months EPS is 28 now. Guess 12 months EPS. SEEMS defa above 36 now. minimum 6 PER, you will see BFL to trade above Rs.210/- very soon...

Don't miss TAFL......Oyala balandakooooo TAFL eps.....very sooon....

Very SOOOON.....may be next week....Everybody will say.....
TAFL.....TAFL....
TAFL....TAFL.....TAFL...
TAFL.....TAFL....TAFL.....TAFL.....
Yes Mr.  EPS tafl Wunath price for enter long mid short term investment

199BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 10:47 am

hotstock


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Dont understand why BFL stuck at 170s still. With the current financials and prospectus it should be at 200+ now. NAVPS moved to 149

200BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:58 am

sameboy

sameboy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

BFL 200 ta yaida, mata nam penne ayeth 200n udata karai wage, den positive neda?

201BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 12:30 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Volumes of all poultry bids are higher than that of asked.

202BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 12:36 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert

like or dislike, TAFL will give you maximum return..
wait next 02 weeks, until out the TAFL financials.
Then, don't forget TAFL's mother GRAN.

Also, DONT miss AEL.
AEL also another star for 2016.

203BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:24 pm

Nuwan Prasad


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:like or dislike, TAFL will give you maximum return..
wait next 02 weeks, until out the TAFL financials.
Then, don't forget TAFL's mother GRAN.

Also, DONT miss AEL.
AEL also another star for 2016.
I agreed. I've already started collecting AEL

204BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty when is it due? Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:27 pm

FIRE123


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EPS wrote:like or dislike, TAFL will give you maximum return..
wait next 02 weeks, until out the TAFL financials.
Then, don't forget TAFL's mother GRAN.

Also, DONT miss AEL.
AEL also another star for 2016.
When are GRAN and TAFL results due

205BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000)  - Page 8 Empty Re: BAIRAHA FARMS PLC (BFL.N0000) Thu Feb 25, 2016 6:33 pm

Jana

Jana
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Jana wrote:As I believe it close to 200/= now .. just 3 month investment good to make money ,..

now I feel to exit but at least wait to 220/= level .. what do you think guys ..

BLI also made good gain for me .. still waiting SFL only..

all others are short term like kzoo..ofeq.. all exit now,.. now CPRT .. SLND ..without doubt I will make from it ..as well


Now I am planning to buy some more BFL again under 160/= level... because all these GRAN, BFL, TAFL.. showing good performance  continuously...

I already made good profit from BFL...
now I hold GRAN and some TAFL... Better to keep some BFL also...at this level

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